Featured

Clash of the Beards and Bellies

We’re Going Streaking

Bring your green hat, everyone’s doing it. Just like Frank the Tank in the timeless classic Old School, I’m streaking through the quad. I’ve been known to throw back some brewskis, but I typically go long periods of time before I hit the level of inebriation that induces public nudity. I may have plenty of cause to pop the cork on some Dom Perignon after I mashed Scott’s potatoes on Thanksgiving for my fourth-consecutive official victory (then again unofficially on the Sunday main slate and yet again on the Monday night showdown slate), but I’ll remain stoic and modest.

Scott is still a very talented DFS player. He is outpacing me in earnings this season, leaving me clutching at my gentlemanly victories like they are the last marbles that I have yet to lose. I wholeheartedly believe I will win yet again on Sunday in this Clash and take another non-cardio victory lap on the SportsMe app. I’m making like Matthew Berry with a love-hate lineup for Week 13, littered with juicy matchups.

Bo’s Lineup

QB – Tua Tagovailoa – Miami Dolphins – $5,500

MIAMI GARDENS, FLORIDA – NOVEMBER 28: Tua Tagovailoa #1 of the Miami Dolphins during their game against the Carolina Panthers at Hard Rock Stadium on November 28, 2021 in Miami Gardens, Florida. (Photo by Cliff Hawkins/Getty Images)

I went on record this offseason to say I think Tua is a much better real-life quarterback than he is for fantasy. I’m feeling very wrong for the last couple of weeks. He has been the picture of consistency and precision. He also gets a cupcake matchup with extra sprinkles this week at home against the pathetic Giants. Devante Parker is also slated to return. At this salary, he’s definitely good for fantasy.

RB – Alexander Mattison – Minnesota Vikings – $7,600

SANTA CLARA, CALIFORNIA – NOVEMBER 28: Alexander Mattison #25 of the Minnesota Vikings runs the ball for a touchdown in the third quarter against the San Francisco 49ers at Levi’s Stadium on November 28, 2021 in Santa Clara, California. (Photo by Lachlan Cunningham/Getty Images)

I hated Mattison as a player until this season. He had simply never performed when given chances to carry the load in Dalvin Cook’s absence. As amazing as it would have been to see Cook take on the Lions even once this year, we already saw Mattison rip them apart earlier in the season. The salary is sharp, but the play is sharper.

RB – Jonathan Taylor – Indianapolis Colts – $9,200

INDIANAPOLIS, IN – NOVEMBER 28: Jonathan Taylor #28 of the Indianapolis Colts is tackled by Lavonte David #54 and Sean Murphy-Bunting #23 of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers during the game at Lucas Oil Stadium on November 28, 2021 in Indianapolis, Indiana. (Photo by Michael Hickey/Getty Images)

I stan for JT. He has been my dynasty RB1 since Week 10 last season and hasn’t looked back. After two brutally tough matchups, where he still returned value in DFS, he is back on the AFC South cupcake tour against Houston. You might recall his 30 point performance before he was really on a roll. Scott should be shaking at the potential ceiling game incoming.

WR – Cooper Kupp – LA Rams – $9,000

GREEN BAY, WISCONSIN – NOVEMBER 28: Cooper Kupp #10 of the Los Angeles Rams avoids a tackle by Henry Black #41 of the Green Bay Packers during the second halfat Lambeau Field on November 28, 2021 in Green Bay, Wisconsin. (Photo by Patrick McDermott/Getty Images)

The Jags did corral the powerful Bills earlier this year, but I believe Sean McVay will pull the tape on that game and isolate his best offensive player against the soft underbelly of this defense. The injuries to other skill players will force the Rams to lean even heavier on Kupp, which excites me, to say the least.

WR – Josh Reynolds – Detroit Lions – $3,400

Scott had one call right on Thanksgiving, throwing the former Ram and Titan into his GPP lines. The level of desolation in the Lions’ receiving corps was never more apparent than when Reynolds was thrown in the trash by a receiver-starved Titans team, then latched on with Detroit and was immediately their best option. The Vikings’ secondary is hot garbage and will have to defend a lot of pass plays.

WR – Quez Watkins – Philadelphia Eagles – $3,600

Quez is very young and raw, but he is making huge strides in this offense every week. He has already supplanted the atrocious Jalen Reagor on the depth chart. He gets a further upgrade with the much more accurate Gardner Minshew at quarterback for the Birds.

TE – Foster Moreau – Las Vegas Raiders – $2,700

LAS VEGAS, NEVADA – NOVEMBER 21: Foster Moreau #87 of the Las Vegas Raiders looks for a flag in the game against the Cincinnati Bengals during the second quarter at Allegiant Stadium on November 21, 2021 in Las Vegas, Nevada. (Photo by Chris Unger/Getty Images)

My main waiver squeeze this week (I have a TON of Darren Waller) is down at his normal backup price on DK. I don’t foresee a ton of upside for Moreau this week, and he will be entirely too chalky in GPPs, but he slides into this build like a cheese raclette.

FLEX – Elijah Mitchell – San Francisco 49ers – $6,000

SANTA CLARA, CALIFORNIA – NOVEMBER 28: Elijah Mitchell #25 of the San Francisco 49ers celebrates after scoring a touchdown in the third quarter against the Minnesota Vikings at Levi’s Stadium on November 28, 2021 in Santa Clara, California. (Photo by Lachlan Cunningham/Getty Images)

Shanahan has chosen Mitchell to be his bell cow. He now has very little choice, with injuries to Mostert and Sermon. Mitchell fits the scheme like a glove and was given a full load last week against the Vikings. The Seahawks are one of the worst defenses against the running back position as it is, so don’t be surprised if Mitchell goes for even more points this week.

DST – San Francisco 49ers – $3,000

A lot of people are grasping at straws this week, hoping that the Seahawks will finally allow DK Metcalf to catch passes again. I say, “the Seahawks really suck.” Russell Wilson is now cringeworthy on and off the field. The 49ers have hit a stride on defense and will be all over Wilson with Nick Bosa and company, with nary a single shred of threat in their running game. This is my favorite RB/DST stack on the slate.

Was it Over When the German’s Bombed Pearl Harbor?!!

In the legendary words of John ‘Bluto’ Blutarsky:

“What? Over? Did you say ‘over’? Nothing is over until we decide it is! Was it over when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor? Hell no!…

It ain’t over now, ’cause when the goin’ gets tough, the tough get goin’. Who’s with me? Let’s go! Come on!…(He ran to the front door but no one followed him)

Bluto (returning): What the fuck happened to the Delta I used to know? Where’s the spirit? Where’s the guts, huh? This could be the greatest night of our lives, but you’re gonna let it be the worst. ‘Ooh, we’re afraid to go with you, Bluto, we might get in trouble.’ (shouting) Well, just kiss my ass from now on! Not me! I’m not gonna take this. Bo, he’s a dead man! McBigTime, dead! Niedermeyer…”

Scott’s Lineup

QB – Tom Brady – Tampa Bay Buccaneers – $7,200

INDIANAPOLIS, IN – NOVEMBER 28: Rob Gronkowski #87 and Tom Brady #12 of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are seen before the game against the Indianapolis Colts at Lucas Oil Stadium on November 28, 2021 in Indianapolis, Indiana. (Photo by Michael Hickey/Getty Images)

Tom Brady threw for five touchdowns and scored over 30 points the last time he played against the Falcons. It’s like it’s still Super Bowl 51 and the Falcons cannot stop Brady. I expect a safe 20 point floor from Brady, with a 30 point ceiling. I’m pairing him with Chris Godwin to inflict twice the pain on Bo each time they connect for a touchdown, which I am hoping is twice.

RB – James Conner – Arinzona Cardinals – $5,900

GLENDALE, ARIZONA – NOVEMBER 14: Running back James Conner #6 of the Arizona Cardinals scores on a 11-yard rushing touchdown against the Carolina Panthers during the fourth quarter of the NFL game at State Farm Stadium on November 14, 2021 in Glendale, Arizona. The Panthers defeated the Cardinals 34-10. (Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images)

James Conner has been averaging 22.5 DraftKings points per game over his last four starts. The Bears are more than a touchdown underdog in this matchup which means that James Conner might be the hammer all game and then at the end to salt them away and grind out the clock. I am projecting him for 18 points, and a bright red flame next to his score on Sunday.

RB – Elijah Mitchell – San Francisco 49ers – $6,000

The Seattle Seahawks are terrible against the run. They give up over 31 points per game each week. Elijah Mitchell is the truth and my partner Mike “Cash” Collins at the Fantasy Millionaires was right. I was wrong. I want the whole world to know. I learn from my mistakes and think that Mitchell could be the absolute nuts this week at $6,000. Just like Bo to cock-block me by playing Mitchell this week as well. Looks like he’s eating Mike’s humble pie as well. Good to see. Tip of the cap to you good sir.

WR – Keenan Allen – LA Chargers – $7,500

INGLEWOOD, CALIFORNIA – NOVEMBER 21: Keenan Allen #13 of the Los Angeles Chargers reacts after a first down against the Pittsburgh Steelers in the third quarter at SoFi Stadium on November 21, 2021 in Inglewood, California. (Photo by Ronald Martinez/Getty Images)

Keenan Allen is averaging 11.6 targets per game and already has 116 total targets this season, good for third overall at wide receiver. His 31% target share the last five weeks gives me confidence that 12-16 points are close to guaranteed. This game also has the potential to shoot out, which means at 20 plus point ceiling. He’s worth the $7,500 this week.

WR – Chris Godwin – Tampa Bay Buccaneers – $6,600

Chris Godwin is $6,600 and one of the best Cash and GPP plays on the board this week. The last time Tom Brady and Chris Godwin played the Atlanta Falcons earlier this season Godwin caught four of five targets for 61 yards and a touchdown. Godwin’s top 10 PFF matchup gives him the slight edge over stacking Mike Evans with Brady.

WR –  Tee Higgins – Cincinnatti Bengals – $5,800

CINCINNATI, OHIO – NOVEMBER 28: Tee Higgins #85 of the Cincinnati Bengals catches the ball over James Pierre #42 of the Pittsburgh Steelers for a touchdown during the first quarter at Paul Brown Stadium on November 28, 2021 in Cincinnati, Ohio. (Photo by Justin Casterline/Getty Images)

Tee Higgins showed out last week, catching six of eight for 114 yards, a touchdown, and 26.4 DraftKings points. This week the Bengals are favored in a potentially high-scoring game. The Vegas total is 49.5, which means that there will be plenty of points to be scored on both sides. Higgins priced at $5,800 is a tremendous Cahs game value with GPP upside.

TE – Foster Moreau – Las Vegas Raiders – $2,700

Foster Moreau is stepping into a very productive role in the Raiders offense. The last time he was the starter he caught all six of his targets for 60 yards and a score. His 18 DraftKings points are his ceiling, but his floor is safe in a matchup that is projected to reach or exceed 50 points. The $2,700 is just too good to pass up and I’m not surprised Bo has Moreau rostered as well.

Flex – Jamaal Williams – Detroit Lions – $5,400

Detroit Lions running back Jamaal Williams (30) looks down the field during warmups prior to an NFL football game between the Detroit Lions and the Chicago Bears in Detroit, Michigan USA, on Thursday, November 25, 2021. (Photo by Amy Lemus/NurPhoto via Getty Images)

Jamaal Williams is the only game in town this week at running back for the Detroit Lions, who continue to establish the run, despite its futility. I love him in the flex this week, coming off of Thanksgiving when Bo beat me with Williams, it is going to feel extra special regifting him to Bo this week. LOL

DST – Cincinnati Bengals – $2,800

The Bengals were the most appealing pay-down option this week. I’m not in love with this play, but could definitely see them forcing a few turnovers and getting to Justin Herbert a few times.

Featured

Hot Cash From the King of Spice

Trinkets and Baubles

December is here again. With the holiday season in full swing, my family is also celebrating my in-laws’ 40th anniversary and my nephew’s birthday early in the month. That’s also the precursor to the 29th, where my sister, daughter, close friend Vince (the one who first called me Big Time), and Matthew Berry celebrate their birthday. December is also a special month for football, with the NFL playoff race and college bowl season, but I’ll beg your pardon if I seem distant. I have a lot of things to juggle and stress about.

My daughter will be nine years old this year. She’s as sharp as they come and was gifted with an old soul, full of wisdom beyond her years. She also inherited my inability to pick up after myself in a timely manner. The kid is a tornado of crafting, drawings, video games, and stuffed animals. It took her and I two hours to clean her room last night. We folded clothes and had piles of stuff to throw away, donate to charity, and relocate. In the end, she still staunchly refused to throw away an old Amazon box with a blanket and a couple toys, where our cat Juney “occasionally sleeps when I kick her off the bed.” The cat never sleeps in that box, but tossing it was crossing the line.

Where am I going with this? Let’s just say that I might be too quick to throw things away, while Addison is reluctant to let anything go. I’ve seen too many episodes of Hoarders to think that this behavior is healthy, but maybe it’s better to compromise instead of picking this particular hill to die on. We will make another sweep through with a donation box before another double wave of gifts washes ashore at the end of the month. A couple years ago, her idea was just to “buy a bigger house.” It makes me chuckle (and shudder) to think back at the look of concern my wife and I shared with one another when she suggested that.

In fantasy football, and DFS, it’s a double-edged sword. If you cast away positive notions about a player too soon, you might miss out on future breakout performances. Should you hold onto fond memories of winning with someone, you might also be blinded to potential pitfalls that can cost you down the road. Many were hating on Joe Mixon after an injury-plagued 2020. He’s been in six perfect DFS lineups this season already. I keep trying to shoe-horn Laviska Shenault into lineups because he’s “too good and too cheap.” He hasn’t won me anything. I guess the message this week is, “keep an open mind.” Do I think Alexander Mattison, Myles Gaskin, and Foster Moreau are very good at football? Not exactly. They are still very likely to return value in DFS cash games on the Week 13 NFL main slate.

Week 13 is one of the biggest slates for value plays we’ve had this season. DK salaries are largely inclusive, meaning that there are so many good plays for cash because there aren’t many players too expensive to roster for their expected output. FanDuel is famous for this type of pricing, which I don’t tend to like. Whittling down your roster to the best players will be challenging. The volume-based EVO model should help you do that very thing.

Week 13 Cash Plays

I have a slightly different view from the consensus on how to build winning cash lineups. Instead of focusing on players with a “high floor,” I instead focus on their expected workload. These players often have that safe floor as a result of the VOLUME of opportunities, but they also have a higher likelihood of returning the 3x+ value that most cash games require to end the day above the pay line. A smart cash player has to always consider ceiling as a part of the equation, just maybe weighted lighter than if building for a GPP. I ask myself the same question every time: Does this player’s expected volume of opportunities (EVO) have high odds of accomplishing 3 points per salary dollar, divided by 1,000 (x=3[y/1000]).

KEY INGREDIENT*** — SECRET INGREDIENT*

TAMPA, FLORIDA – NOVEMBER 22: Tom Brady #12 of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers reacts after running for a first down in the first quarter of the game against the New York Giants at Raymond James Stadium on November 22, 2021 in Tampa, Florida. (Photo by Julio Aguilar/Getty Images)

Quarterbacks

LAMAR JACKSON: @ PITTSBURGH ($7,800)

Lamar hasn’t looked like himself the last couple of weeks, culminating with his four interceptions in the last game. He still has a truly elite rushing floor and ceiling and faces a terrible Steelers secondary. Jackson also tends to play very well against the Steelers. I don’t expect Pittsburgh to have the scheme or personnel to confuse Lamar like the Browns did.

MATTHEW STAFFORD: VS JACKSONVILLE ($7,300)

Stafford has recoiled back into a Detroit-like shell the last few weeks. The Jags haven’t been terrible against opposing quarterbacks this season, but they really don’t match up well with this LA passing attack. A hobbled Darrell Henderson will also push the Rams to air it out with Kupp, Beckham (if healthy), Jefferson, and even Higbee.

TOM BRADY: @ ATLANTA ($7,200)

On a normal slate, this would be a nasty, chalky mess. With all the values on the board for Week 13, however, Brady stands to rebound after relinquishing all of his touchdowns to the running backs last week. Atlanta will get destroyed in this game, one way or the other. It’s doubtful that all of the touchdowns will miss Brady once again.

JALEN HURTS: @ NY JETS ($7,000)

Coming into this game, Hurts…hurts. He is dealing with a sore ankle, which might limit his rushing ability. On the other hand, I expect the running backs and receivers to have such a field day that Hurts will score a ton of fantasy points by dispersing the ball to his weapons.

KIRK COUSINS: @ DETROIT ($6,500)

Keeping with the theme of potent passing attacks matching up with horrible defenses, the Vikings will head to Ford Field to beat up on the Lions. Cousins won’t have the dynamic presence of Dalvin Cook to take pressure off of him, so there will be an uptick in passing volume to Jefferson and Thielen against one of the league’s worst pass defenses. Mattison is Cook Ultra-Lite, but is very capable as a receiver out of the backfield to help Cousins further.

DEREK CARR: VS WASHINGTON ($6,000)

Washington’s schedule has really lightened up lately, which has made their defense look less like trash. The Raiders offense has been remarkably consistent this season, especially through the air. Carr has been a prolific passer, even if the touchdowns haven’t come through as well in the last couple of games. It’s safe to say Carr will pass for over 300 yards in this one, with a couple scores to boot.

TAYLOR HEINICKE: @ LAS VEGAS ($5,600)

Across the field from Carr is a less-consistent (but more athletic) option at quarterback that saves $400 in salary. Vegas’ secondary has been tough on bad teams and abysmal against good teams. Washington slots somewhere in the middle, especially with Logan Thomas back off the IR to alleviate coverage on Terry McLaurin.

TUA TAGOVAILOA: VS NY GIANTS ($5,500)***

The accuracy stats should surprise no one. Tua has been laser-precise all the way back to his freshman year at Alabama. Multiple teams tanked to be able to draft him. Now that he is more than a year removed from a catastrophic hip injury, he is dialed in. Miami has put some weaponry around him, namely Waddle and Gesicki. There is no way the Giants can slow down the Dolphins. Miami’s weakness is their offensive line, and the Giants have zero pass rush to exploit it.

TYROD TAYLOR: VS INDIANAPOLIS ($5,300)

Tyrod hasn’t been entirely consistent this season, especially after his stint on the IR with a bad hamstring. He is, however, underpriced this week against a Colts defense that is a wonderful pass funnel. Indy will be ahead early in this game, putting Tyrod squarely in garbage time hero territory for Sunday.

Running Backs

JONATHAN TAYLOR: @ HOUSTON ($9,200)

We all dreamed about this bell cow role for JT. Now that it is truly happening every week, he has become the belle of the ball for running back production. Indy will continue to bludgeon defenses with their great o-line and Taylor. After two “bad” matchups, where JT still feasted, an all-green date with the Texans is dilating my pupils.

AUSTIN EKELER: @ CINCINNATI ($8,300)

He may not be a “household name,” but Ekeler is up there with JT as one of the most consistently-dominant running backs in the game today. His health is part of that equation, but even the toughest matchups haven’t hampered his production in PPR formats. The previously touchdown-challenged Ekeler already has 14 this season.

JOE MIXON: VS LA CHARGERS ($8,100)

Once the most polarizing figures in all of fantasy sports, Mixon is now one of three elite running backs who has not been bitten by the ultra-venomous injury bug. Most of the knocks on Mixon after last season were surrounding how supposedly “injury prone” he is. The 2021 version is getting a bell cow workload without so much as a whimper. He now has a date with the league’s best run funnel defense.

ALEXANDER MATTISON: @ DETROIT ($7,600)***

I had thrown Mattison away after last season. It seemed like he shriveled whenever he was given the chance to shine when Dalvin Cook missed time. The Vikings give one running back nearly all the work, which renders Mattison useless until Cook goes down. This season, Mattison has been awesome when Dalvin Cook is out of action, averaging over 20 fantasy points per game as a starter. The Lions are one of the worst run defenses in NFL history. Mattison will feast, especially as a receiver out of the backfield.

LEONARD FOURNETTE: @ ATLANTA ($7,300)

Wouldn’t you know, Lenny was the ultimate leverage play last week. I watched all my Brady stacks turn my GPP lineups to ashes. I knew JT was a good leverage play, but Fournette was the slate breaker. It’s really hard to imagine him as leverage this week. As a cash play, he is a sure bet to dominate the Falcons. His new salary still made him close to being too expensive for his expected volume in this game.

ELIJAH MITCHELL*: @ SEATTLE ($6,000)

The rookie out of Louisiana is making waves as this year’s version of James Robinson. A waiver wire darling has now commandeered the bell cow role in the omnipotent 49ers rushing attack. The Seahawks have been a massive disappointment this season and will continue to be, when San Francisco lays waste to them in Week 13 behind a truly staggering performance from Mitchell.

JAMES CONNER: @ CHICAGO ($5,900)

Conner is on my GPP radar this week. The bye week blind spot will never be more obscure than on this slate. There are so many good plays to be had that Conner’s volume and receiving upside are easy to overlook. The return of Kyler Murray this week will ensure that Conner won’t need to fret over a loaded box.

MYLES GASKIN: VS NY GIANTS ($5,800)

It was odd to see Gaskin turn in a good game on an even-numbered week. He played terribly, as expected, but happened to also score twice. He is not a good football player at all, but the Dolphins offense is rolling through a Charmin-soft schedule these days. Gaskin will easily return good value yet again versus a putrid, pathetic excuse for a Giants defense.

ANTONIO GIBSON: @ LAS VEGAS ($5,700)

It’s truly a beautiful sight to see an uber-talented running back get so much work on Monday Night Football. We also get the residual benefit of the DK salaries getting released before his huge game, where his fantasy points-scavenging teammate also left with an injury. Gibson would be at $7k if he played last Sunday and Vegas won’t be able to slow him down.

JAMAAL WILLIAMS: VS MINNESOTA ($5,400)

Volume pays the bills and the Lions love to run the football and check down to their backs in the passing game. D’Andre Swift has very little reason to return to play this season, giving the artist formerly known as Jamaawful a clear path to become a darling of the fantasy playoffs. Williams will have a huge role in this game against a below-average Vikings run defense.

MILES SANDERS: @ NY JETS ($5,200)

The Eagles still hate Miles Sanders. They might not have a choice but to give him more carries this week, with Jalen Hurts nursing an ankle injury. Philly inexplicably gave fourth-string running back, Boston Scott more touches than Sanders last week in a loss. This team is a walking brain fart, but Sanders is the perfect weapon against a Jets team that gives up nearly 40 fantasy points per game to the running back position.

TEVIN COLEMAN: VS PHILADELPHIA ($4,500)

I was wrong last week. I incorrectly predicted that the Jets would give their most talented running back (Ty Johnson) the most touches. Instead, that honor was bestowed upon Coleman and even to journeyman practice squad player, Austin Walter (who?). It would be mind-numbing if they went back to Johnson, now that I’m hanging my hat on Coleman.

Wide Receivers

COOPER KUPP: VS JACKSONVILLE ($9,000)

Kupp is very easily the most consistent receiving threat on this slate, with Davante Adams on his bye week. The Jags have been average against wide receivers, but Kupp has been seeing abnormal volume this season and is well above average in the skill department. The Rams will need to lean even harder into the Kupp section of the playbook this week, with Henderson and Beckham limping around.

DEEBO SAMUEL: @ SEATTLE ($8,300)***

Kyle Shanahan didn’t need to, but he has successfully transitioned Deebo into a full-fledged running back; a really good one. As we mentioned with Mitchell above, the Seahawks are an utter failure this season, especially against “pass catching running backs.” The quotes are for describing whatever it is that Deebo Samuel has become. I want all the pieces of this 49ers offense, in what will be a huge rout.

JUSTIN JEFFERSON: @ DETROIT ($8,200)

The Dalvin Cook injury really does put the Vikings in a tough predicament on offense. They are fortunate to coordinate that injury to a date with the winless Lions. I do see more of an emphasis on the passing game coming for Minnesota, in order to exploit their huge advantage at receiver against this secondary. Both Jefferson and Thielen offer plenty of floor and upside the same.

ADAM THIELEN: @ DETROIT ($7,300)

I emphasized the huge price gap last week, which pointed me to play Thielen over Jefferson against the 49ers (woohoo!), but the gap is smaller this week. In cash, you don’t need to double dip on both guys, but this week will be more of a coin flip based on salary constraints when building your lineups. Thielen is a solid option yet again, especially with him being the favorite red zone option for Cousins.

DIONTAE JOHNSON: VS BALTIMORE ($6,800)

Boy, did the Steelers (Ben) look dreadful last week! This is not a good football team at all, but they are coached well enough to be competitive in most games. Pittsburgh leans into their best players, like Diontae, in these rugged divisional games. Johnson is a target monster and the Ravens have been suspect on the corners all season.

MIKE EVANS: @ ATLANTA ($6,700)

Much like with the Vikings receivers, you can very easily play either one of these guys in cash games this week. Evans and Godwin were extremely quiet last week, as neither one of them cracked double digit fantasy points against Indy. This is great in a way, reducing their salaries to comical levels against Atlanta.

CHRIS GODWIN: @ ATLANTA ($6,600)

Godwin was the receiver who got the ball punched out by Darius Leonard for a turnover in the open field. Chalk it up to an amazing play by a future hall of fame linebacker, but Tampa Bay was intent on winning on the ground last week. Atlanta is so bad at every level of the defense, that they will give it up through the air and on the ground Sunday. Godwin’s target share will hold strong yet again.

MARQUISE BROWN: @ PITTSBURGH ($6,500)

In a stunning development of a player’s role, Brown has already piled up 92 targets this season. Inexplicably, his DK salary also dropped $400 from last week. Pittsburgh is getting roasted by speedy receivers this season. It seems there might be a connection here.

JALEN WADDLE: VS NY GIANTS ($6,400)

These former Alabama receivers are truly special. All of them. I was cautiously optimistic coming into this season about Waddle. Miami misused him early in the season, but a healthy Tua has allowed the speedster to blossom as an NFL wide receiver over the last month. You might know by now that the Giants are a sorry excuse for a franchise and have no defense, so Waddle is a fun play with immense upside this week.

DEVONTA SMITH: @ NY JETS ($6,100)

I think the world of Smith. He is already a polished professional receiver, even if his quarterback doesn’t always deliver accurate, on-time passes to him consistently. The other Alabama rookie first round pick will have zero trouble getting open against the Jets.

HUNTER RENFROW: VS WASHINGTON ($5,800)

The target volume for Renfrow is as placid as an alpine lake on a windless afternoon. His salary has seen a steady rise all season as he continues to exceed expectations. The Cowboys and Football Team have similar struggles against slot receivers, with the former allowing Renfrow’s first 20-plus point performance of the season.

MICHAEL PITTMAN JR: @ HOUSTON ($5,700)

It was a 10 target game for Pittman last week, which came as no surprise to me after my prediction. The unfortunate part was that he only pulled in four of those targets for 53 yards. Houston is goin to have all of their eggs in the stop JT basket this week, freeing up the play action passes that make Pittman absolutely lethal.

BRANDON AIYUK: @ SEATTLE ($5,600)

I love that Aiyuk is cheaper than Kittle again this week. The 49ers never ask their wide receivers to eschew running routes to stay in for pass protection. Aiyuk’s sharp route running and elite athleticism will make him a nightmare down the field in Seattle. The Seahawks will be doing everything in their power to slow down the running game, leaving Aiyuk open to do damage.

VAN JEFFERSON: VS JACKSONVILLE ($5,300)

Jefferson is a true home run hitter this season. I don’t believe the Rams intend for him to assume that role, but with catching only 33% of his targets for 93 yards and a touchdown, we will take it. It would be even nicer if those nine targets were converted at a higher percentage against the Jags.

AJ GREEN: @ CHICAGO ($5,000)

The AJ Green disrespect must stop. We still don’t know if Hopkins will return to full strength at all in the near future, putting the 6’4″ future hall of famer Green in charge of the outside route running. I was ready to put Kirk on this list until I saw that the more-reliable Green was $600 less. He will give the Bears fits, whether Murray and/or Hopkins play or not.

RASHOD BATEMAN: @ PITTSBURGH ($4,900)

The ultra-talented rookie out of Minnesota has been very impressive so far this season. He has not yet eaten into the volume of Brown or Andrews, but his DK salary reflects that. The Steelers will have their hands full to try and slow down this passing offense. Yes, the Ravens passing offense.

LANDOVER, MD – OCTOBER 25: Logan Thomas #82 of the Washington Football Team celebrates after gaining a first down against the Dallas Cowboys during the first half at FedExField on October 25, 2020 in Landover, Maryland. (Photo by Scott Taetsch/Getty Images)

Tight Ends

MARK ANDREWS: @ PITTSBURGH ($6,000)

He’s the MANdrews! The 2021 TE2 behind Kelce comes in with three-consecutive games over 15 DK points. Pittsburgh is 11th at defending the tight end position, but really haven’t been challenged by many elite ones this season. Baltimore has needed to be more pass-heavy than ever before in the Lamar Jackson era because of their troubles at the running back position. I dig that against a pass funnel like the Steelers.

GEORGE KITTLE: @ SEATTLE ($5,900)

Kittle barely made this list. He is nearly too expensive for the six targets I have him projected for. He is simply too valuable as a blocker, despite his prowess as a game-breaking receiver. If he was under $5.5k, I would be a lot more comfortable with him in cash games. For now, I see him as more of an upside GPP leverage play.

KYLE PITTS: VS TAMPA BAY ($5,600)

Pitts is my favorite rookie receiver this year, but he is similar to Kittle in that he barely made this list. Matt Ryan has been so risk-averse this season in targeting Pitts that it’s infuriating. Even when Ryan does target Pitts, the passes have been largely uncatchable. To make matters even worse, Arthur Smith refuses to draw plays up for the rookie in the red zone. Pitts has only one red zone target since Week 6. Even his six target projection can get him on the watch list, but the coaching and quarterback play for the Falcons has been nothing short of a dereliction of responsibility.

ROB GRONKOWSKI: @ ATLANTA ($5,300)

Gronk is definitely back. He was nearly the key ingredient this week at tight end, narrowly missing out because of Logan Thomas’ incredible value prop. If I have the salary to round out my builds with Gronk, I will not hesitate to lock him in. He was spectacular last week, even without scoring a touchdown. That’s exactly what I hope for in a cash game.

MIKE GESICKI: VS NY GIANTS ($5,100)

For the last time (this week), I will highlight just how abhorrent and embarrassing the New York Giants’ defense is this season. You might have surmised that I will be stacking the Dolphins heavily in GPP, as well as lacing all my cash lineups with Fins (don’t tell PETA). Gesicki is at a very attainable price with his steady volume and touchdown upside in this offense. The only downside is how democratic Tua has been with target dispersal to his various receivers.

LOGAN THOMAS: @ LAS VEGAS ($4,000)***

What was supposed to be a tempered return to action for Thomas turned into a 77% snap share, six target performance against the Seahawks on Monday night. He very nearly cashed in with a late touchdown that was overturned on replay. The Monday night blind spot is smiling upon us this week with a top-flight tight end coming in at $4k against the second-worst defense against the position. I will be over the field on Thomas in GPP as well.

FOSTER MOREAU: VS WASHINGTON ($2,700)

The reason I’ll be able to be over the field on Thomas this week is because the Raiders’ ringer at tight end is going to summon all the chalk at $2,700. Darren Waller’s knee injury thrusts Moreau into the spotlight of this tight end friendly Vegas scheme. His last game as a starter ended up as a 6/6/60/1 performance against the Eagles. Washington is a bit stouter against the tight end position than Philly, so I won’t be eating the chalk pill this week on Moreau. He’s a fine play in cash.

Featured

Nimble GPP:Plays to Get You Paid

Welcome to NFL Week 12! Each week Nimble GPP will bring you the plays to get you paid for DraftKings GPP. Excited to share all my “Nimble GPP” content with you all this year. Each week I will help you build GPP lineups by providing you the building blocks at each skill position by identifying “High Priced”, “Mid-Range”, and “Value” plays. The play represents the player that I predict for the most upside at their price range. Mix and match the players you are high on and build your optimal lineup.

If you are interested in NIMBLE GPP Lineups or Bo McBrayer’s GPP Lineups, check out our Nimble Patreon (FREE all December). All Nimble’s Numbers will be powered by RuntheSims.com this year. Signup for a free RunTheSims account today!!

High Priced – Quarterback

Tom Brady, Tampa Bay Buccaneers – $7,600

TAMPA, FLORIDA – NOVEMBER 22: Tom Brady #12 of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers reacts after running for a first down in the first quarter of the game against the New York Giants at Raymond James Stadium on November 22, 2021 in Tampa, Florida. (Photo by Julio Aguilar/Getty Images)

Tom Brady leads the NFL with 29 passing touchdowns and is third in passing yards with 3,177. He’s a damn machine at 44 and I’m banking on him this week to exploit the Indianapolis Colts’ terrible secondary that has given up 25 touchdowns and 2,861 yards passing to opposing quarterbacks. Brady is the most expensive quarterback on the slate, but he will still be popular. I plan on stacking him with Godwin and Gronk to maximize his upside and secure the majority of his potential touchdown passes. I’m comfortable playing Brady in small, medium, and large field GPP tournaments.

Mid-Range – Quarterback

Joe Burrow, Cincinnatti Bengals – $6,200 

Joe Burrow and the Cinncinatti Bengals already gave the Pittsburgh Steelers the beat down this year, 24 -10 in Week 3. Burrow threw for three scores, connecting with Ja’Marr Chase twice. The Steelers didn’t have an answer for him then and they certainly don’t have one now, as they are battling injuries to the defensive line and in their secondary. I’m stacking these two and running it back with Diontae Johnson.

Value – Quarterback

Cam Newton, Carolina Panthers – $5,600

In his first game back in Carolina, Cam Newton looked great, passing for two scores and rushing 24 yards for another. This week he faces a Dolphins defense that ranks 28th against quarterbacks, giving up 21 total touchdowns and 3,199 yards passing on the season. Cam is priced up $500, but is still a great paydown option for constructing high upside GPP lineups. Stacking Cam with D.J. is on the table, and so is playing Cam naked.

High Priced – Running Back

Christian McCaffery, Carolina Panthers – $9,000

CHARLOTTE, NORTH CAROLINA – NOVEMBER 21: Christian McCaffrey #22 of the Carolina Panthers carries the ball against the defense of the Washington Football Team in the first quarter of the game at Bank of America Stadium on November 21, 2021 in Charlotte, North Carolina. (Photo by Jared C. Tilton/Getty Images)

Christian McCaffery is OFFICIALLY back!! Last two weeks he combined for 51 points and has been the focal point of the Panthers’ passing attack. His 30% target share is comforting and I’m frankly shocked he’s not priced up higher. If it wasn’t for Jonathan’s Taylors explosive performance last week, CMC might be priced up even higher. I’m rolling him out in all GPP tournaments.

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Mid-Range – Running Back

A.J. Dillon, Green Bay Packers – $5,900

A.J Dillon played well last week but did not “show up” and “show out” like we thought he would against the Vikings. 17 touches yielded only 15.7 DraftKings points. Dillon, who was one of the most popular plays on the slate last week, is only being rostered in 6% of DraftKings lineups in Week 12. The LA Rams are middle of the pack against running backs, giving up 979 rushing yards in 10 games. With a hobbled Aaron Rodgers, I expect the Packers to feed Dillon all game and also target him in the passing game.

Value – Running Back

Miles Sanders, Philadelphia Eagles – $5,100

PHILADELPHIA, PA – NOVEMBER 21: Miles Sanders #26 of the Philadelphia Eagles reacts prior to the game against the New Orleans Saints at Lincoln Financial Field on November 21, 2021, in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Mitchell Leff/Getty Images)

Miles Sanders is also apparently back after rushing 14 times for 96 yards last week and is priced at only $5,100. The Eagles have reinvented themselves as a power-rushing team, running the ball 65% of the time the last three weeks. Jordan Howard has been ruled OUT for Week 12, meaning that Sanders should see the majority of carries against a terrible New York Giants. How terrible you ask. They have already given up over 1,600 combined rushing (1,060) and passing (573) yards to running backs. I probably should have kept this information to myself. Just don’t play Sanders against me, because I’ll have him too.

High Priced – Wide Receiver 

Chris Godwin, Tampa Bay Buccaneers – $7,000

TAMPA, FLORIDA – NOVEMBER 22: Chris Godwin #14 of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers reacts after getting a touchdown in the first quarter in the game against the New York Giants at Raymond James Stadium on November 22, 2021, in Tampa, Florida. (Photo by Julio Aguilar/Getty Images)

Chris Godwin has 91 DraftKings points over his last four games. Mike Evans has 79 points over that same time span, as both have seen increased targets with Antonio Brown OUT. It looks like Brown will miss Week 12 as well, opening the door for Godwin to pick up the slack. His 37 targets to Evans 28 the last 4 games, combined with his $200 price discount, and Evans nursing a back injury makes this decision for me. I’ll be stacking Godwin with Gronk in almost all of my Tom Brady stacks this week. I am also planning on running it back with Michael Pittman as a full-on game stack option.

Mid-Range – Wide Receiver 

Diontae Johnson, Pittsburgh Steelers – $6,600

Diontae Johnson is Mr. Consistent when it comes to DraftKing’s wide receivers. His lowest output of the season was 11.7 DraftKings points. He’s scored double-digit points in every game this season. His 95 targets are good for seventh-best amongst wide receivers. He’s seen 10 or more targets in seven of nine games. Johnson should be priced up in the 7K range, so enjoy his discounted price one more week. I will be running him back in Burrow/Chase stacks in medium and larger field GPP tournaments.

Value – Wide Receiver 

INDIANAPOLIS, INDIANA – OCTOBER 31: Michael Pittman Jr #11 of the Indianapolis Colts catches a pass while defended by Breon Borders #39 of the Tennessee Titans at Lucas Oil Stadium on October 31, 2021 in Indianapolis, Indiana. (Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images)

Michael Pittman, Indianapolis Colts – $5,600

Michael Pittman is the best wide receiver value on the DraftKings Week 12 main slate this week. The last two weeks the Colts’ offense has run through Jonathan Taylor. Pittman’s skill set was not needed in order for the Colts to win the games. This week he will be needed against Tom Brady and the Buccaneers. The 53 point total is the highest on the board this week. This game should stay competitive or see the Colts trailing and needing to pass to keep pace. Either way, I’m running back all of my Tom Brady/Godwin stacks with Pittman. I’m also building games stacks with him and Gronk and Wentz as well. He’s viable in all GPP formats.

High Priced – Tight End

George Kittle, San Francisco 49ers – $6,400  

It’s so great to have George Kittle back!! Since his return, he’s been averaging 17.8 DraftKings points per game. For a little context, Travis Kelce leads the NFL with a 17.6 point per game average. Kittle has seen 19 targets the last three weeks and should see plenty of volume in this matchup with the Minnesota Vikings. According to PFF, Kittle as a 29% advantage over Eric Kendricks. I’m rostering Kittle in smaller field GPP contests.

Mid-Range – Tight End

Rob Gronkowski, Tampa Bay Buccanneers – $4,400

TAMPA, FLORIDA – NOVEMBER 22: Rob Gronkowski #87 of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers warms up before the game against the New York Giants at Raymond James Stadium on November 22, 2021 in Tampa, Florida. (Photo by Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images)

Rob Gronkowski is back as well. I’m starting to see a theme for this week. “The Comeback” narrative is alive and well across the league in Week 12. Gronk returned last week and played well, catching six of eight targets for 71 yards. With Mike Evans battling back problems, I expect Brady to lean heavily on Gronk in the red zone this week. I would not be surprised to see him “Gronk Spike” at least once.

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Featured

Hot Cash From the King of Spice

Light It Up

I’m writing this on a made-up commercial holiday. Black Friday is every cliché about the American way of life, compressed into a 24-hour window the day after we’re supposed to reflect on all that we are thankful for. We are encouraged, if not urged, to spend our hard-earned and overtaxed dollars on supposed bargains for the greater economic good.

With an eggnog mustache and gravy stains on my sweater, I’ll be haunting the dark alleys of Amazon today. I prefer avoiding the droves of zombies on the hunt for a $300 HiSense TV with a credit card they haven’t even peeled the sticker off of. Plus, I don’t need worry about a cranky old lady pulling her mask down to sneeze on me at Best Buy if I don’t leave my living room

I will have to climb a ladder in my bearskin slippers today to pull Christmas decorations down from the attic. We eventually opted out of chopping down our own natural tree for a pre-lit artificial one a few years ago. I miss the outing and how undeniably sexy I look carrying an axe in a plaid shirt, but I don’t miss my old dog hiking his leg to mark the tree (and gifts) every day until we yeet the spider-filled fire hazard into the street.

If my house wasn’t so pretty all lit up with Christmas lights, I probably would think twice about risking my life by getting on the steep pitch of my second-story roof (also in my bearskin slippers) to hang them. The risks I take in DFS contests don’t involve the loss of life or limb, but there aren’t many people that will drive by and roll their window down to ooooh and ahhhh at my DraftKings lineups.

The main slate is trimmed down to a mere 10 games this week, making it skinnier than Devonta Smith. This is a good thing for playing cash games, limiting the variance of high volume players. We will attack this slate with the same process as always, leaning more on the conservative side with top-heavy salary distribution. Some of our cash picks really smashed as GPP standouts last week, just as we predicted. Expect scoring to be down this week, by comparison. The volume-based formula will be integral to winning on Sunday.

Week 12 Cash Plays

I have a slightly different view from the consensus on how to build winning cash lineups. Instead of focusing on players with a “high floor,” I instead focus on their expected workload. These players often have that safe floor as a result of the VOLUME of opportunities, but they also have a higher likelihood of returning the 3x+ value that most cash games require to end the day above the pay line. A smart cash player has to always consider ceiling as a part of the equation, just maybe weighted lighter than if building for a GPP. I ask myself the same question every time: Does this player’s expected volume of opportunities (EVO) have high odds of accomplishing 3 points per salary dollar, divided by 1,000 (x=3[y/1000]).

KEY INGREDIENT*** — SECRET INGREDIENT*

Quarterbacks

TOM BRADY: @ INDIANAPOLIS ($7,600)

He might be older than one of my uncles, but Tommy is arguably the MVP frontrunner at this point of the NFL season. Nobody has been as consistent at hitting ceiling games and the 3-point bonus as the GOAT. Indy’s pass coverage has suffered this season after a litany of injuries. They are also a pass funnel defense.

JALEN HURTS: @ NY GIANTS ($7,300)

After three straight games under 10 points on DK, Hurts put up a monster ground game for over 30 against the Saints. The Giants are a rudderless embarrassment of a team and will get shellacked in this divisional game. Some concern might be how run-heavy the Eagles have been during this hot streak, but Hurts is a big part of why it’s working.

KIRK COUSINS: @ SAN FRANCISCO ($6,300)

Cousins is quietly having a remarkable season, highlighted by peak efficiency. I keep waiting for him to turn back into a late-November pumpkin like he always does, but he has been solid. The 49ers have shown signs of life on defense lately, but the weaponry that Cousins has around him is frightening.

JOE BURROW: VS PITTSBURGH ($6,200)***

This will be the most exciting game to watch on the slate. The Bengals’ offense is really clicking this season, even when their defense has been very inconsistent. I expect Burrow to attack this weakened Steelers back end relentlessly with all of his great receivers. They might also be more pass-heavy this week to meter down Joe Mixon’s workload.

CAM NEWTON: @ MIAMI ($5,600)

Cam Newton should have seen a huge hike in his DK salary, but now he’s going to be all sorts of chalk against the Dolphins at this price. Miami’s defense has improved, but Newton is fantasy gold at this value. Don’t be afraid to build your lineup around Cam and two stud running backs.

MATT RYAN: @ JACKSONVILLE ($5,500)

Matt Ryan is ticking me off this year. Some weeks he looks like a vintage muscle car, flying down the field with ease. Other weeks, he looks like every other Boston College quarterback in history except for Doug Flutie. The Jags can’t bring out bad Matt Ryan, can they?

TYROD TAYLOR: VS NY JETS ($5,300)

In the same vein as Cam Newton, these value-priced mobile quarterbacks will be very popular in GPP contests, but will allow you to pile more studs into your cash lineups with the top-heavy salary scales. The Jets don’t play defense, so I have plenty of confidence in Taylor’s ability to hit 18-20 points.

Running Backs

CHRISTIAN MCCAFFREY: @ MIAMI ($9,000)

Fade Jonathan Taylor?! After what we just witnessed? Yes. Every week deserves a new evaluation for DFS. I was wrong in expecting the Colts to be trailing Buffalo last week. I have the same prediction for this week against the Bucs. Tampa Bay should roll Indy, pushing for more of a Nyheim Hines game. The Bills don’t have a guy named Vita Vea either. Miami is horrible against opposing running backs and CMC is slightly cheaper. I’ll take the path of least resistance in cash.

NAJEE HARRIS: @CINCINNATI ($8,200)

Volume pays the bills in cash games and few touch the ball more times per game than Najee. The Bengals have also been a sieve against the run, which should boost Harris a bit behind his suspect offensive line. I’m really hoping for a nice shootout here, bringing Najee’s receiving upside back into focus.

JAMES ROBINSON: VS ATLANTA ($6,200)***

JRob sure looked healthy to me last week. He got bottled up against a tough 49ers run defense, but still found the end zone late. The Falcons are pitiful up front and even the Jags should be able to physically impose their will on the ground. At this salary, I will be way over the field on JRob.

JAVONTE WILLIAMS: VS LA CHARGERS ($5,200)

Every week could be the week that Javonte Williams leaves Melvin Gordon in the dust. To Gordon’s credit, he has been just as productive (albeit much less efficient). The Chargers have been run on plenty this season, refusing to load the box to prevent big passing plays. This bodes well for physical runners like Williams to break some big plays and find the end zone at least once.

MILES SANDERS: @ NY GIANTS ($5,100)

Could it be? Are the Eagles finally featuring their best running back? Despite dropping his only target and losing a fumble, Sanders had a season-high 16 carries for 94 yards. That was against a stout Saints run defense. The Birds get the pathetic, comically-terrible Giants this week. They might run for 500 yards on this team. At only $5.1k, Sanders is bound to produce at a value.

DONTRELL HILLIARD: @ NEW ENGLAND ($4,600)

Remember when we were marveling over the Titans’ offense in the preseason? Derrick Henry: OUT. Julio Jones: OUT. AJ Brown: OUT. This isn’t fun anymore. Hilliard had 15 touches (8 catches) last week in a stunning reversal of touch distribution in this backfield. While we have to listen to the Patriots fans pleasure themselves to a short winning streak against bad teams, the Titans are still good enough to beat them. Hilliard will get enough high value touches to hit at this price.

TY JOHNSON*: @ HOUSTON ($4,300)

I love this guy as a player. I also love Michael Carter, but he is inactive this week. Ty Johnson is an explosive back who will give the Texans defense fits on Sunday. Down at this salary, I will not hesitate to pull the trigger on an under-appreciated Jets player.

Wide Receivers

DAVANTE ADAMS: VS LA RAMS ($8,600)

I don’t give a hoot if Adams is covered by Deion Sanders himself, I’m playing his volume in cash, especially at a cool G less than Cooper Kupp in the same game. Matt LaFleur is a master at moving Davante around the formation to scheme him the ball (see last season). With the Ramsey fear, Adams is also a decent tournament play.

JUSTIN JEFFERSON: @ SAN FRANCISCO ($8,300)

With the way that the Vikings are rolling on offense at the moment, it makes no sense to walk away from the Jefferson heater. Mike Zimmer was peeved when it was leaked that they were planning to get the second-year pro out of LSU more involved, but the results have been nonetheless spectacular. The 49ers’ defense has been decent of late, but they don’t have a particularly strong coverage unit to limit Jefferson and Thielen.

KEENAN ALLEN: @ DENVER ($7,400)

We are finally seeing signs of life from this Chargers’ offense, after four down games. As the coaching staff releases their strangle hold on the playbook for Justin Herbert, the young Duck has been slicing and dicing defenses. Allen is his favorite option, as evidenced last week. Denver isn’t the worst defense, but it has been marred by inconsistent play. Bank on Allen’s target volume in this one.

JA’MARR CHASE: VS PITTSBURGH ($7,300)

This might only be the first or second time that the LSU standout rookie has made the cash list. He has been the ultimate cheat code for tournament play, but his volume is just now inching toward my threshold. The excitement and extreme skill level he puts on the field every week forced me to attack this play against the Steelers, who don’t have a healthy secondary. Burrow to Chase will be a killer stack once again.

CHRIS GODWIN: @ INDIANAPOLIS ($7,000)

Godwin is really on a roll these days with Antonio Brown recovering from a bad ankle injury. Now add in Mike Evans’ nagging back injury and Brady will have even more reason to attack the mismatches created by Godwin in the slot. Gronk’s return to play also helps the Penn State grad, by freeing up the seam and drawing attention in the red zone. The Colts will have no answers for this passing game, with the lion’s share of volume going to Godwin.

DEVONTA SMITH: @ NY GIANTS ($6,400)***

The Slim Reaper has been everything his nickname implies this season. Even with the Birds’ new emphasis on the physical running game, Smith has been the bread winner in the passing game. His elite route running has given Jalen Hurts more than enough space to fit the ball into. Smitty has also shown off a surprising penchant for making spectacular catches, which is the cherry on top for DFS.

DJ MOORE: @ MIAMI ($6,200)

Any time I can get an elite receiver down here in this bracket, I’m going to smash it. Cam Newton puts a ton of stress on opposing defenses as a dual threat. Christian McCaffrey returning adds another behemoth assignment to the front seven. As we saw last week, this frees up Moore to use his elite athleticism to make space plays all over the field in Joe Brady’s offense. Miami has no chance this week.

BRANDIN COOKS: VS NY JETS ($5,800)

Once again, I am returning to the underpriced Brandin Cooks well. I am wishing for another 10-target game against a dreadful Jets’ defense. I’ll get it this week, at an even greater value than before. As the attention draws to other games, I’ll also be stacking this game for its shootout potential.

ELIJAH MOORE: @ HOUSTON ($5,600)

Moore has gone from an exciting rookie GPP pick to an NFL alpha receiver in the matter of four weeks. As the alpha, you shouldn’t worry about the re-insertion of Zach Wilson at quarterback. There isn’t a lot more than bad timing that explains why Moore wasn’t as much of a factor with Wilson at the helm. This pair will be dropping bombs for years to come.

TEE HIGGINS: VS PITTSBURGH ($5,400)

Just like DK’s pricing algorithm finally came around on D’Andre Swift, they are taking their time putting some respect on Tee Higgins’ name. No bother to me. The target volume has been immense to match the Clemson product’s talent. Sometimes, residing in a teammate’s shadow is a great thing for DFS.

BRANDON AIYUK: VS MINNESOTA ($5,300)

While you were sleeping on the East Coast, the 49ers have been shifting their offensive balance of power. With Aiyuk sneaking out of the Shanahan doghouse, plus the healthy return of George Kittle, San Francisco is scheming running back work to keep Deebo Samuel involved. The passing is spread out, which has freed up the more talented receiver (Aiyuk) to make big plays like last season. The Vikings can’t stop anyone, so I’ll take this value and run.

ODELL BECKHAM JR: @ GREEN BAY ($5,000)

OBJ in cash? Yeah, it has been established that I’m insane. What is also established is that you can generally trust Sean McVay this season. He stated earlier this week that Beckham would be a “huge factor” in this week’s game plan. With the dearth of receiving talent around he and Cooper Kupp in the wake of Woods’ injury, I will lean on this offense because the price is definitely right.

LAVISKA SHENAULT JR: VS ATLANTA ($4,400)

It’s been a bumpy road to say the least for Viska truthers like myself. The injury bug has plagued this Jags receiving corps another time, placing Shenault right back into the slash role he should have had from the beginning. There have also been statements about him lining up as a running back like Deebo Samuel. It might be 12 weeks too late for season-long fantasy, but for DFS, it’s a screaming value.

ATLANTA, GEORGIA – OCTOBER 31: Stephon Gilmore #9 of the Carolina Panthers defends against Kyle Pitts #8 of the Atlanta Falcons during the game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on October 31, 2021 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Mark Brown/Getty Images)

Tight Ends

GEORGE KITTLE: VS MINNESOTA ($6,400)

This isn’t spending up. This is a nice price for a tight end with 30-point upside against the lowly Vikings. Don’t overthink it. If you have the salary, punch it in.

KYLE PITTS: @ JACKSONVILLE ($6,100)***

You didn’t think he would disappear, did you? Pitts is back on the map this week, after a couple brutal matchups. Matt Ryan is the catalyst. He shouldn’t look too terrible against a bad Jags’ defense. Pitts will find the end zone this week and crack 100 receiving yards.

NOAH FANT: VS LA CHARGERS ($4,600)

The Chargers funnel everything to the middle of the field on defense. This is why they are very tough against wide receivers, but bad against the run and against the tight end position. Fant is on the verge of a massive game. I’d bet he’s ready for it to be this one.

DAN ARNOLD: VS ATLANTA ($4,000)

A cash play with zero targets last week? Yes, I correctly faded Arnold last week, but now we’re back because it’s the Falcons and they don’t really have many other options to throw to anymore. It was a weird donut, but tight ends have those on occasion.

RYAN GRIFFIN: @ HOUSTON ($2,600)

I don’t usually punt tight end if I can help it for cash, but this is a prime example of DK simply not paying attention to the Jets’ passing game. Griffin is a reliable threat with steady volume. The return of Zach Wilson makes this even better.

Featured

Clash of the Mashed Potatoes and Gravy

Full of Gratitude

I met Scott Simpson on Twitter in the Spring of 2020. When we were invited to the same Sleeper dynasty league, I’m sure he knew pretty early on that I wasn’t going to let up on the trash talk. We have shared some amazing conversations and DFS victories. My “internet friend” is now like a brother to me.

I am thankful for his friendship. I am grateful for all that we have accomplished and excited for what we will accomplish in the future. With all the obligatory niceties on the record, I’m still a fierce competitor. I also have an acute memory of painful losses.

Last Thanksgiving, I was riding high. Nimble was in the dumps and sick of losing to me in the DFS ThunderDome (much like in the Clash right now). He rode Antonio Gibson’s massive game against the Cowboys to his own resounding victory over me. I know he reveres that victory; it was a thorough beatdown. The last thing I want is for him to think he can relive his Turkey Day triumph. I also remember the at losing in that fashion pissed me off to the extent that I didn’t lose to him again until the Super Bowl.

Here is my Thanksgiving Day slate lineup, specially brined and roasted for my dear friend. He is the mashed potatoes to my gravy, but I hope he’s saving room for some humble pie with extra whip.

Bo’s Lineup

QB – Derek Carr – Las Vegas Raiders – $5,900

LAS VEGAS, NEVADA – NOVEMBER 21: Derek Carr #4 of the Las Vegas Raiders fumbles while being sacked by Trey Hendrickson #91 of the Cincinnati Bengals at Allegiant Stadium on November 21, 2021 in Las Vegas, Nevada. (Photo by Matthew Stockman/Getty Images)

Carr and the Raiders have been coming apart at the seams on offense since the release of Henry Ruggs. They now lack the type of deep threat that forces the defense to overcompensate. Carr has also fallen back into the old habit of hesitating to make the right throw and holding the ball too long before ultimately making a bad decision. I think there’s plenty of upside against the Cowboys, especially in the middle of the field. Carr’s salary is simply too low to ignore.

RB – David Montgomery – Chicago Bears – $6,000

CHICAGO, ILLINOIS – NOVEMBER 21: David Montgomery #32 of the Chicago Bears runs with the ball against the Baltimore Ravens at Soldier Field on November 21, 2021 in Chicago, Illinois. (Photo by Jamie Sabau/Getty Images)

I see a stage…and I see a drummer. The stage is a super-early kickoff against a dreadful run defense. The drummer is Monty, who is one of the hardest-working players in the league (on and off the field). It wouldn’t shock me at all to see Monty get 30 touches in Matt Nagy’s lame-duck game, which portends to a bonanza of fantasy points.

RB – Jamaal Williams – Detroit Lions – $4,000

I had a huge double-take on this salary. Everyone forgot about how effective Williams has been this season as a tandem back to Deandre Swift before his injury. He came back to seven carries last week and should easily pay off at the minimum price against the Bears.

WR – Stefon Diggs – Buffalo Bills – $7,900

Diggs is a target monster, regardless of who the Bills are facing. He is the most targeted player in the NFL against man coverage. The Saints use man coverage the seventh-most of any team in the league. If Devonta Smith can get open against Marshon Lattimore, I would expect Diggs to light up his Christmas tree, even if it’s premature for the season.

WR – Darnell Mooney – Chicago Bears – $5,700

CHICAGO, ILLINOIS – NOVEMBER 21: Darnell Mooney #11 of the Chicago Bears attempts to catch a pass in the game against the Baltimore Ravens during the third quarter at Soldier Field on November 21, 2021 in Chicago, Illinois. (Photo by Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images)

You cannot ignore a player under $6k who garnered 16 targets the week before. In typical Bears fashion, only a third were completed. One of those completions happened to be a well-blocked bubble screen that Mooney used to showcase his elusiveness and breathtaking speed. You might have heard about how terrible the Lions are at covering fast receivers, in which case you already know where I’m going with this.

WR – Cedrick Wilson – Dallas Cowboys – $3,500

This play has everything to do with the absence of Amari Cooper, not CeeDee Lamb. Without their stud X receiver garnering all the coverage attention in the second half, even Wilson wasn’t able to find much open space from the slot last week. If CeeDee is activated from concussion protocol, Ced will be much more than a value dart throw.

TE – Darren Waller – Las Vegas Raiders – $6,400

It’s quite simple: Waller is a stud and the Cowboys can’t cover him. There’s a stack in it for me to boot. The key to Vegas’ offense getting back into their flow will be the ability for Carr to pepper Waller with targets like he did in Week 1. Waller’s ability after the catch also has a big opportunity to be showcased against a Dallas secondary that hasn’t tackled well this year.

FLEX – Ezekiel Elliott – Dallas Cowboys – $8,000

KANSAS CITY, MISSOURI – NOVEMBER 21: Juan Thornhill #22 of the Kansas City Chiefs trips up Ezekiel Elliott #21 of the Dallas Cowboys during the second quarter of the game at Arrowhead Stadium on November 21, 2021 in Kansas City, Missouri. (Photo by David Eulitt/Getty Images)

Some of the best vintage Zeke performances have come on Turkey Day (remember him jumping in the giant Salvation Army kettle?). He has a knee contusion that appeared to be pretty painful on Sunday, but he has practiced in full leading up to Thursday. Dallas was embarrassed against the Chiefs when they couldn’t establish the physical run game and left a flat Dak Prescott to run for his life with Chris Jones on the loose. Both Dallas running backs are in play here, but I’ll take the touchdown upside and volume.

DST – Las Vegas Raiders – $2,400

I was a double-sided shit coin that I flipped for the two defenses I could afford here. It was either these Raiders or the Lions. Detroit is so bad that even Andy Dalton could light them up, so at least I can hope Vegas can put some pressure on Dak and score some fantasy points. Not proud of it, but it unlocked some great players.

Turkey Bowl Szn

It’s Turkey Bowl Szn!! The most wonderful time of the DFS year. I’ve written exclusively all about my previous Turkey Day exploits here at NimblewNumbers.com. I love Thanksgiving so much! A full day of football and food, in the middle of the week, DFS, on a day off from work…is this heaven?! If not, it’s pretty damn close. If we could pull off a Billy Murray/Ground Hog Day scenario, I would relive Thanksgiving every day forever and ever.

Bo might not feel the same way. Go back and reread his intro. This time, read between the lines and you can hear just how badly I ruined his Thanksgiving last year. I’m sure the feast he consumed was through uncried tears of anguish seeing his beloved “Boys” and his DFS lineups get bludgeoned by Antonio Gibson. Another feather in my Thanksgiving cap, adding to the myth, lore, and legend surrounding my Turkey day holiday triumphs.

I love Bo and am genuinely grateful for our friendship. It means the world to me that I, out of all the people in the world, get to ruin his Thanksgiving. It’s a real privilege, my friend. I know you would do the same for me if you could. Instead, sit back with your favorite whiskey and cry those silent tears knowing that this year I’m thankful for you brother.

Scott’s Lineup

QB – Josh Allen – Buffalo Bills – $7,800

NASHVILLE, TENNESSEE – OCTOBER 18: Quarterback Josh Allen #17 of the Buffalo Bills is tackled short of the first down marker on third down by safety Amani Hooker #37 of the Tennessee Titans during fourth quarter at Nissan Stadium on October 18, 2021 in Nashville, Tennessee. (Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images)

Josh Allen and the Bills got crushed last week by the Colts, 41-15. Josh Allen still scored 18.2 DraftKings points, despite his horrible performance. This week Allen will rebound against a Saints defense that was just bludged by the Eagles on Sunday, giving up 40 points and over 250 yards rushing. Jalen Hurts rushed for 69 of those yards, meaning that Allen can exploit the Saints on the ground. Allen should be able to move the ball against the Saints through the air as well. Their secondary has given up 1800 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns to wide receivers, good for 24th best in the NFL.

RB – David Montgomery – Chicago Bears – $6,000

David Montgomery is the best running back value on the slate this week. The Lions are one of the worst tackling teams according to PFF. Monty specializes in breaking tackles. The Lions also rank 30th against running backs giving up close to 1,500 total yards and 17 total touchdowns. There’s a great chance for a touchdown from Monty this week. I’m sure that’s why Bo has him in his lineup as well.

RB – D’Andre Swift – Detroit Lions – $7,300

PITTSBURGH, PENNSYLVANIA – NOVEMBER 14: D’Andre Swift #32 of the Detroit Lions carries the ball during a game against the Pittsburgh Steelers at Heinz Field on November 14, 2021 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Emilee Chinn/Getty Images)

D’Andre Swift is quietly having a tremendous 2021, scoring the fifth-most DraftKings points for running backs, and averaging 19.2 points per game. This week he’s priced $700 less than Zeke, who is nursing a knee and an ankle injury. Jamaal Williams is back, but I’m not worried about Swift. He’s leading all NFL running backs in targets and receptions and is second in receiving yards.

WR – Stefon Diggs – Buffalo Bills – $7,900

ORCHARD PARK, NEW YORK – NOVEMBER 21: Stefon Diggs #14 of the Buffalo Bills and Rock Ya-Sin #26 of the Indianapolis Colts during the game at Highmark Stadium on November 21, 2021 in Orchard Park, New York. (Photo by Kevin Hoffman/Getty Images)

Stefon Diggs is seeing nine targets per game over the last five games and is averaging 20.6 DraftKings points. Diggs has seen the end zone in back-to-back games and has the highest ceiling of any wide receiver on the Thanksgiving slate. Bo rostering him makes all the sense in the world.

WR – Darnell Mooney  – Chicago Bears – $5,700

Darnell Mooney is way too cheap! I knew immediately that Bo would have him on his squad. He’s been in love with Mooney ever since he read about his upside in this year’s WR2 Theory. Mooney has been lacking consistency at the quarterback position. Enter Andy Dalton, filling in for an injured Justin Fields filling in for an injured Andy Dalton. Either way, there should be opportunities for Mooney who saw 16 targets last week.

WR –  Cedric Wilson – Dallas Cowboys – $3,500

CeeDee Lamb might just end up playing tomorrow. This is great news for the Cowboys, but it does put a damper on Wilson’s value. If Lamb is OUT, on the other hand, there’s a tremendous opportunity to be had at close to min price. The only disappointment was finding out that Bo was thinking similarly and also rostered Wilson.

TE – Juwan Johnson – New Orleans Saints – $2,600

Finally, a play that Bo does not have. With Adam Trautman out for this game, Juwan Johnson finds himself as the starting move tight end this Turkey day. This is more of a GPP play, but I need all the tricks up my sleeve to beat Bo this week.

Flex – Darren Waller – Las Vegas Raiders – $6,400

LAS VEGAS, NEVADA – NOVEMBER 14: Darren Waller #83 of the Las Vegas Raiders runs down the field during the first quarter in the game against the Las Vegas Raiders at Allegiant Stadium on November 14, 2021 in Las Vegas, Nevada. (Photo by Chris Unger/Getty Images)

Darren Waller is averaging nine targets a game and 12 yards a reception. These are wide receiver numbers and I’m cool with that. He’s the number one target for Derek Carr in a matchup that the Raiders are predicted to be trailing in. He has the highest ceiling of any tight end on the Turkey Day slate. No brainer that Bo has him on his squad.

DST – Las Vegas Raiders – $2,400

The Raiders are facing a banged-up Cowboys team that is missing Amari Cooper and possibly CeeDee Lamb. Ezekiel Elliott is nursing injuries and the offense looks out of sync. According to PFF, the Raiders defensive line, led by Max Crosby, has a 39% advantage over Dallas’ offensive line. Look for Dak to be scrambling and for him to have at least one turnover this week.

Featured

Clash of the Beards and Bellies

I’m not that happy that I beat Simpson last week. We were both on the struggle bus with our lineups. I guess I only won because of the sunset on his lineup three hours earlier on the east coast. Don’t get me wrong, I loooooove taking my obligatory victory lap on social media, even if it’s the DFS equivalent of an infield single looking like a line drive in the box score.

Scott undoubtedly doesn’t want me to go all Phil Jackson and watch the hearty celebration that will accompany my second three-peat of the season, but he might not have a choice. My lineup is inevitable. With the snap of my finger on Tuesday, I built this lineup to aggressively chase a 200-point walloping to bring my series lead to 7-4. Sometimes, I play it conservative (like last week) and needlessly sweat out a narrow margin. Come Sunday, my lineup will either launch into the stratosphere or you’ll see me saluting as I go down with the sinking ship. Sharp bettors are slamming the former.

Bo’s Lineup

QB – Dak Prescott – Dallas Cowboys– $7,200

ARLINGTON, TEXAS – NOVEMBER 14: Dak Prescott #4 of the Dallas Cowboys celebrates his rushing touchdown against the Atlanta Falcons during the third quarter at AT&T Stadium on November 14, 2021, in Arlington, Texas. (Photo by Richard Rodriguez/Getty Images)

I couldn’t, in good conscience, not get a few pieces of the most important game of the year for my Dallas Cowboys. The Chiefs are riding high at the moment after three consecutive wins over hapless offenses. Dak Prescott is missing one weapon in Amari Cooper, but there’s a half dozen more right behind him who is ready to pick up his rifle and start shanking fools with their bayonet. Dak will be the highest-scoring quarterback on the slate.

RB – James Conner – Arizona Cardinals – $6,100

I officially renounced my distaste for James Conner as a running back a couple weeks ago. He looks better now than at any point since his rookie year. The sheer volume of quality touches for Conner is my favorite part about this game. Seattle has an atrocious run defense, especially against backs who can catch balls out of the backfield (see Alvin Kamara game). This is a wonderful value play with immense ceiling potential.

RB – Myles Gaskin – Miami Dolphins – $5,700

MIAMI GARDENS, FLORIDA – NOVEMBER 11: Jacoby Brissett #14 hands the ball off to Myles Gaskin #37 of the Miami Dolphins during the first quarter against the Baltimore Ravens at Hard Rock Stadium on November 11, 2021, in Miami Gardens, Florida. (Photo by Eric Espada/Getty Images)

I still haven’t retracted my opinion that Gaskin has no earthly business leading an NFL backfield, but here we are. The odd-numbered week narrative is guaranteed to persist this week against the Jets, who have allowed 39 PPR points per game to opposing running backs. Gaskin isn’t good, but he will be scoring points this Sunday.

WR – Nico Collins – Houston Texans – $3,300

As I laid out in my Hot Cash article, I’m fully prepared to be wrong about Collins. The rookie from Michigan has been the picture of consistency in his limited work, making huge strides in improving the technique that I criticized in the preseason. The Titans have a very bad secondary, only masking it with a vigorous ball control offense. Tyrod Taylor is in line for a serviceable game, with the young Wolverine potentially breaking out.

WR – Tyree Hill – Kansas City Chiefs – $8,200

LAS VEGAS, NEVADA – NOVEMBER 14: Tyreek Hill #10 of the Kansas City Chiefs walks off the field after a game against the Las Vegas Raiders at Allegiant Stadium on November 14, 2021, in Las Vegas, Nevada. (Photo by Sean M. Haffey/Getty Images)

The NFL’s target leader the last four weeks is Cheetah, who has assumed a much more diverse route tree in response to changes in coverage schemes to corral his ability to render the defense topless. Hill is ultra-elite after the catch and the Cowboys’ secondary hasn’t exactly demonstrated sound tackling or pursuit angles. I’m afraid of what Mahomes and Hill are capable of doing to this defense.

WR – CeeDee Lamb – Dallas Cowboys – $7,600

MINNEAPOLIS, MINNESOTA – NOVEMBER 22: CeeDee Lamb #88 of the Dallas Cowboys celebrates with teammate Michael Gallup #13 following a touchdown reception during their game against the Minnesota Vikings at U.S. Bank Stadium on November 22, 2020, in Minneapolis, Minnesota. (Photo by Hannah Foslien/Getty Images)

I built this stack even before Amari Cooper was added to the COVID list. Now, it’s looking like a delicious Scott killer. CeeDee has been an alpha all season, obviously stepping up to be Dak’s preferred weapon of war. The Chiefs have been blessed with three consecutive opponents with differing levels of passing anemia, but they’re in for the rudest awakening possible.

TE – Dalton Schultz – Dallas Cowboys – $4,600

I thought long and hard about going with Michael Gallup here, but there is some uncertainty of which position he will play in Cooper’s absence. The Chiefs have been a sieve to opposing tight ends, where Schultz has often been the second passing option in Kellen Moore’s offense. There’s plenty of meat on the bone to go with any Cowboys offensive player this week.

FLEX – Elijah Moore – New York Jets – $4,900

If you have been following along with the Nimble team since the preseason, you know that Scott and I are enamored with the rookie out of Mississippi. We fought over Elijah like siblings in multiple drafts. We also called one another like teenage girls in the 90s when he had his breakout game against the Colts. Miami’s defense stinks worse than Joe Flacco. At least the grisly (and handsome) vet can find the open man. Moore will be that guy all day long on Sunday.

DST – Washington Football Team – $2,400

I’m very conflicted about this pick. On one hand, I think Cam Newton will be a fantasy force in this Joe Brady offense. On the other hand, Washington showed some real moxie in defeating the GOAT’s Bucs and ruining my DFS hopes last week. At this salary, I’m hoping for a few sacks and for Superman to show some rust now that HE’S BAAAAACK!

Studs Up!!

I cannot let myself lose to Bo three straight weeks, especially heading into Thanksgiving week. This week I loaded up my squad with studs who are projected to ball out, running over Bo with my three running back build. I’m absolutely thrilled to have CMC all to myself, A.J. Dillon as well. David Montgomery was weaponized against me last season, I’m excited to return the favor. This is going to be one of my best teams of the Clash, hope you bring your best lineup this week Bo.

Scott’s Lineup

QB – Cam Newton – Carolina Panthers – $5,100

GLENDALE, ARIZONA – NOVEMBER 14: Quarterback Cam Newton #1 of the Carolina Panthers reacts during the NFL game at State Farm Stadium on November 14, 2021, in Glendale, Arizona. The Panthers defeated the Cardinals 34-10. (Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images)

Cam Newton is too cheap to pass up this week at $5,100. He’s not the best quarterback play on the slate, but his points per dollar value is through the roof. I wanted to build a lineup with three high-scorings running backs and Cam lets me do just that. I also

RB – A.J. Dillon – Green Bay Packers – $6,200

GREEN BAY, WISCONSIN – NOVEMBER 14: A.J. Dillon #28 of the Green Bay Packers celebrates with fans after scoring a touchdown against the Seattle Seahawks during the fourth quarter at Lambeau Field on November 14, 2021, in Green Bay, Wisconsin. (Photo by Stacy Revere/Getty Images)

A.J. Dillon is my favorite play on the DraftKings Week 11 main slate. Aaron Jones is OUT for Week 11, which means “All Day Dillon” is about to be unleashed on the league. RunTheSims.com has Dillon projected for 23 points in his matchup against the Minnesota Vikings. I was shocked that Bo didn’t have him on his team. Advantage Scott.

RB – David Montgomery – Chicago Bears – $5,500

David Montgomery’s $5,500 price is ridiculously low this week. I for one love playing him as a one-off or using him as the run-back piece in the Lamar Jackson game stack. Montgomery saw 84% of the snaps in his return to action against the Pittsburgh Steelers. Now David Montgomery is rested and has a 30% run blocking advantage according to PFF. The Ravens are giving up 25 fantasy points per game to running backs and rank in the bottom third in tackling. Montgomery is known for his ability to break tackles. It could be a long day for the Ravens and a good day for you if you roll with Monty.

WR – Rashod Bateman – Baltimore Ravens – $4,500

Rashod Bateman didn’t look like a rookie last week, hauling in six of eight targets for 80 yards. Bateman saw five more targets than Sammy Watkins, who was returning from injury. The Ravens will be able to pass on the Bears, who have given up over 1,600 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns to wide receivers. Marquise Brown is also a strong play in this game, glad Bo didn’t leverage me this week.

WR – Brandin Cooks  – Houston Texans – $6,000

MIAMI GARDENS, FLORIDA – NOVEMBER 07: Brandin Cooks #13 of the Houston Texans in action against the Miami Dolphins at Hard Rock Stadium on November 07, 2021, in Miami Gardens, Florida. (Photo by Mark Brown/Getty Images)

Brandin Cooks saw 14 targets in his last game from Tyrod Taylor. Cooks also has games of 11, 13, and 14 targets this year. The Titans rank 32nd against wide receivers, giving up 45 plus points per game. Cooks is projected 8-10 targets and should score a touchdown this week.

WR –  Tyreek Hill – Kansas City Chiefs – $8,200

KANSAS CITY, MO – OCTOBER 13: Tyreek Hill #10 of the Kansas City Chiefs celebrates after his third-quarter touchdown reception against the Houston Texans at Arrowhead Stadium on October 13, 2019, in Kansas City, Missouri. Hill had two touchdown receptions in the game. (Photo by David Eulitt/Getty Images)

Tyreek Hill is the most dangerous man on the DraftKings slate. He has 40 and 50 point performances this season. No shocker, Bo has this play as well. Whenever I make a power move, Bo is there. If anything, the guy is one of the best plays each week. We both agree that Hill has tremendous upside and should see 10-12 targets in this shootout.

TE – C.J. Uzomah – Cinncinati Bengals – $3,500

C.J. Uzomah has been hit or miss this season, scoring 24 and 26 points, but also seven and six. The Raiders game has the second-highest total on the board with 50 points up for grabs. Joe Burrow has passed for over 30 attempts in six of nine games. This game script should see Uzomah in play all game long. A touchdown would just destroy Bo. Fingers crossed.

Flex – Christian McCaffery – Carolina Panthers – $8,900

GLENDALE, ARIZONA – NOVEMBER 14: Quarterback Cam Newton #1 of the Carolina Panthers talks with Christian McCaffrey #22 during the NFL game at State Farm Stadium on November 14, 2021, in Glendale, Arizona. The Panthers defeated the Cardinals 34-10. (Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images)

Christian McCaffery is back!! Last week he amassed 156 yards and scored 26.1 points without the 100 rushing bonus or scoring a touchdown. The Washington Football Team is down Chase Young and Montez Sweat in this matchup, great news for CMC and his point total potential. He has the highest ceiling this week according to RunTheSims.com.

DST – Detroit Lions – $2,100

This is a pure pay-down play. The Lions are a young and hungry defense, who sucks. I just needed the money to get to CMC. The End.

Featured

Nimble GPP:Plays to Get You Paid

Welcome to NFL Week 11! Each week Nimble GPP will bring you the plays to get you paid for DraftKings GPP. Excited to share all my “Nimble GPP” content with you all this year. Each week I will help you build GPP lineups by providing you the building blocks at each skill position by identifying “High Priced”, “Mid-Range”, and “Value” plays. The play represents the player that I predict for the most upside at their price range. Mix and match the players you are high on and build your optimal lineup.

If you are interested in NIMBLE GPP Lineups or Bo McBrayer’s GPP Lineups, check out our Nimble Patreon. All Nimble’s Numbers will be powered by RuntheSims.com this year. Signup for a free account today!!

High Priced – Quarterback

Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys – $7,200

ARLINGTON, TEXAS – NOVEMBER 14: Dak Prescott #4 of the Dallas Cowboys celebrates his rushing touchdown against the Atlanta Falcons during the third quarter at AT&T Stadium on November 14, 2021 in Arlington, Texas. (Photo by Richard Rodriguez/Getty Images)

Dak Prescott and the Dallas Cowboys are currently +2.5 road underdogs in their game against the Kansas City Chiefs. The 56.5 total means that Dak will be most likely chucking it on Sunday. Last week Dak scored over 26 points in a game that was over at halftime. Stacking Dak with CeeDee Lamb ($7,600) and either Amari Cooper or Michael Gallup makes sense if you are looking to maximize your leverage in larger field GPP tournaments. Sal Verti currently has Lamb for under 7% rostership, which means that people are afraid to pay up for him.

Mid-Range – Quarterback

Derek Carr, Las Vegas Raiders – $5,900 

The Bengals vs. Raiders 50 team total is quietly the second-largest team total for Week 11. Both offenses are better than their defenses. The Bengals give up close to 37 fantasy points to wide receivers this season. Hunter Renfrow ($5,800) and Darren Waller ($6,100) both have favorable matchups and should be used heavily in this back and forth game script. Stacking Carr with either or both makes sense given their relatively low costs.

Value – Quarterback

Cam Newton, Carolina Panthers – $5,100

GLENDALE, ARIZONA – NOVEMBER 14: Quarterback Cam Newton #1 of the Carolina Panthers reacts during the NFL game at State Farm Stadium on November 14, 2021 in Glendale, Arizona. The Panthers defeated the Cardinals 34-10. (Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images)

Cam Newton is back in Carolina!! What a week to be back as the starter as the Panthers welcome back ex-head coach Ron Rivera and the Washington Football Team. The revenge narrative aside, Cam has a juicy matchup against a WFT defense that was already ranked 32nd in points against the quarterback and will be without you stars Chase Young and Montz Sweat this week. Cam’s rushing upside was on display last week when he rushed for one score and set up another. I love Cam at his $5,100 price tag and will be playing him naked or stacked with CMC for only $14,000.

High Priced – Running Back

Christian McCaffery, Carolina Panthers – $8,900

Speaking of Christian McCaffery, he’s back too!! Last week CMC scored 26.1 points without rushing for 100 yards or scoring a touchdown. Don’t overthink this one. Despite the low game total (43.5), I trust McCaffery in this matchup to score 25 points. With a ceiling closer to 37 points, I’ll pay up for CMC this week in small to mid-sized GPP field tournaments.

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Mid-Range – Running Back

A.J. Dillon, Green Bay Packers – $6,200

GREEN BAY, WISCONSIN – NOVEMBER 14: A.J. Dillon #28 of the Green Bay Packers celebrates with fans after scoring a touchdown against the Seattle Seahawks during the fourth quarter at Lambeau Field on November 14, 2021, in Green Bay, Wisconsin. (Photo by Stacy Revere/Getty Images)

A.J. Dillon is my favorite play on the DraftKings Week 11 main slate. Aaron Jones is OUT for Week 11, which means “All Day Dillon” is about to be unleashed on the league. RunTheSims.com has Dillon projected for 23 points in his matchup against the Minnesota Vikings. He’s currently running an 18% optimal rate and the secret looks to be out. Dillon is currently projected to be rostered in close to 30% of builds. I’m fine eating the chalk, just make sure that you diversify elsewhere in larger GPP contests.

Value – Running Back

David Montgomery, Chicago Bears – $5,500

David Montgomery’s $5,500 price is ridiculously low this week. I for one love playing him as a one-off or using him as the run-back piece in the Lamar Jackson game stack. Montgomery saw 84% of the snaps in his return to action against the Pittsburgh Steelers. Now David Montgomery is rested and has a 30% run blocking advantage according to PFF. The Ravens are giving up 25 fantasy points per game to running backs and rank in the bottom third in tackling. Montgomery is known for his ability to break tackles. It could be a long day for the Ravens and a good day for you if you roll with Monty.

High Priced – Wide Receiver 

Davante Adams, Green Bay Packers – $8,400

According to PFF, Davante Adams has the second-best cornerback matchup for Week 11. Great news for Aaron Rodgers and for everyone who pays $8,400 for Adams. One of my favorite ways to roll Adams out is in a game stack with A.J. Dillon and Dalvin Cook as the run-back. In this build, I am banking on the Packers’ offense being concentrated on Adams and Dillon, Rodgers’s two best players. Running it back with Dalvin makes the most sense given the game script and leverage it gives you over the field.

Mid-Range – Wide Receiver 

Brandin Cooks, Houston Texans – $6,000

MIAMI GARDENS, FLORIDA – NOVEMBER 07: Brandin Cooks #13 of the Houston Texans in action against the Miami Dolphins at Hard Rock Stadium on November 07, 2021 in Miami Gardens, Florida. (Photo by Mark Brown/Getty Images)

Brandin Cooks has games of 11,13, 14, and 14 targets this season. Tyrod Taylor should be targeting him early and often this week against a Tennessee Titans secondary that ranks 32nd against wide receivers, giving up over 46 points per game. The Texans should be trailing in their matchup against the Titans and Cooks should see 8-10 targets as they scramble to keep up. I’m comfortable loading Cooks into all my GPP builds, no matter the tournament or field.

Value – Wide Receiver 

Michael Gallup, Dallas Cowboys – $4,200

Last week Michael Gallup returned and saw more targets than an ailing Amari Cooper, scoring 7.2 points. This week he is still priced down in the 4K range making him a great value dart throw in GPP tournaments. I will be primarily stacking him with Dak Prescott in Cowboy/Chief games stacks as the second wide receiver option. I’m comfortable playing Gallup as a one-off at his $4,200 price as well.

High Priced – Tight End

George Kittle, San Francisco 49ers – $6,300  

SANTA CLARA, CA – NOVEMBER 15: George Kittle #85 of the San Francisco 49ers makes an 8-yard touchdown catch during the game against the Los Angeles Rams at Levi’s Stadium on November 15, 2021 in Santa Clara, California. The 49ers defeated the Rams 31-10. (Photo by Michael Zagaris/San Francisco 49ers/Getty Images)

It’s so great to have George Kittle back!! In the last two weeks, he’s scored 24 and 16 points respectively. He’s seen 15 targets, amassed 151 receiving yards, and has scored twice. This week Kittle is facing a Jacksonville Jaguars defense that hasn’t been terrible against tight ends, but they haven’t faced any as good as Kittle either. PFF has Kittle with a 32% advantage over Jags’ linebacker Damien Wilson. I expect Jimmy G. to continue to target Kittle, particularly in the red zone. I’m comfortable paying up for Kittle and at under 6% projected rostership, he’s leverage over Kelce and Waller.

Mid-Range – Tight End

Dawson Knox, Buffalo Bills – $4,000

NASHVILLE, TENNESSEE – OCTOBER 18: Dawson Knox #88 of the Buffalo Bills runs the ball in for a touchdown that is called back by a penalty during a game against the Tennessee Titans at Nissan Stadium on October 18, 2021 in Nashville, Tennessee. The Titans defeated the Bills 34-31. (Photo by Wesley Hitt/Getty Images)

Dawson Knox returned to action last week after missing a few games recovering from a broken hand. He caught his only target for 17 yards. This week, he’s priced down $500. Take the discount and play Knox this week. Both Emmanuel Sanders and Cole Beasley missed practice this week nursing their own injuries. The Indianapolis Colts rank 27th against tight ends, giving up over 16 points per game. Knox is picking up less than 1.2% rostership, you know what to do. Smash.

Value – Tight End 

Cole Kmet, Chicago Bears – $3,400

Don’t look now, but Justin Fields might have a new favorite target and it’s Cole Kmet. The last time they took the field together in Week 9, Kmet was splashing against a formidable Pittsburgh Steelers’ defense for six receptions and 87 yards. The Baltimore Ravens print money to the tight end position, giving up over 17 points per game. I love Kmet as a punt tight end this week in larger GPP field tournaments.

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Featured

Hot Cash From the King of Spice

Totally Hooked

Addiction runs in my family. Self-discipline does not. The preferred crutch has been alcohol, for the most part. I have been able to steer clear from letting booze control my life the way it did with my grandfather and father for most of their adult lives. I’m a nail biter. I drink way too much coffee. I will gamble on just about anything. The list of my vices goes on like a laundry list, but to this point I have been fortunate to avoid the ones that can ruin my life.

Some things, like DFS, actually bring me incredible enjoyment. I’m hooked to the sweating and tilting and I cannot get enough. I’ve spent the past few years chasing the dragon that is taking down a big tournament. I’ve had some really big wins over the years, but haven’t actually finished first in any GPP since 2019. I play cash games to snowball my DFS bankroll. It’s a very effective way to get more of those high-volatility lottery tickets. I’ve outright won seven large-field 50/50 games since my last tournament win.

It’s straight painful to build a “cash lineup” that ends up scoring enough points to win the tournament you built different lineups for. You’re left with a nice $100 off your $50 entry, but left wanting for the thousands you missed out on. My 2021 season has been a complete 180 degrees from last year. In 2020, I profited in cash games in all-but-three main slates, from Week 1 through the Super Bowl. It has been a struggle this season, pulling in at 50 percent. The process is sound, but the players I’m rostering simply haven’t been playing to expectation or have been injured during the game.

My bankroll hasn’t been snowballing, my gambling is ice cold. Ever the stubborn go-getter, I still have hope. Hope and potential get people fired, but I’ll keep playing because I won’t fire myself. There is still a large skill element to DFS and I have helped a lot of you wonderful consumers of my work win some impressive sums of money. That’s all I need to keep this going. Individual results will ebb and flow for eternity. I write for the smiles and grind tape and data to fortify my process each week for all of our lineups.

Now that we’ve gotten down and dirty with honesty and stories of getting humbled, lets dive in on Week 11. Everything I’ve seen so far this week points to me using my “chalky” cash lineups in tournaments as well. The chalk is going to smash on the main slate. These might be plays designed for 50/50s and head-to-heads, but I’d be stunned if they didn’t cross over as simply “good plays” across all contest types.

Week 11 Cash Plays

I have a slightly different view from the consensus on how to build winning cash lineups. Instead of focusing on players with a “high floor,” I instead focus on their expected workload. These players often have that safe floor as a result of the VOLUME of opportunities, but they also have a higher likelihood of returning the 3x+ value that most cash games require to end the day above the pay line. A smart cash player has to always consider ceiling as a part of the equation, just maybe weighted lighter than if building for a GPP. I ask myself the same question every time: Does this player’s expected volume of opportunities (EVO) have high odds of accomplishing 3 points per salary dollar, divided by 1,000 (x=3[y/1000]).

KEY INGREDIENT*** — SECRET INGREDIENT*

ARLINGTON, TEXAS – OCTOBER 11: Dak Prescott #4 of the Dallas Cowboys celebrates his touchdown reception against the New York Giants during the second quarter at AT&T Stadium on October 11, 2020 in Arlington, Texas. (Photo by Tom Pennington/Getty Images)

Quarterbacks

JOSH ALLEN: VS INDIANAPOLIS ($8,100)

The perfect passing funnel offense meets a worthy pass funnel defense in this AFC showdown. Buffalo doesn’t even pretend to establish the run, unless done so by their monolithic signal caller. Indy is much tougher up front than on the back end, so expect a ceiling game for Allen.

LAMAR JACKSON: @ CHICAGO ($8,000)

Jackson was bottled up last week, then battled an illness this week. He is still a dynamic playmaker with an unmatched rushing floor and ceiling. He also has a stud rookie receiver building up to a breakout performance against a putrid Chicago secondary.

PATRICK MAHOMES: VS DALLAS ($7,600)

We got a nice reminder last week that Mahomes is still elite. Granted, the Raiders thumbed their nose at the proven success of Cover-2 Shell against the Chiefs’ deep passing attack. They instead opted for Cover-3, which proved moronic with the athletic advantage on Kansas City’s side. Cover-3 is the preferred scheme for Dallas DC, Dan Quinn, but they have been wonderfully multiple this season. The Cowboys will have a hard time defending Mahomes in any case this week.

DAK PRESCOTT: @ KANSAS CITY ($7,200)***

I fully expect Kellen Moore and the Dallas offense to plan for this abhorrent Chiefs’ defense more successfully than the Raiders did. Even without Amari Cooper, Prescott will have a full stable of weaponry that will put at least 35 points on the board. Lock him in for 25 fantasy points on Sunday.

AARON RODGERS: @ MINNESOTA ($7,000)

Next to Dak, Rodgers is my favorite quarterback play for Week 11. He seems to always have big games in Minnesota, where the Vikings sport one of the league’s worst coverage units. It won’t just be Davante Adams, either. Rodgers will be dealing to a variety of receivers, leaving the Vikings with little recourse to slow them down.

RYAN TANNEHILL: VS HOUSTON ($6,700)

Interestingly, Tannehill’s efficiency as a passer has gone up since the Titans lost Derrick Henry to injury. They are running the ball just as frequently as before. Even with a no-name group of pass catchers around AJ Brown, Tannehill is still putting up good fantasy numbers. Houston won’t be the defense that stops that trend.

JOE BURROW: @ LAS VEGAS ($6,600)

In a GPP, the Bengals stack has been quite lucrative this season. For cash, we need to proceed with caution in games where Cincinnati is likely to use their advantage in the running game. This seems like a shootout type of game, so Burrow & Co will be chucking the ball early and often against a terrible Raiders’ secondary.

KANSAS CITY, MISSOURI – SEPTEMBER 12: Quarterback Baker Mayfield #6 of the Cleveland Browns hands off to running back Nick Chubb #24 during the game against the Kansas City Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium on September 12, 2021 in Kansas City, Missouri. (Photo by Jamie Squire/Getty Images)

Running Backs

DALVIN COOK: VS GREEN BAY ($8,200)

Much like Aaron Rodgers feasts on the Vikings, so does Dalvin Cook to the Packers. His volume of work will again see an uptick after another week away from the injury report. One thing we haven’t seen a lot of this season is target volume, which should change to exploit a glaring weakness in the Green Bay coverage.

NICK CHUBB: VS DETROIT ($7,800)***

Praise be, Chubb has been activated from the COVID list just in time for his most favorable matchup of the season. Detroit has been gashed relentlessly by opposing running backs and Chubb is averaging six yards per carry on the campaign.

JOE MIXON: @ LAS VEGAS ($7,600)

The post-bye blind spot blesses the Bengals this week, although Mixon is not coming at an extreme value. This is probably because he exceeded 25 points in his last two games. The Raiders were initially pretty decent at defending running backs this year, but have since been ripped apart in negative game scripts. The Bengals will roll in this one, with Mixon carrying a heavy load.

JAMES CONNER: @ SEATTLE ($6,100)

Somehow, the NFL’s leader in touchdowns is cheaper than he was in a less-favorable matchup last week. The Seahawks are atrocious at defending running backs and Conner is playing like an absolute beast this year. Look for him to command the goal line opportunities, even if Kyler Murray returns from his ankle injury.

MYLES GASKIN*: @ NY JETS ($5,700)

The most consistently inconsistent player in the NFL is Gaskin. He has scored in double-digits in every single odd-numbered week in 2021. Week 11 brings the Jets, who have allowed 39.8 PPR points per game to opposing running backs. They also are the worst in the NFL at allowing receiving yards to running backs, which is the one area in which Gaskin hasn’t been terrible this season.

DAVID MONTGOMERY: VS BALTIMORE ($5,500)

Volume pays the bills in cash games. Monty returned from the IR to a full workload, casting aside any rumors that impressive rookie Khalil Herbert would eat into his role in the second half of the season. Baltimore is no longer the defensive stalwart of yesteryear. This is an absolutely scintillating value on the slate.

MARK INGRAM: @ PHILADELPHIA ($5,400)

As I was formatting this article, Alvin Kamara was officially ruled out for Sunday with his MCL sprain. With this news, Ingram slots in as a premium value for DFS running backs. The added bonus is that the Saints are heading to Philly to face a really bad run defense. I expect Ingram to get a lot of work and he is extremely likely to score a touchdown.

JEFF WILSON, JR: @ JACKSONVILLE ($5,100)

I am simply not convinced (nor are my Twitter PT friends) that Elijah Mitchell will play much, if at all on Sunday with a fractured finger. Even if Mitchell guts it out after surgery, he will be compromised. Wilson is a favorite of Kyle Shanahan’s and slots into a nice workload against a Jaguars team that should get blown off the field by the 49ers.

D’ONTA FOREMAN: VS HOUSTON ($4,900)

I wasn’t sold on Foreman until he went and changed his jersey number, put on red sleeves, and started rocking the tinted visor. He played like an alpha back last, albeit without putting forth a great fantasy performance. Peterson looks his age and McNichols is battling concussion protocol. This is another value running back that will be easy to fit into your DFS builds.

Wide Receivers

KANSAS CITY, MO – OCTOBER 13: Tyreek Hill #10 of the Kansas City Chiefs celebrates after his third quarter touchdown reception against the Houston Texans at Arrowhead Stadium on October 13, 2019 in Kansas City, Missouri. Hill had two touchdown receptions in the game. (Photo by David Eulitt/Getty Images)

DAVANTE ADAMS: @ MINNESOTA ($8,400)

Adams is the most reliable, consistent target hog in the NFL. He will have a pre-Thanksgiving feast in Minnesota on Sunday. I am projecting over 15 targets for Davante this week, so do the math on what his production will end up at.

TYREEK HILL: VS DALLAS ($8,200)***

The NFL’s leader in targets the last four weeks is a guy whose name isn’t normally associated with volume. Cheetah has settled into a role with much more route diversity to combine with his all-world ability to make extraordinary plays in space. The Cowboys allow a lot of big plays down the field and will struggle to contain Hill, even if they shadow him with Trevon Diggs.

STEFON DIGGS: VS INDIANAPOLIS ($7,900)

It was a long time coming, but Diggs had his first mega performance last week against the Jets. New York attempted to cover the All-Pro with man-to-man, attacking Josh Allen unsuccessfully with a myriad of blitzes. Indy is much more conservative, but their corners are getting roasted every week. Diggs will be back at the top of the scoring again this week.

DEEBO SAMUEL: @ JACKSONVILLE ($7,800)

The only reason we aren’t talking about Jimmy Garoppolo’s poor play is because Deebo Samuel is making spectacular plays on a weekly basis. Jimmy is playing smart by peppering Samuel with a massive target share. Deebo is even playing a few snaps per game as a running back to put the ball in his hands even more. The Jags don’t have anyone who can slow this train down.

CEEDEE LAMB: @ KANSAS CITY ($7,600)

Lost in the hoopla of Lamb’s big game last week is a minor arm injury that he has dealt with all week. Now with Amari Cooper on the COVID list, all of the attention has gone to Michael Gallup. I’m still firmly in the CeeDee camp. He is Dak’s favorite receiver this year and will get fat on the Chiefs in this marquee game.

BRANDIN COOKS: @ TENNESSEE ($6,000)

It seems that Cooks is always finding himself in Hot Cash. This is a true post-bye blind spot. Most DFS players won’t be as heavily exposed to the Texans-Titans game as I will be. Tennessee has some of the worst corners in the league, masking them only through a potent ball control offense. Cooks will get a ton of targets from Tyrod Taylor, with potential for a big breakout.

JALEN WADDLE: @ NY JETS ($5,600)

I was a bit worried about including Waddle in Hot Cash after last week’s game. He went from the short yardage slot role to more of an appropriate downfield route tree against the Ravens. Albert Wilson was getting his usual work and Waddle only saw six targets. I am actually excited to see if that trend continues against the Jets, who are as bad as any team at defending deep passes. Waddle might be a slate-breaker.

ELIJAH MOORE: VS MIAMI ($4,900)

DraftKings is biased against rookies, which is fine and dandy to me. DFS players can clean house with the young bucks hitting their stride in the second half of the season. Moore has taken over as the alpha receiver in New York and now has Joe Flacco as quarterback. Flacco isn’t great, but knows how to find the open man. Moore is that open man on just about every play, according to Reception Perception.

RASHOD BATEMAN: @ CHICAGO ($4,500)

Are you noticing a theme with these more affordable wide receivers? Breakout rookies…everywhere! Marquise Brown hasn’t slowed down with the emergence of future alpha, Bateman. Brown is working through a thigh injury. The rise of Bateman has also made the Ravens offense more pass-forward than ever before in the Lamar Jackson era. These are exciting times, especially at this salary for Week 11.

NICO COLLINS: @ TENNESSEE ($3,300)

That’s right, four rookies to wrap up my Week 11 Hot Cash receivers. I’m ready to admit my wrongness on Collins very soon. He has been amazingly consistent in limited work this season. Now that Taylor has returned healthy, we will see the best that the Michigan product has for the remainder of his rookie year. A date with a putrid Titans’ secondary at $3.3k makes this even more tasty.

Tight Ends

TRAVIS KELCE: VS DALLAS ($7,100)

The Cowboys did a great job last week at clamping down on the amazing Kyle Pitts, but the Falcons don’t have a Tyreek Hill or a Patrick Mahomes. Kelce is also much more savvy at beating double teams at this stage of his career. Dallas still struggles to cover the tight end and slot positions where Kelce will be running his routes. He’s a safe-but-expensive play for Week 11.

GEORGE KITTLE: @ JACKSONVILLE ($6,300)***

With arguably the same projection as the gold-plated Kelce, I have Kittle as my favorite tight end for Week 11. The $800 discount is more than enough to favor Stone Cold Kittle in a very palatable date with the Jags. I’ll be playing him in all formats, salary permitting.

MIKE GESICKI: @ NY JETS ($5,200)

Don’t let last week’s donut distract you from the big picture: Gesicki is a target hog. He still garnered seven (horribly inaccurate) targets last week, which means you can play him with confidence in cash games, especially against terrible defenses like the goddamn Jets.

DALTON SCHULTZ: @ KANSAS CITY ($4,600)

I very nearly put the triple asterisks next to Schultz’s name, but Kittle was just too good to pass up. With Jarwin (and now Cooper) out, the Stanford product stands to see a nice bump in looks from Dak against a very bad defense. My hope is that Kansas City won’t think to shadow the tight end with Tyrann Mathieu, who has done a much better job than the horrendous Daniel Sorensen.

DAWSON KNOX: VS INDIANAPOLIS ($4,000)

I missed on Knox last week. The same went for Cole Beasley. I honestly thought the Jets would have played more zone, opening up passing lanes to the tight end and slot receiver. Instead, they went man and left Diggs wide open. The Colts are a heavy zone team and struggle to cover anyone. Knox will be back on the map this week.

CJ UZOMAH: @ LAS VEGAS ($3,500)

I hope you didn’t think I gave up on Uzomah. After two down weeks, followed by the bye, I am very high on him for GPP value with upside out the wazoo against the Raiders. Vegas ranks 30th against tight ends in the NFL, which is nice. I expect Hayward to cover Jamarr Chase, leaving lesser men in coverage for Higgins, Boyd, and Uzomah.

MYCOLE PRUITT: VS HOUSTON ($2,600)

It’s pretty funny that I always pigeon-holed Pruitt as a blocking tight end. Apparently, it was Arthur Smith that did that. Pruitt’s athletic profile is very impressive for a tight end and the more-targeted Geoff Swaim (shoutout NorCal) has been ruled out against the Texans on Sunday. If you’re pinching pennies, you could do a lot worse than Pruitt. He is as likely as any Titan to find the end zone.

Featured

Clash of the Beards and Bellies

In Dominating Fashion

There’s something endearing about a villain. Maybe it’s just me, but Michael Richards in “Problem Child” and Christopher Lloyd in “Dennis the Menace” were some of my favorite antagonists. It could be that they were scaring some troubled youth right back on the straight and narrow. They were unabashedly disgusting and askew from gentrification, free to unleash a brand of chaos that we found frightening in the 90s.

I emerged from the mud and mediocrity last week to rain chaotic hellfire on poor Simpson. I didn’t even need Chase Edmonds’ vitality to romp and puff my chest out for the world to see. For the first time all season, Scott bore the brunt of my best lineup. His menacing and maniacal fireside call-out sealed his fate. For my next act, I will force him to listen to Baby Shark on loop for two hours if I win this week. What if, this entire time, I was the villain?

Bo’s Lineup

QB – Tom Brady – Tampa Bay Buccaneers – $7,600

GREEN BAY, WISCONSIN – JANUARY 24: Tom Brady #12 of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers warms up prior to their NFC Championship game against the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field on January 24, 2021 in Green Bay, Wisconsin. (Photo by Stacy Revere/Getty Images)

The GOAT is averaging over 330 passing yards per game this season and is facing a secondary that is allowing over 300 yards passing per week. Even without a couple weapons, I can’t picture Brady having any trouble ripping Washington apart.

RB – Dalvin Cook – Minnesota Vikings – $8,000

BALTIMORE, MD – NOVEMBER 07: Dalvin Cook #33 of the Minnesota Vikings carries the ball against the Baltimore Ravens during the first half at M&T Bank Stadium on November 7, 2021 in Baltimore, Maryland. (Photo by Scott Taetsch/Getty Images)”nNo licensing by any casino, sportsbook, and/or fantasy sports organization for any purpose. During game play, no use of images within play-by-play, statistical account or depiction of a game (e.g., limited to use of fewer than 10 images during the game)

A disturbing story about Cook from last year surfaced this week, distracting some from a choice matchup against the Chargers. LA has a nice run funnel and Cook will get a ton of work with plenty of upside.

RB – Najee Harris – Pittsburgh Steelers – $7,900

Any bell-cow back that gets to face the Detroit Lions puts dollar signs in my eyes and drool down my chin like when Sylvester the cat sees Tweety in his cage. Najee is a bona fide stud and will absolutely feast on this defense.

WR – Mike Evans – Tampa Bay Buccaneers – $6,900

TAMPA, FLORIDA – OCTOBER 24: Mike Evans #13 of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers reacts in the second quarter against the Chicago Bears in the game at Raymond James Stadium on October 24, 2021 in Tampa, Florida. (Photo by Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images)

With the injuries to Gronk, AB, and Godwin (game-time decision), the Tampa Bay receiving situation has been narrowed to the point of great clarity. Evans is going to feast on this terrible Washington secondary. As always, he is a threat to score multiple touchdowns to boot.

WR – Diontae Johnson – Pittsburgh Steelers – $6,800

CLEVELAND, OHIO – OCTOBER 31: Diontae Johnson #18 of the Pittsburgh Steelers reacts during the second half against the Cleveland Browns at FirstEnergy Stadium on October 31, 2021 in Cleveland, Ohio. (Photo by Nick Cammett/Getty Images)

DiontBAE is the preferred target in the Steel City for Big Ben, no matter how impressive the Muth has been. He is a technician on the outside and will have more reign over the route tree without Chase Claypool on the field.

WR – Josh Palmer – LA Chargers – $3,000

The Vikings’ secondary has been lit up like a prematurely-adorned Christmas tree this season. They even surrendered a big game to Cedrick Wilson of the Cowboys, who plays a lot like the Chargers’ rookie out of Tennessee. Palmer is a big play waiting to happen.

TE – OJ Howard – Tampa Bay Buccaneers – $2,700

With Gronk still on the mend, I could very well spend the same amount on Cameron Brate. He’s boring, so I’ll go with the more athletic Howard. At least he might put up some PPR numbers before Brate vultures his touchdown.

FLEX – D’Ernest Johnson – Cleveland Browns – $4,700

CLEVELAND, OHIO – OCTOBER 31: Running back D’Ernest Johnson #30 of the Cleveland Browns runs for a gain during the first half against the Pittsburgh Steelers at FirstEnergy Stadium on October 31, 2021 in Cleveland, Ohio. The Steelers defeated the Browns 15-10. (Photo by Jason Miller/Getty Images)

Everyone, including my Aunt Sally, will be playing D’Ernest this week. He’s going to have a great game behind this stellar offensive line. He’s the only healthy running back anyway. Go forth and eat thine chalk with broth.

DST – Minnesota Vikings – $2,300

Do I think this defense will slow the Chargers down? No. Do I think they will get a few sacks and maybe force a turnover or two to correlate value stacked with Cook? Yes. That’s my story and I’m sticking to it.

 

The Bad Guy

Ever since I was a little kid, I’ve always wanted to be the “Bad Guy” but was always cast in the good guy role. Big brother, team captain, teacher, team leader, etc… I’ve never been able to embrace my true heel role until Bo came along and we started Clashing our Beards and Bellies. Finally, I got to be the bad guy and it turns out that I am terrible at it. Maybe the grass isn’t greener on the other side and guys like Vic Mackey and Tony Soprano weren’t who I was supposed to be, even if I did embrace their “No fucks given” attitude, it’s just not me. I have to face reality, as much as I wish I was, I am not the bad guy. I’m not the good guy either. I’m just a guy who’s going to whoop Bo’s ass this week and then try to do it again next week. Let the Clash begin!!!

Scott’s Lineup

QB – Tom Brady – Tampa Bay Buccaneers – $7,600

CHARLOTTE, NORTH CAROLINA – NOVEMBER 15: Tom Brady #12 of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers celebrates after a 98-yard touchdown run by Ronald Jones II #27 during their NFL game against the Carolina Panthers at Bank of America Stadium on November 15, 2020, in Charlotte, North Carolina. (Photo by Grant Halverson/Getty Images)

Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are going to stomp the Washington Football Team come Sunday. The WFT ranks 32nd against quarterbacks, giving up 25 points per game, three more points than the 31st ranked team. The WFT also ranks 31st against wide receivers this year, great news for Tom Brady and Mike Evans. I am projecting them to be the optimal skinny stack this week, so obviously, Bo has them both on his team as well (eye-roll).

RB – Najee Harris – Pittsburgh Steelers – $7,900

CLEVELAND, OH – OCTOBER 31: Najee Harris #22 of the Pittsburgh Steelers carries the ball during the second half against the Cleveland Browns at FirstEnergy Stadium on October 31, 2021 in Cleveland, Ohio. (Photo by Nick Cammett/Diamond Images via Getty Images)

The winless Detroit Lions are dreadful as a whole but are particularly terrible against running backs, ranking 31st and giving up 30 points per game.  Steelers’ rookie Najee Harris is licking his chops this week to face the Lions. He’s currently second in targets and receptions to only D’Andre Swift this season, with 52 for 40. I love Harris in Cash this week and apparently so does Bo (second eye roll).

RB – D’Ernest Johnson – Cleveland Browns – $4,700

D’Ernest Johnson is the best value on the DraftKings main slate this week with the rest of the Cleveland Browns running backs currently either on the COVID-19 list or the IR. Nick Chubb has been ruled OUT for Sunday so expect Johnson to get most of if not all the running back work in the Browns’ matchup against the New England Patriots. Apparently, Bo is aware of this as well (third eye roll).

WR – Mike Evans – Tampa Bay Buccaneers – $6,900

TAMPA, FLORIDA – OCTOBER 10: Mike Evans #13 of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers catches a touchdown pass against Byron Jones #24 of the Miami Dolphins during the fourth quarter at Raymond James Stadium on October 10, 2021 in Tampa, Florida. (Photo by Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images)

Mike Evans is my favorite wide receiver under 7K this week. PFF projects him to have a top 10 matchup advantage over the Washington Football Team’s cornerbacks. He should see tremendous volume with Antonio Brown and Rob Gronkowski both out for this game. Guess who else likes Evans this week (fourth eye roll)?

WR – A.J. Brown  – Tennessee Titans – $7,800

NASHVILLE, TENNESSEE – OCTOBER 18: A.J. Brown #11 of the Tennessee Titans celebrates the win at the end of a game against the Buffalo Bills at Nissan Stadium on October 18, 2021 in Nashville, Tennessee. The Titans defeated the Bills 34-31. (Photo by Wesley Hitt/Getty Images)

A.J. Brown and his 30% target share are what I am chasing in this matchup. The Saints rank 30th against wide receivers, giving up 42 points per game to pass catchers. I want 100% exposure to Brown this week! Especially since Bo doesn’t have him!!

WR –  Courtland Sutton – Denver Broncos – $5,600

Courtland Sutton has been overshadowed by the return of Jerry Jeudy to the lineup and as a result, his price has dipped dangerously low. I decided the price was too good to pass up this week. I do not need him to set the world on fire, just score 15 points for me.

TE – Dan Arnold – Jacksonville Jaguars – $3,500

Dan Arnold has been targeted 30 times the past four games. That’s good for a tight end right? The Colts defense ranks 28th against tight ends and has given up 544 receiving yards and six touchdowns on the season. I’m actually shocked that Bo doesn’t have him on his team.

Flex – Tyler Johnson – Tampa Bay Buccaneers – $3,300

TAMPA, FLORIDA – OCTOBER 10: Tyler Johnson #18 of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers is tackled by Jevon Holland #8 of the Miami Dolphins during the fourth quarter at Raymond James Stadium on October 10, 2021 in Tampa, Florida. (Photo by Julio Aguilar/Getty Images)

Last week Tyler Johnson scored 11.5 DraftKings points and won me $200 with his late-game catch. This week Chris Godwin is banged up with a foot injury that relegated him to limited participation in practice all week. Tyler Johnson is not on Bo’s squad so I am expecting him to be the difference-maker in our matchup. It’s Tyler Time!!

DST – Tennessee Titans  – $2,600

The Tennessee Titans defense is facing a New Orleans offense that ranks 28th in yards per game with 314, and now will be missing Alvin Kamara. The Titans should be able to keep the Saints in front of them and not give up the big play. They are a perfect pay-down option with week.

Featured

Nimble GPP:Plays to Get You Paid

Welcome to NFL Week 10! Each week Nimble GPP will bring you the plays to get you paid for DraftKings GPP. Excited to share all my “Nimble GPP” content with you all this year. Each week I will help you build GPP lineups by providing you the building blocks at each skill position by identifying “High Priced”, “Mid-Range”, and “Value” plays. The play represents the player that I predict for the most upside at their price range. Mix and match the players you are high on and build your optimal lineup.

If you are interested in NIMBLE GPP Lineups or Bo McBrayer’s GPP Lineups, check out our Nimble Patreon. All Nimble’s Numbers will be powered by RuntheSims.com this year. Signup for a free account today!!

High Priced – Quarterback

Tom Brady, Tampa Bay Buccaneers – $7,600 

GREEN BAY, WISCONSIN – JANUARY 24: Tom Brady #12 of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers warms up prior to their NFC Championship game against the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field on January 24, 2021 in Green Bay, Wisconsin. (Photo by Stacy Revere/Getty Images)

It’s a bit of good news/bad news for The Washington Football Team. They currently rank 32nd against quarterbacks, giving up 25 points per game. That’s the bad news. The good news is that they are not 32nd against wide receivers. They are 31st, giving up 43 points per game. On second thought, it was all bad news for Washington and just good news for those of us who believe that they will surrender 35 plus points this week against Tom Brady, Chris Godwin, and Mike Evans. Tom Brady is my favorite DraftKings quarterback play for Week 10. He currently leads the NFL in passing touchdowns with 25, despite coming off the bye. I’m stacking Brady with both Godwin and Evans, and throwing in some Tyler Johnson everywhere I have one of the other. I’m comfortable playing them in all formats and project them for the highest scoring stack of the week.

Mid-Range – Quarterback

Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys – $6,900

Dak Prescott struggled last week, only completing 19 of his 39 attempts for a sub 50% completion rate, his worst since 2016. The public doesn’t seem to have noticed, or they don’t care, or they just love his matchup against the Atlanta Falcons this week. He’s the third most rostered quarterback behind only Josh Allen and Justin Herbert. Differentiating with Dak will mean game stacking him with multiple players on both sides, which is easier to do than you might think with a priced down Amari Cooper and a reasonably priced Kyle Pitts. You are chasing a shootout, so make sure that your game stack is four to five players deep. This will help you to get away from the chalk and maximize your exposure to the game with the highest total on the slate.

Value – Quarterback

Matt Ryan, Atlanta Falcons – $6,000

Matt Ryan has been the seventh-highest scoring quarterback on DraftKings the last five weeks, averaging over 23 points per game. Ryan has passed for 11 touchdowns and 1450 passing yards in those performances. The Dallas Cowboys rank 27th against quarterbacks, giving up 20 points per game. They also rank 24 against wide receivers, giving up close to 40 points per game. They are a little better against tight ends, ranking 19th, and only giving up 14 points per game. I’m stacking Ryan with Cordarrelle Patterson and Kyle Pitts in smaller field GPPs.

High Priced – Running Back

Najee Harris, Pittsburgh Steelers – $7,900

PITTSBURGH, PENNSYLVANIA – NOVEMBER 08: Running back Najee Harris #22 of the Pittsburgh Steelers scores a touchdown against the Chicago Bears during the first quarter at Heinz Field on November 8, 2021 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Justin K. Aller/Getty Images)

Najee Harris is averaging 20.6 points and has scored over 19 points in six of eight games so far this season. According to RunTheSims.com, he’s projected to score 22.65 points this week. He’s second to only D’Andre Swift in targets and receptions catching 40 of 52 passes for 289 yards and two scores. Harris is in a smash spot against the 31st ranked Detroit Lions, who give up 30 points per week to running backs. Buckle-up, Harris is going to take you to paydirt this week. I’ll be playing him in stacked with Diontae Johnson and the Pittsburgh Steelers defense. Not sure if I just invented a new stack (RB, WR, DST), but I am telling people that I did (Wink).

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Mid-Range – Running Back

James Conner, Arizona Cardinals – $6,300

SANTA CLARA, CA – NOVEMBER 7: Samson Ebukam #56 and Tavon Wilson #32 of the San Francisco 49ers tackle James Conner #6 of the Arizona Cardinals during the game at Levi’s Stadium on November 7, 2021 in Santa Clara, California. The Cardinals defeated the 49ers 31-17. (Photo by Michael Zagaris/San Francisco 49ers/Getty Images)

James Conner broke the DraftKings main slate last week, scoring three touchdowns and 40.3 points for happy DFS players. Chase Edmonds has been placed on the short-term IR with an ankle injury, opening the door for Conner to see an increased workload again this week. I’m not expecting him to score 40 or even 30 points, but the low 20’s are definitely on the table. Conner is currently only projected to be rostered in 10% of DraftKings lineups this week. That’s leverage I will take given his upside in this explosive Cardinals offense. I will be rostering Conner in all formats.

Value – Running Back

D’Ernest Johnson, Cleveland Browns – $4,700

Everyone body and their mother will be playing D’Ernest Johnson this week with the rest of the Cleveland Browns running backs currently either on the COVID-19 list or the IR. Nick Chubb has been ruled OUT for Sunday and D’Ernest Johnson is picking up an incredible 32% rostership across all DraftKings contests. Johnso n is expected to see heavy volume in a tough grind-it-out clash with Bill Belichick and the Patriots. RunTheSims.com is projecting Johnson for a 30% optimal rate, one of the highest I have ever seen on the main slate. I will be playing Johnson everywhere and love double stacking him with a 2% rostered Brandon Bolden.

High Priced – Wide Receiver 

Mike Evans, Tampa Bay Buccaneers – $6,900

TAMPA, FLORIDA – OCTOBER 24: Chris Godwin #14 and Mike Evans #13 of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers react during the fourth quarter against the Chicago Bears at Raymond James Stadium on October 24, 2021 in Tampa, Florida. (Photo by Douglas P. DeFelice/Getty Images)

According to PFF, Mike Evans is a BEAST!! LOL. Okay, PFF didn’t say that directly, but they really like his matchup this week against the 31st ranked Washington Football Team secondary. Evans was close to unstoppable in the Buccaneer’s playoff win over Washington last January, hauling in six catches for 119 yards. I fully expect Mike Evans to rack up over 100 receiving yards and score a touchdown this week. If I had to choose him or Godwin, I would choose them both.

Mid-Range – Wide Receiver 

Jerry Jeudy, Denver Broncos – $5,300

Jerry Jeudy came back from his high-ankle sprain and looked good, catching six of eight passes for 69 yards (Nooice) and 12.9 DraftKing points. This week Jeudy will be primarily matched with Avonte Maddox, who is giving up 13.6 fantasy points per game to wide receivers. Jeudy is picking up 13% rostership this week, which is pretty high. I’m looking to primarily use him as a one-off, or in skinny stacks with a $5,500 priced Teddy Bridgewater.

Value – Wide Receiver 

Tyler Johnson, Tampa Bay Buccaneers – $3,300

Tyler Johnson scored 11.5 DraftKings points last week and won me $200. This week his price was jacked up $300 to a totally reasonable $3,300. Tom Brady trusts Johnson, targeting him six times last week for five receptions and 65 yards receiving. Antonio Brown and Rob Gronkowski are both OUT for this week, meaning that Johnson will be leaned on again to keep the chains moving and could even see his first touchdown reception of the season this week. I’m stacking Johnson with Brady and Evans or Godwin and also playing him as a pay-down one-off punt option.

High Priced – Tight End

Kyle Pitts, Atlanta Falcons – $5,800  

ATLANTA, GEORGIA – OCTOBER 31: Stephon Gilmore #9 of the Carolina Panthers defends against Kyle Pitts #8 of the Atlanta Falcons during the game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on October 31, 2021 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Mark Brown/Getty Images)

After two monster games, scoring 29.9 and 26.3 points, Kyle Pitts put up back-to-back disappointing performances, scoring only 12.5 points combined the last two weeks. Despite the dip in performance Pitts is the highest priced tight end this week and is coming in at close to 12% rostership, which is the second-highest for tight ends. One way to differentiate yourself from the chalk is to game stack Pitts with up to three players, two Cowboys with Cordarrelle Patterson.

Mid-Range – Tight End

Pat Freiermuth, Pittsburg Steelers – $3,900

PITTSBURGH, PENNSYLVANIA – NOVEMBER 08: Tight end Pat Freiermuth #88 of the Pittsburgh Steelers celebrates his touchdown against the Chicago Bears during the second half at Heinz Field on November 8, 2021 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Emilee Chinn/Getty Images)

Pat Freiermuth is coming off of his best game in his rookie season, scoring twice and finishing as the TE1 for the second week in a row. DraftKings would have priced him up to the upper 4K range, but for their devotion to the early Monday price drop. Love the hustle boys, I’m gonna take the value and run. Chase Claypool is OUT for Week 10, which should mean increased volume for Freiermuth, who has seen 20 targets in the last 3 weeks. He’s a great play in small and large field GPP tournaments, but don’t be surprised if he’s a little chalky. Eat the chalk and differentiate elsewhere to make it work.

Value – Tight End 

Dan Arnold, Jacksonville Jaguars – $3,500

Dan Arnold has been targeted 30 times the past four games. That’s good for a tight end right? The Colts defense ranks 28th against tight ends and has given up 544 receiving yards and six touchdowns on the season. Arnold’s $3,500 price makes him one of the more reasonable tight-end options with upside. I will be rolling him out in small to medium contests.

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Featured

Hot Cash From the King of Spice

Thank a Hero

I recently saw a graphic that made my eyes bulge. Since declaring independence in 1776, the United States of America has been involved in some sort of war for 229 of the 244 years (as of 2020). With war comes the need for servicemembers. Walking among us today are millions of men and women who voluntarily put their life in peril in the name of protecting the American way of life. Veterans, like my wife’s father (USMC-Vietnam) and two brothers (Army-Iraq x2 and USAF-Afghanistan) and my cousin Jill (USMC-Desert Storm), are heroes in my eyes. To all of the veterans stateside and abroad, I extend my deepest gratitude to you and your families.

We will have pseudo-heroes on the football field come Sunday, with NFL stadiums adorned with a smattering of camouflage and other forms of “Salute to Service” messaging. It’s an unfair comparison, but NFL players do put their bodies on the line for the sake of entertaining us. Football scratches a primal itch for a lot of us, delivering the gladiator blood sport action without a real threat of death. Then, there’s me (and you) on the couch, licking bean dip and wing sauce off our fingers before pounding another American lager. A little DFS action is all I need to get my rocks off on any given Sunday. From the moment that Scott Hanson’s gravelly timbre exclaims, “Seven hours of commercial-free football starts now,” I am entranced with star-spangled eyes. Thanks to those heroes, I am free to play this game I love with relative impunity.

Week 10 Cash Plays

I have a slightly different view from the consensus on how to build winning cash lineups. Instead of focusing on players with a “high floor,” I instead focus on their expected workload. These players often have that safe floor as a result of the VOLUME of opportunities, but they also have a higher likelihood of returning the 3x+ value that most cash games require to end the day above the pay line. A smart cash player has to always consider ceiling as a part of the equation, just maybe weighted lighter than if building for a GPP. I ask myself the same question every time: Does this player’s expected volume of opportunities (EVO) have high odds of accomplishing 3 points per salary dollar, divided by 1,000 (x=3[y/1000]).

KEY INGREDIENT*** — SECRET INGREDIENT*

LANDOVER, MARYLAND – SEPTEMBER 12: Justin Herbert #10 of the Los Angeles Chargers makes a pass against the Washington Football Team at FedExField on September 12, 2021 in Landover, Maryland. (Photo by Patrick Smith/Getty Images)

Quarterbacks

JOSH ALLEN: @ NY JETS ($7,900)

I think everyone is wondering what the hell happened last week against the Jaguars. Was it the magical Cover-2 shell scheme? Was the “the other Josh Allen” telepathically draining the Buffalo quarterback of his powers to score points? I haven’t the foggiest idea, but he gets to test these theories against the Jets’ abysmal defense. I’m confident it was just an aberration.

TOM BRADY: @ WASHINGTON ($7,600)

What happens when the GOAT gets to square off against a pathetic secondary? You get fireworks. Even with Antonio Brown out and Chris Godwin trending that way, Brady has done more with less better than anyone over his legendary career. Don’t hesitate to roster Tommy Terrific in all formats.

JUSTIN HERBERT: VS MINNESOTA ($7,300)***

The “Machine from Eugene,” as I have dubbed the second-year star from Oregon, has been spectacular in most of his games this season. A home date at SoFi with the putrid Vikings’ defense shouldn’t offer any resistance to this prolific Chargers’ passing attack. Look for Herbert to remedy the recent struggles of Mike Williams in the process of slicing this secondary to pieces.

DAK PRESCOTT: VS ATLANTA ($6,900)

Much like some of the other stud quarterbacks in Week 9, Dak struggled mightily in his first game off the calf injury. As with Josh Allen, I see it as a speed bump on the interstate. Atlanta is terrible on defense when compared to Denver. If Dallas can move the chains this week, they will put up a load of points on the Falcons.

MATT RYAN: @ DALLAS ($6,000)

Matty Ice was one of the bright spots at quarterback in Week 9, and now gets a date with the struggling Cowboys. Look for the Falcons to attack the middle of the field with Gage and Pitts, while testing the perimeter with Cordarrelle Patterson. This contest will have some shootout potential, so Ryan should attempt more than 30 passes.

TAYLOR HEINICKE: VS TAMPA BAY ($5,400)

There hasn’t been anything impressive out of the Washington quarterback after a hot start. Even then, his rushing upside and the perfect passing funnel on the Bucs’ defense means we can expect plenty of scoring opportunities for Heinicke. The Bucs should destroy Washington, so we are counting on Heinicke to take out the trash for us.

Running Backs

CHRISTIAN MCCAFFREY: @ ARIZONA ($8,400)

It was impossible not to smile as I typed this name for the first time in forever. CMC is the Panthers’ offense. Regardless of quarterback, McCaffrey will tote the rock a bunch of times and put up gaudy fantasy numbers in the process. The most perfect cash game player of his era has rightfully reassumed the throne.

JONATHAN TAYLOR: VS JACKSONVILLE ($8,100)

Many fantasy analysts doubted whether JT was “generational” or not. After the last few weeks, there is nary a detractor to be found. His unique size, speed, vision, quickness, patience, and contact balance is a sight to behold on the football field. The Jags haven’t been terrible against the run, but they are in for a reckoning with Indy. The Colts run their entire offense through the running back position. It took a year and a half, but Frank Reich finally realized that JT is good.

DALVIN COOK: @ LA CHARGERS ($8,000)***

Cook has been in the headlines for all the wrong reasons this week. That said, he is still primed for a massive performance against the Chargers. LA is getting mauled up front this season, especially against physical run-first teams like the Vikings. I would be stunned if Cook didn’t go for 25-plus this week with multiple touchdowns.

NAJEE HARRIS: VS DETROIT ($7,900)***

The rookie from Alabama picked up an injury designation this week, but logged a full Friday practice ahead of a salivating matchup with the Lions. This will be Chalk City in tournament play, but Najee’s volume against such a weak run defense leaves me hard-pressed to find a better play at any position on this slate.

AUSTIN EKELER: VS MINNESOTA ($7,600)

Ekeler’s ho-hum performance against the Eagles last week was somewhat disappointing, but it did cause his salary to drop $300 for this home game against the Vikings. I like that. He is still an elite dual-threat running back that is always a strong play in PPR formats.

EZEKIEL ELLIOTT: VS ATLANTA ($7,000)

Volume pays the bills in DFS cash games. Not many backs have toted the rock more over the last few years than Zeke. Atlanta isn’t a slouch up front, but Zeke will get his touches, both on the ground and through the air. He also has a built-in touchdown upside that few running backs in the league have on a weekly basis.

AARON JONES: VS SEATTLE ($6,900)

The Packers just won’t ever let Aaron Jones cook. He is obviously a gifted running back, with a bloodhound’s nose for the end zone and a penchant for the big play. Still, we witnessed him spend more than an entire quarter on the sidelines watching AJ Dillon take valuable touches away. He is still a great value this week against a very weak Seattle run defense, especially if Aaron Rodgers is cleared to play.

D’ERNEST JOHNSON*: @ NEW ENGLAND ($4,700)

No Nick Chubb? No Kareem Hunt? Not even Demetric Felton? No problem for the Browns. Johnson was impressive against a tough Denver defense a couple weeks ago. The Patriots have been less-than-stellar against the run this season. Cleveland will pound the run behind their excellent offensive line and spring Johnson for a great value performance this week.

Wide Receivers

AJ BROWN: VS NEW ORLEANS ($7,800)

Sure, you can add Davante Adams to this list once Aaron Rodgers is cleared, but until then, spend up at running back and save some salary with AJB as the top receiver for cash games. His target share has been massive (over 30%) and he adds some incredible potential after the catch.

TERRY MCLAURIN: VS TAMPA BAY ($7,600)

Value off the bye week has been a staple of my DFS strategy all season. We aren’t getting much of a discount on Scary Terry, but his target volume is near the top of all NFL receivers. Washington will be airing it out early and often against the Bucs, with McLaurin getting the first drink at the trough.

MIKE EVANS: @ WASHINGTON ($6,900)***

If there is a wonderful silver lining to injuries occurring, it is the clarity we get with some of these receiving groups. The Bucs flaunt some of the best starting receivers in the league, but as many as two of them will miss the game in DC. The healthiest of the stars is Evans, who is already among the most-targeted on the team. This is a mismatch made in heaven.

DIONTAE JOHNSON: VS DETROIT ($6,800)

The Steelers spread the ball around a lot more than I expected on Monday night against the Bears. It was the rookie tight end, Freiermuth that scored two touchdowns and an uptick in volume. Diontae is still the bread winner on the outside, especially with Chase Claypool hobbling around. This is a huge matchup advantage for Diontae against the Lions if Big Ben chooses to exploit it.

MIKE WILLIAMS: VS MINNESOTA ($6,600)

The darling of the early season has fallen off sharply the last few weeks. Williams has seen his target share abruptly fall from the loftiest of heights. Against the Vikings, it would behoove the Chargers to attack the outside more than they have lately. Williams is due for a resurgence this week.

MICHAEL PITTMAN, JR: VS JACKSONVILLE ($6,300)

Once thought of as more of a home run tournament-type receiver, Pittman has seen his target share from Carson Wentz hold steady. Wentz trusts the young receiver at all depths on the field now, choosing to pepper him in any situation. His salary is also remarkably low for his recent production.

JERRY JEUDY: VS PHILADELPHIA ($5,300)

On the surface, Philly has done a pretty good job covering outside receivers this season. That was with a healthy Darius Slay, and it belies their ineptitude at forcing incomplete passes. The middle of the field is ripe for the picking against the thoroughly unathletic Eagles’ defense. Jeudy might need to get his numbers through sheer volume, making him a great cash value on Sunday.

RUSSELL GAGE: @ DALLAS ($5,000)

After one game where Gage was active but not involved, he came alive last week with 13.4 points on eight targets. Dallas really struggles to cover the slot, especially if the receiver is savvy and shows good spatial awareness in zone coverage. Gage fits that bill and won’t break the bank.

JAKOBI MEYERS: VS CLEVELAND ($4,800)

It’s one of the most wondrous things in the NFL at the moment. Meyers now has the most receiving yards in NFL history without scoring a single touchdown. I haven’t weighed in on the topic until this week, but I believe he will get his first one on Sunday against the Browns to add to his already-solid workload.

TYLER JOHNSON: @ WASHINGTON ($3,300)***

Just like with Mike Evans, Johnson is a beneficiary of the Antonio Brown injury in this offense. Brady will still be throwing it plenty, and Johnson was one of my top value picks in Week 9. He’s only $200 more expensive than last week and Chris Godwin might also miss Sunday’s game. This is a screaming value and potential free square.

DENVER, CO – DECEMBER 29: Noah Fant (87) of the Denver Broncos runs after the catch against the Oakland Raiders during the third quarter on Sunday, December 28, 2019. (Photo by AAron Ontiveroz/The Denver Post)

Tight Ends

KYLE PITTS: @ DALLAS ($5,800)

The unicorn has fought through double teams and bracket coverage ever since Calvin Ridley stepped away from the team. He is still putting up decent numbers, even if Matt Ryan seems to lose all concept of accuracy and touch when targeting Pitts in the red zone. I say Pitts scores on a long touchdown against Dallas on Sunday.

DAWSON KNOX: @ NY JETS ($4,500)

His hand might still be mangled, but Knox is back for the Bills on Sunday. The middle of the field is a glaring weakness of the Cover-2 shell defense deployed on Buffalo last week. Knox will fill that gap nicely, should the Jets try to emulate the Jags this week.

NOAH FANT: VS PHILADELPHIA ($4,300)***

Fant was activated off the COVID-19 reserve list just in time for his juiciest matchup of the season. The Eagles are abysmal at linebacker and slot corner, allowing nearly an 80% completion percentage. Fant has the speed and range to really gouge this defense. I’m ready for it.

PAT FREIERMUTH: VS DETROIT ($3,900)

The old dog, Big Ben seems to have found himself a shiny new toy in Freiermuth. The Keystone State folks love the rookie out of Penn State more than their own children at this point. His two touchdowns on Monday night were a precursor to more work, especially with injuries in the receiving corps.

DAN ARNOLD: @ INDIANAPOLIS ($3,500)

The most targeted Jags receiver the last four weeks is…(drumroll)…Dan Arnold? He is a newcomer to Jacksonville, arriving via trade with the Panthers a month ago. He is already logging many of his snaps out wide to take advantage of his size and athleticism. Trevor Lawrence is smartly seeking out his security blanket, which won’t cost much against an Indy defense that struggles to cover any position.

Featured

Hot Cash From the King of Spice

Put a Ring on It

Let me set the scene for you. It was Chico, California on a day that Californians would consider chilly (under 70 degrees). I remember the date now, but it was otherwise an anonymous Monday in November. There were still bodies in the streets around campus sleeping off their Halloween hangovers two days later, but I was a junior Wildcat and surprisingly studious and dedicated to my education. Chico State was and is still is known more for its rowdy nightlife than its rigorous curriculum, but it wasn’t an itch I needed to scratch more than a couple evenings a week.

I was 22 and a regular on the Butte County karaoke circuit. It was an older scene, but one that made me feel right at home. I felt like the episode of Rocko’s Modern Life when Rocko discovered that Heffer was living his best life as “The King” of the local roller rink. Monday nights were open mic night at Madison Bear Garden (or simply, The Bear) and drinks were dirt cheap. The bartenders at The Bear knew me well by then and appreciated that I was a good tipper. The Bear is known for a few things, including a literal cornucopia of random things attached to the walls and ceilings. The back bar room where they held karaoke in cooler months had an entire freaking stagecoach bolted upside down on the ceiling. This night was special because I ended up singing to someone special.

We look back on that first night fondly after 10 years of marriage. The way I “pretended” to be her boyfriend because a bunch of drunk douchebags were lingering around her and her best friend and I was big and scary. She dared me to sing “Your Man” by Josh Turner because she didn’t believe I could sing bass like him. I got her real phone number that night. According to her, it was because I used proper grammar and “had a nice butt.” It hasn’t been a fairytale along the way, like we envisioned, but our best shared laughs pertain to our many adventures through young adulthood together. She is my queen and I am her jester. I don’t think I could hope for any better.

Despite getting absolutely shellacked last week by Scott head-to-head, the Nimble cash process was incredibly solid. We cleaned up easily in 50/50s and multipliers by getting aggressive in certain spots. Our cash games process won’t win every week, but losses are rare and haven’t cast any doubt on whether it’s working. In DFS, you get to put a ring on a different lineup every week. I doubt my wife would be understanding of that lifestyle choice in a different context.

Week 9 Cash Plays

I have a slightly different view from the consensus on how to build winning cash lineups. Instead of focusing on players with a “high floor,” I instead focus on their expected workload. These players often have that safe floor as a result of the VOLUME of opportunities, but they also have a higher likelihood of returning the 3x+ value that most cash games require to end the day above the pay line. A smart cash player has to always consider ceiling as a part of the equation, just maybe weighted lighter than if building for a GPP. I ask myself the same question every time: Does this player’s expected volume of opportunities (EVO) have high odds of accomplishing 3 points per salary dollar, divided by 1,000 (x=3[y/1000]).

KEY INGREDIENT*** — SECRET INGREDIENT*

Quarterbacks

JOSH ALLEN: @ JACKSONVILLE ($8,200)

Buffalo’s strength of schedule has been truly laughable lately when it comes to opposing defenses. It does toughen up in the second half, but not until they bludgeon the Jags on Sunday. Allen is a rare bird and offers magnificent stability and upside. He’s a great play, as always.

PATRICK MAHOMES: VS GREEN BAY ($7,800)

Remember, I weight volume more heavily than anything else for cash games. The Kansas City defense has been so abysmal that Mahomes can’t help but be a safe play every week. Sometimes the guy has a bad game, like last week, but you can’t fade a player of Mahomes’ magnitude this week in good conscience.

LAMAR JACKSON: VS MINNESOTA ($7,300)***

The DK salary algorithm strikes again! Stars are priced down coming off their bye week because last week’s performance is weighted in the formula. He should be the most popular quarterback in GPPs, but the chalk isn’t so heavy that you ignore his amazing value in a likely shootout game. Jackson is my favorite quarterback play of the week.

JALEN HURTS: VS LA CHARGERS ($6,700)

Along the same lines as Mahomes and Jackson, Hurts played poorly last week and is priced down against the Chargers. Los Angeles defends outside receivers well, but not so much the middle of the field. Philly should do just fine scoring points, with plenty of consolation volume to come in garbage time when Philly is inevitably getting destroyed.

DANIEL JONES: VS LAS VEGAS ($5,600)

Similar to Hurts, Jones is struggling mightily to be a good quarterback this year. That does not mean he isn’t valuable for DFS purposes on any given Sunday. He has good rushing ability and faces a Raiders defense that has a good pass rush, but isn’t that good. Down in this price range, a 20-point performance is more than sufficient.

JORDAN LOVE: @ KANSAS CITY ($4,400)

Nobody should expect Jordan Love to put on a scoring clinic like Aaron Rodgers, but this is the lowest salary for a starting quarterback I have ever seen on DraftKings. The Chiefs have also been absolutely atrocious on defense all season. Just think of the studs you can play with a quarterback who might as well be free.

Running Backs

ALVIN KAMARA: VS ATLANTA ($8,200)

I held off on putting Kamara on this list until Taysom Hill was ruled out this week. Hill is the Kamara killer, doing more to eliminate the joy of rostering him than any defense can. With Trevor Siemian starting, Kamara is in line for a massive workload against one of the worst defenses in the NFL against the running back position.

AUSTIN EKELER: @ PHILADELPHIA ($7,900)

It’s funny how I compared Austin Ekeler to Christian McCaffrey for PPR purposes when CMC was on the shelf. Now that CMC is expected to return, I’m stunned that he is already more expensive to roster than Ekeler. Philly struggles mightily to slow running backs down, especially through the air. This is a smash spot.

AARON JONES: @ KANSAS CITY ($7,200)

A young quarterback’s best friend is a great running game. It’s also a tight end, but the Packers lost Robert Tonyan for the season last week. Jones is an exemplary receiver in his own rite and will be the tip of the spear against the abysmal Chiefs’ defense. His volume is very stable, even when sharing with AJ Dillon. He also is a bloodhound when it comes to finding the end zone, which gives him tremendous upside.

NICK CHUBB: @ CINCINNATI ($6,700)

I simply don’t understand this one. How in the world is one of the very best running backs in the NFL under $7k? I’m not complaining one bit. He only yielded five touches to D’Ernest Johnson last week. The lone touchdown by Johnson is skewing what really happened last week in Chubb’s first game back. He still got 17 touches against a tough defense. I wouldn’t say the Bengals are as good as the Steelers at stopping the run, so even a slight bump in volume could make for a fun afternoon.

MYLES GASKIN: VS HOUSTON ($5,800)

I really think Gaskin stinks as a running back. He doesn’t do anything particularly well and is getting outplayed by his former college and current Dolphins teammate, Salvon Ahmed. He is still getting more opportunities than Ahmed, especially in the passing game. Much like a metronome, Gaskin only scores more than 10 points in odd-numbered weeks. He also gets a date with the Texans for Week 9.

CHASE EDMONDS: @ SAN FRANCISCO ($5,300)***

Despite only scoring 5.4 points against the 49ers earlier in the season, I’m firing up Edmonds as my top cash play at running back this week. With the news that Kyler Murray is a game-time decision, I expect a bump in volume for both Edmonds and James Conner, with the latter useless to me without receiving volume. I expect Edmonds to catch at least five passes and break off a couple big plays on Sunday.

JAVONTE WILLIAMS: @ DALLAS ($4,800)

It has been a pleasant surprise to see the Cowboys in the top-10 of defending running backs this season. I’m not so sure it has to do with their stoutness up front as it does their suspect pass defense, but it beckoned me to dig deeper. The teams that have run the ball effectively against Dallas used a physical runner (Fournette and Harris). Williams is the type of back that should see his volume increase as the season progresses, starting as the tone setter against the Cowboys.

Wide Receivers

TYREEK HILL: VS GREEN BAY ($7,900)

Football is a game of adjustments. The Chiefs have been destroying defenses for three years with Hill’s speed down the field. Recently, defenses have put an umbrella of deep safeties over the top with soft man coverage underneath. Last week, the Chiefs took advantage of that by taking the free short yardage to Cheetah and let him run after the catch. This change in strategy makes Hill a fantastic cash game option, where he has traditionally been a GPP mercenary.

JUSTIN JEFFERSON: @ BALTIMORE ($7,500)

Jefferson is so much fun to watch. He is a gifted technician on the outside, seemingly matchup-proof already in his second NFL season. I have a lot of respect for Marlon Humphrey, but he won’t be shadowing Jefferson on Sunday. He also has a massive disadvantage in the athleticism department when covering Jefferson. I love all the receivers in this shootout game.

ADAM THIELEN: @ BALTIMORE ($6,900)

Some of the Vikings games that turn into high scoring affairs turn into which Minnesota receiver scores 30 PPR points first (because they both do). With the Ravens’ secondary in rough condition, Thielen will have favorable zone looks on nearly every snap. I think he and Jefferson each get double-digit targets this week.

BRANDIN COOKS: @ MIAMI ($6,100)

Praise the Lord that Tyrod Taylor is back! Cooks wasn’t quite as reliable every week with Davis Mills in there, but now that Taylor is returning from the IR we should see a great bump in his usage down the field. Miami is 30th against the wide receiver position. I’m licking my chops this week because the Taylor/Cooks stack is also not drawing very much attention.

JALEN WADDLE: VS HOUSTON ($5,600)

On the other side of the Texans-Dolphins game, attrition is setting in for the Miami receiving corps. Devante Parker has landed on the IR, putting a narrower scope on Waddle and Gesicki. Hollins and the others also should see a bump, but Waddle’s volume when Parker is out has been staggering.

KADARIUS TONEY: VS LAS VEGAS ($5,200)

He’s not your average slot receiver, but Toney has been a reliable weapon for Daniel Jones when he’s on the field. I think he will get plenty of looks this week against the Raiders, especially in the second half. Vegas is probably going to destroy the Giants and I’m happy to cash in the recycling from garbage time.

JERRY JEUDY: @ DALLAS ($5,000)

Jeudy worked himself back in last week to the tune of four receptions for 39 yards. Most of his snaps came from the slot, which is a great place to attack the Cowboys’ secondary that ranks 24th against opposing wide receivers. Jeudy’s ankle passed the stress test against Washington, so a nice increase in targets is inbound.

HUNTER RENFROW: @ NY GIANTS ($4,800)***

The receiver that stands to see the biggest increase in work from the Ruggs fallout is Renfrow. His chemistry with Derek Carr is incredible and he seems to always make the clutch play. The Giants are terrible across the board on defense, so getting a skilled slot weapon for under $5k will be in nearly all of my lineups.

BRANDON AIYUK*: VS ARIZONA ($4,100)

A lot of DFS is spotting patterns. Aiyuk’s playing time and target share is trending upward, while his DK salary is trending downward. After seeing his potential in the second half of last season, I can’t see myself spending down any lower at wide receiver in a cash game with this opportunity screaming at me.

Tight Ends

TRAVIS KELCE: VS GREEN BAY ($7,000)

Kelce is coming off a terrible game. His salary this week matches his lowest of the season and nobody seems to want him against the Packers. I see a player whose target volume has been as steady as any receiver in the league, save for last week’s aberration when Mahomes didn’t seem to even look his way. I expect that to change immediately this week.

DARREN WALLER: @ NY GIANTS ($6,200)

Waller is a gifted receiver. He has athletic traits that very few possess. Derek Carr loves to pepper Waller with targets every chance he gets. The Giants have a horrible defense. For all of these reasons, you should feel great about rostering Waller this week.

MARK ANDREWS: VS MINNESOTA ($5,500)

I will have plenty of exposure to the players in this game, especially with Lamar and Andrews. The one strength of the Minnesota defense is their pass rush, so having a tight end like Andrews is a great weapon to get open quickly and also adjust his routes when Jackson scrambles. Big week incoming for this offense.

MIKE GESICKI: VS HOUSTON ($4,900)***

Just like with Jalen Waddle, Gesicki stands to see a ton of target volume with Devante Parker hitting the IR. It’s great timing for Gesicki that he will step into that opportunity against the worst defense in the NFL against tight ends. To put it mildly, I’m ecstatic that Gesicki is under $5k.

DALLAS GOEDERT: VS LA CHARGERS ($4,500)

For how strong the Chargers are in coverage against outside receivers, they are equally bad over the middle of the field. They allow the third-most points to opposing tight ends, making Goedert a very nice play this week at a good value.

ALBERT OKWUEGBUNAM: @ DALLAS ($2,600)

It is believed that Noah Fant will not be activated in time for Sunday’s game with COVID, so Albert O is thrusted into a matchup with the porous Dallas Cowboys. I’ll also be monitoring the status of his knee injury. If anything happens to Albert O, Eric Saubert is at the minimum $2,500 and would be a nice pivot. You can also play Tyler Conklin of the Vikings at $3k.

Featured

Nimble GPP:Plays to Get You Paid

By Scott Simpson

Welcome to NFL Week 9! Each week Nimble GPP will bring you the plays to get you paid for DraftKings GPP. Excited to share all my “Nimble GPP” content with you all this year. Each week I will help you build GPP lineups by providing you the building blocks at each skill position by identifying “High Priced”, “Mid-Range”, and “Value” plays. The play represents the player that I predict for the most upside at their price range. Mix and match the players you are high on and build your optimal lineup9

If you are interested in NIMBLE GPP Lineups or Bo McBrayer’s GPP Lineups, check out our Nimble Patreon. All Nimble’s Numbers will be powered by RuntheSims.com this year. Signup for a free account today!!

High Priced – Quarterback

Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills– $8,200 

ORCHARD PARK, NEW YORK – OCTOBER 31: Josh Allen #17 of the Buffalo Bills celebrates after a touchdown run during the fourth quarter against the Miami Dolphins at Highmark Stadium on October 31, 2021 in Orchard Park, New York. (Photo by Joshua Bessex/Getty Images)

Josh Allen faces the Jacksonville Jaguars this week, who rank 26th against both the quarterback and the wide receiver positions. Josh Allen and company have consistently shown a no mercy mentality, often running up the score well games have been decided. Allen currently has the second-highest projected ceiling this week. I’m going back to the well and stacking Allen with two pass catchers, Stefon Diggs ($7,700) and either Cole Beasley ($5,400) or Emmanuel Sanders ($5,600).

Mid-Range – Quarterback

Joe Burrow, Cincinnatti Bengals – $6,800

EAST RUTHERFORD, NEW JERSEY – OCTOBER 31: (NEW YORK DAILIES OUT) Joe Burrow #9 of the Cincinnati Bengals in action against the New York Jets at MetLife Stadium on October 31, 2021 in East Rutherford, New Jersey. The Jets defeated the Bengals 34-31. (Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images)

Joe Burrow has thrown for 20 touchdowns this season, which is the most out of any quarterback in the DraftKings Week 9 main slate. Ja’Marr Chase has caught seven of those touchdown passes and currently ranks third in DraftKings points score by wide receivers and is averaging 21 points per game. This week the dynamic duo is facing a Cleveland defense that ranks 27th against quarterbacks, giving up 21 points per game. I’m stacking Burrow and Chase in small field GPP tournaments and single entries.

Value – Quarterback

Daniel Jones, New York Giants – $5,600

According to RunTheSims.com, Daniel Jones has top three point per dollar value this week at the quarterback position. The Giants will be home underdogs this week against the Las Vegas Raiders. Look for Jones and the Giants to move him outside of the pocket and also use quick passes to get the ball out to Kadarius Toney and Evan Engram all day long. I also expect Jones to take off and rush for over 50 yards on the ground. His low price allows you to stack him or play him naked in larger and smaller GPP tournaments.

High Priced – Running Back

Alvin Kamara, New Orleans Saints – $8,200

SEATTLE, WASHINGTON – OCTOBER 25: Alvin Kamara #41 of the New Orleans Saints scores a touchdown against the Seattle Seahawks during the second quarter at Lumen Field on October 25, 2021 in Seattle, Washington. (Photo by Steph Chambers/Getty Images)

Alvin Kamara is in a smash spot against the Atlanta Falcons, who have given up eight touchdowns and close to 1,000 total yards to running backs. Kamara is the only offense the Saints have. Their defense is their second-leading scorer on the year, 70 plus points behind Kamara. He’s averaging 20.5 DraftKings points per game, over 24 the last four weeks. I will be stacking Kamara with the aforementioned Saints defense in every GPP contest I play him in.

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Mid-Range – Running Back

Nick Chubb, Cleveland Browns – $6,700

Nick Chubb rushed the ball 16 times last week, but only averaged 3.8 yards per carry and never got going against a stout Steeler’s defense. This week, he’s priced down $100 and most of the field will be fading him. He’s a great contrarian play to leverage your lineup against the chalk. According to PFF, the Browns will have a decided rush blocking advantage over the Bengals and should push them around, opening holes for Chubb to exploit. I’m rolling with Chubb in small and larger GPP tournaments.

Value – Running Back

Chase Edmonds, Arizona Cardinals – $5,300

GLENDALE, ARIZONA – OCTOBER 28: Chase Edmonds #2 of the Arizona Cardinals runs with the ball against the Green Bay Packers at State Farm Stadium on October 28, 2021 in Glendale, Arizona. Green Bay won 24-21. (Photo by Norm Hall/Getty Images)

Chase Edmonds is currently ranked as the DraftKings RB17 in scoring. This week, Kyler Murray and DeAndre Hopkins are both banged up and missed practice on both Wednesday and Thursday. Edmonds stands to benefit, already averaging close to five targets per game. Even though he is dealing with his own shoulder issue, he has been practicing and is on track to start on Sunday. If he’s out, James Conner because a real value and almost a must-play.

High Priced – Wide Receiver 

Stefon Diggs, Buffalo Bills – $7,700

According to PFF, Stefon Diggs has the very best cornerback matchup in the DraftKings Week 9 main slate. Diggs is coming off of back-to-back touchdown performances, on 14 of 18 targets the last two weeks. Diggs should be able to exploit Jaguars’ cornerback Tyson Campbell, who ranks 112 out of 116 PFF graded cornerbacks. Josh Allen’s eyes are going to be lighting up all day when he sees Diggs with this matchup. Diggs has real two touchdown upside this week in a potential Bills blowout.

Mid-Range – Wide Receiver 

Marquise Brown, Baltimore Ravens – $6,000

BALTIMORE, MD – OCTOBER 17: Baltimore Ravens wide receiver Marquise Brown (5) in action against Los Angeles Chargers defensive back Trey Marshall (36) during the Los Angeles Charger game versus the Baltimore Ravens on October 17, 2021 at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, MD. (Photo by Mark Goldman/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)

This week the DraftKings Gods have decided to create mega chalk and price down one of the most explosive and guaranteed to be highly rostered Marquise “Hollywood” Brown at only $6,000. It might be the worst price on the whole slate. If you stack Brown with Lamar Jackson, make sure that you differentiate yourself with either a double stack, Rashod Bateman at $4,000, or Mark Andrews at $5,500. The double-stack will give you the leverage you’ll need to avoid total Ravens chalk.

Value – Wide Receiver 

Hunter Renfrow, Las Vegas Raiders – $4,800

Hunter Renfrow might see 10 targets in his Week 9 matchup against the New York Giants. At $4,800, we are chasing target volume and the touchdown upside that it comes with. Stacking Renfrow with a $5,900 Derek Carr is a pay-down option that opens up thousands in salary to load up on studs. I love this stack with Darren Waller and run back with Kadarius Toney as a full-fledged game stack. This stack is live in all contests, including the Milly Maker.

High Priced – Tight End

Darren Waller, Las Vegas Raiders – $6,200  

DENVER, CO – OCTOBER 17: Tight end Darren Waller #83 of the Las Vegas Raiders catches a pass during the first half against the Denver Broncos at Empower Field at Mile High on October 17, 2021 in Denver, Colorado. (Photo by Justin Edmonds/Getty Images)

Speaking of Darren Waller, he’s the number one option for Derek Carr and the Raiders this season, averaging nine targets per game. The Giants haven’t been terrible against tight ends, but they have given up 50 points each week to tight ends and wide receivers, which Darren Waller is both. The Raiders should be able to move the ball up and down the field on the Giants, the key will be turning those trips into touchdowns.

Mid-Range – Tight End

Mark Andrews, Baltimore Ravens – $5,500

Mark Andrews is averaging 0.1 points less per game than Travis Kelce, but he’s priced $1,500 less. Thanks for the discount DraftKings! If you are stacking Lamar, and who isn’t stacking Lamar this week, adding Bateman and Andrews is one way to avoid the Hollywood chalk. I’m expecting the Ravens players to be popular come Sunday, so make sure that you surround them with high upside/lower rostered players.

Value – Tight End 

Tyler Conklin, LA Chargers – $3,000

The Baltimore Ravens are the worst against tight ends, giving up close to 20 points per game. Tyler Conklin is priced down at $3,000 and has past performances this season, scoring 20 points in Week 3 and over 10 the last two weeks on 12 targets. I love Conklin as a punt TE option this week and will have him everywhere.

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Featured

Clash of the Beards and Bellies

Blood and Entrails

Most of us have been through at least one good haunted house in our lifetime. When I was a kid growing up in a farm town, we would get permission from my great uncle (a farmer) to make an amazing “haunted shop.” We partitioned each room with hay bales, coated the concrete floor with sawdust, and designed actual blueprints of the layout.

Since we were rough-and-tumble kids growing from rural roots, we used actual pig’s blood for effect. My stepbrother and I were the creative ones and actually loosened the light sockets to make them flicker. My stepdad, a giant human, was in the darkest corner room with a strobe light and would fire up his chainsaw as each group passed through.

High school kids would volunteer for the “insane asylum” and “surgery room,” where we used intestines and blood from pigs or goats with a black light and had a person under a tarp screaming as if they were awake for the operation. We had an electric chair, a werewolf, and finished off with a room full of porcelain dolls that would move when a rope was pulled (we also had a CD playing with childish giggling and singing rhymes).

If this sounds like something truly scary, it pales in comparison to watching Scott put on a DFS show last week to end my winning streak. I bled out all Sunday, watching as my “safe” picks, Mahomes, Hill, and Henry were all massive disappointments. What twisted the knife, even more, was that all of my value plays were spot on. Sometimes you do everything right and it still blows up in your face.

I stuck to that mantra this week, putting together a frightful roster that will send a sinister chill up Scott’s spine. He’s going to scream when I have my own monster mash on Sunday.

Bo’s Lineup

QB – Teddy Bridgewater – Denver Broncos – $5,400

Even if star receiver, Jerry Jeudy is not activated for this game, the weaponry that Teddy can dish the ball to against this abysmal Washington secondary is going to be overwhelming. I also have a sneaking suspicion that Teddy will toss in a rushing touchdown.

RB – Jonathan Taylor – Indianapolis Colts – $7,200

BALTIMORE, MD – OCTOBER 11: Indianapolis Colts Running Back Jonathan Taylor (28) breaks free and goes 76 yards for the touchdown during and NFL game between the Indianapolis Colts and Baltimore Ravens on October 11, 2021at M&T Stadium in Baltimore Maryland.(Photo by Jeffrey Brown/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)

I simply am not convinced that the Titans’ defense is any good. JT only had 11 touches in their meeting earlier in the season and is now commanding about 18 per game since. Although it seems like someone is billing Frank Reich for each touch he gives to Taylor, the young running back is a generational talent and makes big plays every single game.

RB – Joe Mixon – Cincinnati Bengals – $6,900

Why would anyone trust Joe Mixon? For starters, I only trust his ceiling and the likelihood that he finds that pinnacle against the Jets. At his salary, I’m counting on 15 carries against a terrible defense. There is also hope that he will get a few targets in the passing game, but I won’t hold my breath.

WR – Stefon Diggs – Buffalo Bills – $8,100

NASHVILLE, TENNESSEE – OCTOBER 18: Wide receiver Stefon Diggs #14 of the Buffalo Bills celebrates his touchdown in front of cornerback Janoris Jenkins #20 of the Tennessee Titans during the second quarter at Nissan Stadium on October 18, 2021 in Nashville, Tennessee. (Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images)

How quickly we forget about players coming off a bye week. The Miami defense does have an answer for Diggs. His name is Xavien Howard. Howard has amazing ball skills as a corner, similar to Stefon’s little brother Trevon. Diggs is still liable to burn Howard a few times in this game and find the end zone at least once.

WR – Courtland Sutton – Denver Broncos – $6,400

CLEVELAND, OHIO – OCTOBER 21: Courtland Sutton #14 of the Denver Broncos reacts after catching a pass against Greg Newsome II #20 of the Cleveland Browns during a game at FirstEnergy Stadium on October 21, 2021 in Cleveland, Ohio. (Photo by Emilee Chinn/Getty Images)

Sutton is one of my favorite GPP wide receivers for Week 8, and he will be paired with Bridgewater in a skinny stack here. Washington’s corners might as well have SmokeShack BBQ Rub sprinkled all over them because Sutton is about to smoke them for three hours.

WR – Jamal Agnew – Jacksonville Jaguars – $3,700

It makes me chuckle to look back at Agnew’s career. He has always been a gifted kick returner, special teams coverage wiz, and decent defensive back. It took Urban Meyer to make him into a “Slash,” a la Percy Harvin. Agnew has cracked double digits in both weeks in the new role, even without scoring a touchdown.

TE – CJ Uzomah – Cincinnati Bengals – $3,700

I can’t quit this guy. Uzomah is in the zone-ahhh. Joe Burrow loves the dude, connecting for five touchdowns in the last four games. The Jets also happen to be more terrible against tight ends than they are wide receivers.

FLEX – Kenny Gainwell – Philadelphia Eagles – $5,000

LAS VEGAS, NEVADA – OCTOBER 24: Kenneth Gainwell #14 of the Philadelphia Eagles celebrates after scoring a touchdown during the first half in the game against the Las Vegas Raiders at Allegiant Stadium on October 24, 2021 in Las Vegas, Nevada. (Photo by Steve Marcus/Getty Images)

If this is your first time reading my work, just note that Kenny Gainwell is MINE. I had him ranked higher than anyone else in this rookie class. Now that he is the de facto starter, expect more of a 50/50 split with Boston Scott, with the much more valuable receiving work going to the best receiving back in the 2020 class. I also believe Gainwell will find the end zone twice on Sunday.

DST – Cincinnati Bengals – $3,600

I really hate to pick on the Jets…bwahahaha! Just kidding! Some guy with a name that sounds like he was computer-generated in your seventh year of dynasty on NCAA ’14, Mike White, is starting for Gang Green this week. The Bengals sport one of the most ferocious pass rushes in the NFL and will suffocate New York into a boondoggle of turnovers.

Haunt Your Dreams!!

The NFL is a Week to Week league. One second you are HOT and the next week you are a ghost. Life comes at you fast was literally invented after a middle linebacker collision that killed three people, whose ghosts still haunt the western Pennsylania pop warner field to this day, don’t quote me. All this to say, sure last weeks’ resounding victory over Bo, @Bo_McBigTime on Twitter, felt amazing, but there’s no time to celebrate. It’s Halloween Sunday which means magic and voodoo and witchcraft are all on the table for Bo. Last week’s drubbing angered him greatly, meaning he’s redoubling his efforts this week to haunt me with his spooky Cash lineup from hell.

I’m sticking with my guns and riding the guys that I have written about and will be playing myself in Cash and GPP tournaments this week. It’s going to be a tough slog fighting his evil dark powers and all, but I’m going to win this week and pull even with Bo at 4-4, haunting his DFS dreams for yet another week.

Scott’s Lineup

The Winning Lineup

QB – Josh Allen – Buffalo Bills – $8,100

NASHVILLE, TENNESSEE – OCTOBER 18: Quarterback Josh Allen #17 of the Buffalo Bills is tackled short of the first down marker on third down by safety Amani Hooker #37 of the Tennessee Titans during fourth quarter at Nissan Stadium on October 18, 2021 in Nashville, Tennessee. (Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images)

Josh Allen is the only quarterback to finish as the QB1 twice this season and leads all quarterbacks averaging 28.2 DraftKings points per game. This week, he faces one of the worst secondaries in the Miami Dolphins. They currently rank 26th against quarterbacks, 27th against running backs, and 30th against wide receivers. Josh Allen might be the most explosive play waiting to happen this Sunday. I’m all over Double stacking or onslaught stacking him with Zack Moss, Stefon Diggs, and Cole Beasley.

RB – Elijah Mitchell – San Francisco $9ers – $5,400  

Elijah Mitchell is the clear RB1 in San Francisco, rushing the ball last week 18 times for 107 yards and a 5.9 yards per carry clip. The Chicago Bears defense will be without Khalil Mack for the third straight week, opening up an opportunity for Mitchell at $5,400. The 49er run the ball 44% of the time, good for the 8th most in the NFL. Combine that with an expected positive game script against the home underdogs. Cash doesn’t need to be pretty. It just needs to score points, and that’s what Mitchell will do this week against a Bears team that is in complete disarray including their Head Coach Matt Nagy being placed on the COVID-19 list. Wheels up.  

RB – Zack Moss – Buffalo Bills – $5,200

Football: Buffalo Bills Zack Moss (20) in action, rushing vs Houston Texans at Bills Stadium. Orchard Park, NY 10/3/2021 CREDIT: Rob Tringali (Photo by Rob Tringali/Sports Illustrated via Getty Images) (Set Number: X163820 TK1)

Through the first six weeks (the Bills are coming off their bye week) Zack Moss has finished as the RB1 four times, to Devin Singletary’s two. This week the Bills face the Dolphins’ 27th ranked defense who give up close to 18 fantasy points per game. The Bills are HUGE 14 point home favorites. I expect a late touchdown to be the one that hurts Bo the most. 

WR – A.J. Brown – Tennessee Titans – $6,900

NASHVILLE, TENNESSEE – OCTOBER 18: A.J. Brown #11 of the Tennessee Titans celebrates the win at the end of a game against the Buffalo Bills at Nissan Stadium on October 18, 2021 in Nashville, Tennessee. The Titans defeated the Bills 34-31. (Photo by Wesley Hitt/Getty Images)

Julio Jones is OUT. What’s new, right? Nothing. A.J. Brown is still around and is set to have his best game of the season against an Indianapolis Colts secondary that couldn’t cover your grandma, let alone one of the most physically gifted GROWN ASS MEN of this generation. I’m all in with A.J. this week. I would not be surprised if he gets two touchdowns. Bo is going to be weeping. LOL! 

WR – D.J. Moore  – Carolina Panthers – $7,200

D.J. Moore is tied for second in the NFL with Davante Adams with 73 targets through seven games. Sure, Sam Darnold is not Aaron Rodgers, but 10 targets per game against a Falcons defense that gives up 40 points per game to wide receivers, including nine touchdowns and 956 yards in six games. Hell, they made Corey Davis look like Julio Jones, that one year he caught touchdowns.

WR –  Michael Pittman – Indianapolis Colts – $5,300

The Indianapolis Colts second-year wide receiver Michael Pittman is finally playing up to his potential, scoring over 20 points two out of his last three games. This week Pittman faces a Tennessee Titans defense that ranks dead last against the wide receiver position, giving up 48 points per game. I expect this game to be the high-scoring tilt Vegas is predicting with the 50.5 total, Pittman is incredibly cheap given the downfield target volume he should see in this matchup. 

TE – Dallas Goedert – Philadelphia Eagles – $4,700

PHILADELPHIA, PENNSYLVANIA – OCTOBER 03: Dallas Goedert #88 of the Philadelphia Eagles leaps over Daniel Sorensen #49 of the Kansas City Chiefs at Lincoln Financial Field on October 03, 2021 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Tim Nwachukwu/Getty Images)

Dallas Goedert scored 12 points last week, catching three of his five targets for 70 yards. This week he faces the Detroit Lions, who though they have tremendous heart, are winless. I expect Goedert to see at least eight targets this week and also score a touchdown, blowing past his 12 point performance last night and finishing closer to 18.  

Flex – Van Jefferson – LA Rams – $3,900

What big wide receiver will not tell you is that Van Jefferson is averaging over 5 targets per game in his last 5 games and has two touchdowns as well. At $3,900 in a game that has blowout written all over it, I expect Jefferson to get loose behind the defense and cash in for a big splash play touchdown. He’s more of a GPP play, but I’m playing one of the best in the business in Bo and I need all the juice if I’m gonna squeeze out this victory. 

DST – Buffalo Bills  – $3,300

The Buffalo Bills have one of the best defenses against quarterbacks, giving up under 12 fantasy points per game, good for first in the NFL. With the trade rumors surrounding Tua and his 1-6 Dolphins team, I expect a handful of sacks and turnovers, and at least one defensive touchdown in the game. At $3,300, I don’t understand rostering any other defense this week.

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Nimble GPP:Plays to Get You Paid

By Scott Simpson

Welcome to NFL Week 8! Each week Nimble GPP will bring you the plays to get you paid for DraftKings GPP. Excited to share all my “Nimble GPP” content with you all this year. Each week I will help you build GPP lineups by providing you the building blocks at each skill position by identifying “High Priced”, “Mid-Range”, and “Value” plays. The play represents the player that I predict for the most upside at their price range. Mix and match the players you are high on and build your optimal lineup.

If you are interested in NIMBLE GPP Lineups or Bo McBrayer’s GPP Lineups, check out our Nimble Patreon. All Nimble’s Numbers will be powered by RuntheSims.com this year. Signup for a free account today!!

High Priced – Quarterback

NASHVILLE, TENNESSEE – OCTOBER 18: Quarterback Josh Allen #17 of the Buffalo Bills is tackled short of the first down marker on third down by safety Amani Hooker #37 of the Tennessee Titans during fourth quarter at Nissan Stadium on October 18, 2021 in Nashville, Tennessee. (Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images)

Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills– $8,100 

Josh Allen is the only quarterback to finish as the QB1 twice this season and leads all quarterbacks averaging 28.2 DraftKings points per game. This week, he faces one of the worst secondaries in the Miami Dolphins. They currently rank 26th against quarterbacks, 27th against running backs, and 30th against wide receivers. Josh Allen might be the most explosive play waiting to happen this Sunday. I’m all over Double stacking or onslaught stacking him with Zack Moss, Stefon Diggs, and Cole Beasley.

Mid-Range – Quarterback

Jalen Hurts, Philadelphia Eagles – $7,200

Jalen Hurts has been an automatic 25 points every week, the definition of a perfect Cash play. This week, he’s a great Cash play, as always, but I’m growing more open to the idea of playing him in GPP tournaments as well. The Detroit Lions have given up 15 passing touchdowns and almost 2,000 receiving yards. Hurts should be able to move the ball through the air and also on the ground with Kenneth Gainwell, one of his favorite players to target when plays break down. Stacking Hurts with Devonta Smith and Gainwell makes the most sense in larger GPP tournaments. I’m comfortable playing him naked in Cash.

Value – Quarterback

Teddy Bridgewater, Denver Broncos – $5,400

According to RunTheSims.com, Teddy Bridgewater is the best point per dollar value on the whole DraftKings main slate. The Washington Football Team defense is the worst in the league against quarterbacks and seconds worst in points given up to wide receivers. Courtland Sutton and Jerry Jeudy, hell, throw in Noah Fant, are all great stacking options with Bridgewater. Sutton has the greatest touchdown upside, but Jeudy is only a play away from taking one to the house. I like them both as a double stack in large field GPP tournaments. They are viable in Cash as a pay-down salary saver.

High Priced – Running Back

SEATTLE, WASHINGTON – OCTOBER 25: Alvin Kamara #41 of the New Orleans Saints is tackled by Tre Brown #22 of the Seattle Seahawks during the second quarter at Lumen Field on October 25, 2021 in Seattle, Washington. (Photo by Steph Chambers/Getty Images)

Alvin Kamara, New Orleans Saints – $8,700

Alvin Kamara is the WR1 on the New Orleans Saints, glad they finally figured it out last week. This week the Saints are going to need all the Karama can give him if they want to upset the Super Bowl Champion Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Tom Brady. The 50 point total portends to points, and those will flow through Kamara. His optimal rate is over 20% this week. He’s a smash in GPPs and a solid play in 50/50 double-ups.

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Mid-Range – Running Back

Darrell Henderson, LA Rams – $6,500

Darrell Henderson might be my favorite running back play for Week 8. The Houston Texans have given up over 1000 total yards and 8 touchdowns to running backs this season. Giving up 25 points per week ranks them 20th in the NFL. Henderson came back to earth last week after a 24.7 point explosion in Week 6. I’m favoring a blowout victory for the Rams and expect Henderson to continue to see 20 touches per game in one of the top-scoring offenses in the NFL. I’m playing him primarily in Cash games, but will have a handful of him in large field GPP tournament games stacked with Matthew Stafford.

Value – Running Back

Kenneth Gainwell, Philadelphia Eagles– $5,000

Kenneth Gainwell will be leading the Philadelphia Eagles backfield this week against a Detroit Lions that has given up six rushing and six receiving touchdowns as well as over 1,00 total yards to running backs on the season. I love Gainwell as the PPR option out of the backfield, a D’Andre Swift light if you like. I’m more comfortable with Gainwell in mid-range to large GPP fields.

High Priced – Wide Receiver 

NASHVILLE, TENNESSEE – OCTOBER 18: Wide receiver Stefon Diggs #14 of the Buffalo Bills celebrates his touchdown in front of cornerback Janoris Jenkins #20 of the Tennessee Titans during the second quarter at Nissan Stadium on October 18, 2021 in Nashville, Tennessee. (Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images)

Stefon Diggs, Buffalo Bills – $8,100

According to OccupyFantasy.com, Stefon Diggs has the second-highest wide receiver upside this week against the Miami Dolphins. Bryon Johnson is expected to be the primary defender matched up with Diggs this week, a clear advantage for Josh Allen and the Bills to exploit. I expect Diggs to return to his 2020 form, scoring a touchdown and racking up over 100 receiving yards. I’m stacking him with Josh Allen in both double stacks and onslaught lineups for GPP large multi-mass entries (MMEs).

Mid-Range – Wide Receiver 

Chris Godwin, Tampa Bay Buccaneers – $6,400

This week the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are without Antonio Brown and Gronk is trending towards a game-time decision. Chris Godwin is $600 cheaper than Mike Evans, despite only averaging 1.6 fewer points per game. I like them both this week, but I’m leaning Godwin in smaller fields as the cheaper paydown option. Stacking Brady with Godwin and Fournette might be a sneaky way to differentiate yourself from the field.

Value – Wide Receiver 

Michael Pittman, Indianapolis Colts – $5,300

The Indianapolis Colts second-year wide receiver Michael Pittman is finally playing up to his potential, scoring over 20 points two out of his last three games. This week Pittman faces a Tennessee Titans defense that ranks dead last against the wide receiver position, giving up 48 points per game. I expect this game to be the high-scoring tilt Vegas is predicting with the 50.5 total, Pittman is incredibly cheap given the downfield target volume he should see in this matchup. I’m stacking Pittmans with Carson Wentz or as a run-back option with A.J. Brown and/or Derrick Henry.

High Priced – Tight End

MIAMI GARDENS, FLORIDA – OCTOBER 24: Kyle Pitts #8 of the Atlanta Falcons makes a catch on the sideline in the fourth quarter of the game against Xavien Howard #25 of the Miami Dolphins at Hard Rock Stadium on October 24, 2021 in Miami Gardens, Florida. (Photo by Eric Espada/Getty Images)

Kyle Pitts, Atlanta Falcons – $6,300  

Kyle Pitts is the highest-priced tight end on the DraftKings’ Week 8 main slate at $6,300. After scoring 26 and 29 points the last two times he laced them up, I understand the price tag. Pitts is averaging nine targets per game the last three weeks and has 20 receptions for 332 yards and one touchdown. Pitts has the third-best matchup this week according to PFF. I’m comfortable stacking him with Matt Ryan or playing him as a one-off.

Mid-Range – Tight End

Noah Fant, Denver Broncos– $4,900

Noah Fant has a juicy matchup this week against the Washington Football Team linebackers and secondary who are currently giving up 15 fantasy points a game to tight ends. Fant has 18 targets in his last two games and should see red zone opportunities this week. I’m rolling with Fant in smaller single-entry GPP contests.

Value – Tight End 

Jared Cook, LA Chargers – $3,400

Jared Cook is priced all the way down at $3,400 coming off the bye week after scoring over 12 points two of the last three weeks. He’s a high upside boom or bust GPP paydown option that you are hoping scores a touchdown and finishes with 13-15 points.

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Featured

Hot Cash From the King of Spice

All Hallow’s Eve

My family goes all-out this time of year. Between flickering orange porch lights, terrifying (and motion-sensing) decorations, and elaborate costumes, Halloween is entirely off the rails at our house. It doesn’t end there, either. We also celebrate Dia de los Muertos from November 1-2, which is a special time to honor all of our loved ones who are no longer with us. We lay out an altar, known as an ofrenda, decorated with flowers, candles, and some of their favorite food and drinks.

The two holidays are intertwined perfectly with what we feel is an important connection with the spiritual world. It also allows us to completely overload on chocolate and alcohol for three days. Being festive is fun. Sharing funny stories about Aunt Pat or Grandpa Willie bring us immense joy, while bringing their spirits back to life within us.

Football Sunday for Week 8 falls directly on All Hallow’s Eve this year. I expect some weird, wild things to happen. The extra bit of ghostly chill in the air should bring about some breakthrough performances by players previously left for dead. Bye-mageddon is over, the portal between the mortal and spiritual worlds is agape, and we have a 12-game main slate to sift through the DFS tricks and treats.

Week 8 Cash Plays

I have a slightly different view from the consensus on how to build winning cash lineups. Instead of focusing on players with a “high floor,” I instead focus on their expected workload. These players often have that safe floor as a result of the VOLUME of opportunities, but they also have a higher likelihood of returning the 3x+ value that most cash games require to end the day above the pay line. A smart cash player has to always consider ceiling as a part of the equation, just maybe weighted lighter than if building for a GPP. I ask myself the same question every time: Does this player’s expected volume of opportunities (EVO) have high odds of accomplishing 3 points per salary dollar, divided by 1,000 (x=3[y/1000]).

KEY INGREDIENT*** — SECRET INGREDIENT*

Quarterbacks

JOSH ALLEN: VS MIAMI ($8,100)

There are few quarterbacks that strike as much fear into defensive coordinators more than Josh Allen. Buffalo is among the most pass-heavy offenses in the NFL, with Allen taking strides every game to be more potent than ever. Add in his rushing ability, especially at the goal line, and this is a very safe bet to hit value against a terrible Miami defense.

MATTHEW STAFFORD: @ HOUSTON ($7,600)

With the way less-mobile quarterbacks like Stafford and Brady have been dealing, it makes very little sense to have them priced under $8k. I’m not mad at it. You might not normally expect a lot of passing volume in a lopsided game, but the Rams have been keeping their foot on the accelerator deep into games. Stafford is one of the best plays at quarterback this week.

JALEN HURTS: @ DETROIT ($7,200)

Coach Sirianni has been equal parts underwhelming and overwhelmed in his first season, but one thing has been constant: Jalen Hurts will score 20 fantasy points every week. Has Hurts been a good quarterback? That is a resounding “no,” but I can’t think of a better spot for a ceiling performance for Philly’s offense than facing the worst defense in the NFL.

CARSON WENTZ: VS TENNESSEE ($5,700)***

It was stunning to see this much-maligned Titans defense hold the mighty Chiefs without a single touchdown last week. If anything, it revealed a level of dysfunction in Kansas City that is much greater than previously thought. The Colts are trending skyward, with one of the better balanced attacks in the AFC. Wentz has returned to his 2017 form. I’m ok if it only lasts one more week against a defense that still has a ton of glaring weaknesses.

TREVOR LAWRENCE: @ SEATTLE ($5,500)

The top pick is quietly growing right before our very eyes. It seems that Lawrence is improving on every pass he throws, where the other rookie signal callers are going through immense growing pains. This Jags team has leveled off after a tumultuous start to Urban Meyer’s first season as a professional coach, with their stud rookie handling his business with grace. Seattle won’t offer much resistance here, especially with Lawrence forecasted to chuck it over 30 times.

NASHVILLE, TENNESSEE – SEPTEMBER 20: Kristian Fulton #26, Kevin Byard #31, and Malcolm Butler #21 of the Tennessee Titans watch as James Robinson #30 of the Jacksonville Jaguars scores a touchdown during the second half at Nissan Stadium on September 20, 2020 in Nashville, Tennessee. (Photo by Frederick Breedon/Getty Images)

Running Backs

DERRICK HENRY: @ INDIANAPOLIS ($8,900)

I got burned by the Henry chalk in tournaments last week, but his performance was still plenty good enough to pay off in cash games. Stacking volume is still the mission in 50/50 contests, so his immense workload is still coveted at this salary.

ALVIN KAMARA: VS TAMPA BAY ($8,700)

Let the record show that Khalil Herbert is the reason why Kamara makes the list in Week 8. The Bears rookie did the impossible last week, trekking his way to 100 yards against a seemingly impermeable Bucs’ front seven. This is very promising for Kamara, who is one of the best dual-threat weapons in the game.

JONATHAN TAYLOR: VS TENNESSEE ($7,200)

This spot was inhabited by Austin Ekeler, until he popped up on the injury report with a hip issue. Taylor will get a big workload in this one, especially now that Frank Reich has finally discovered that JT is nearly unstoppable in the open field if they use him in the screen game.

JOE MIXON: @ NY JETS ($6,900)

Back to the well with Mixon here. He yielded some carries to Samaje Perine late in the Bengals’ romp over the Ravens last week, but looked amazing when he was on the field. Cincinnati has been very effective through the air this season, but it can’t be ignored that Mixon will enter a date with the lowly Jets on fresher legs.

JAMES ROBINSON: @ SEATTLE ($6,600)***

I might be in a small minority here, but I believe JRob to be one of the most well-rounded running backs in the NFL. He has proven himself to be everything and more for the Jags this season, both on the ground and through the air. Seattle was just picked apart by the Saints last week and offer very little in the way of friction for opposing backs. Robinson will see a ton of work in this one, too.

CHUBA HUBBARD: @ ATLANTA ($6,000)

For how much I despise Hubbard’s skill set, his opportunities have been plenty. He was a dud last week in a decent spot, but we revisit him again as a plus cash option against an atrocious Atlanta front. It’s put up or shut up time for Darnold and this offense without CMC. Their schedule is incredibly soft right now.

KENNY GAINWELL: @ DETROIT ($5,000)

It wasn’t like Miles Sanders was receiving enough work to be relevant before he injured his ankle last week. Gainwell was the more reliable back in the receiving game last week, before and after Sanders left. Now, with Sanders out and Boston Scott in, Gainwell stands to get closer to a 50/50 share of the touches against the worst defense in the NFL. This will be fun.

PITTSBURGH, PA – SEPTEMBER 20: Diontae Johnson #18 of the Pittsburgh Steelers in action during the game against the Denver Broncos at Heinz Field on September 20, 2020 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Joe Sargent/Getty Images)

Wide Receivers

COOPER KUPP: @ HOUSTON ($9,000)

For all the dysfunction and calamity surrounding the Texans this season, their secondary has done fairly well defending the wide receiver position. Frankly, that doesn’t mean diddly against the mighty Rams, who are imposing their will on every opponent. Kupp is a target monster for Stafford and is adding an ungodly amount of touchdown upside to boot.

STEFON DIGGS: VS MIAMI ($8,100)

I will be incredibly overweight on the Buffalo stack this week in GPPs. Hell, it might be dumb to fade the Bills in all formats. This is the type of game that stands out to me as a free square. Diggs returned to form before the bye. Even a Xavien Howard shadow won’t be enough to prevent him from hitting value in cash.

MIKE WILLIAMS: VS NEW ENGLAND ($7,700)

It has been a few weeks since we saw the Chargers at their best, but we shouldn’t forget just how dominant Williams has been this season as their X receiver. The Patriots famously shut out LA last season, but this is a new regime. The Staley regime is pulling out all the stops and the Chargers will be airing it out early and often with an injured Ekeler.

DEEBO SAMUEL: @ CHICAGO ($7,400)

I’m not yet convinced that the Bears are a bad team. Sure, they are coached by an arrogant buffoon, but their defense is still stout and the offense looks slightly better under Bill Lazor. I think Chicago crushes the 49ers this week with Nagy on the COVID list, which lends me to believe the 49ers will pepper Deebo to keep up.

DIONTAE JOHNSON: @ CLEVELAND ($6,700)***

Aside from a strange game in Week 5, Johnson has been targeted 10 or more times in every game he has played. The Steelers will be heavily reliant on the short passing game to neutralize Miles Garrett and the rest of the Browns’ pass rush. Diontae is one of the sharpest route runners in football and will be looked to early and often by Big Ben.

CALVIN RIDLEY: VS CAROLINA ($6,600)

How could we overlook Ridley, one of the most talented receivers in the NFL? This is an insulting salary for cash games, since the Alabama product has garnered 10-plus targets in every game since Week 1. Carolina has not been as good in the secondary since their competition stiffened in Week 4. Wheels up in all formats here.

CHRIS GODWIN: @ NEW ORLEANS ($6,400)

The Bucs are concerned that Antonio Brown will miss a lot more time with his ankle injury. This is a huge opening for the uber-talented Godwin. Mike Evans got the fanfare of his three touchdown game, but Godwin was the more targeted player and also hit paydirt. The Saints’ secondary will have their hands full on Sunday.

DEVONTA SMITH: @ DETROIT ($5,500)

The Slim Reaper has done everything asked of him this season, which has been overshadowed by the exemplary play of Jamarr Chase. Don’t hold the moronic coaching against the rookie out of Alabama; he will still flash in positive matchups like this one. I foresee a 10-target game against the pitiful Lions.

JERRY JEUDY*: VS WASHINGTON ($4,900)

I can’t contain my excitement this week. Jeudy is one of my favorite young players and appears to be a full go coming back from a high ankle sprain. He also returns to face a Washington secondary that is one of the worst in the NFL at defending the position. I’ll take the one week free square under $5k.

LAVISKA SHENAULT JR: @ SEATTLE ($4,700)

It took Urban Meyer a week to figure out how to get Shenault looks in the passing game without DJ Chark. Looking elsewhere for upside in tournaments might be wise, but I’ll bank on Viska to get another 10 targets at this value and work around it in cash games.

Tight Ends

KYLE PITTS: VS CAROLINA ($6,300)

The masses are now seeing why I have been calling this guy one of the best receiving prospects in NFL history. He is not a tight end by any description except for how we slot him in fantasy. The legendary rookie will keep his storybook season rolling against a Panthers team that is struggling mightily.

TJ HOCKENSON: VS PHILADELPHIA ($5,400)

I love picking on the Eagles, especially with stud tight ends. Hockenson is appearing healthier in the last two weeks. That’s great, because Philly is horrible at covering athletes in space. Their lack of athleticism and ball skills will make Hock one of the best values on the board.

TYLER HIGBEE: @ HOUSTON ($4,500)***

I don’t think Higbee is very good, but I know the Texans are terrible at covering tight ends. Stafford will find Higbee running wide open all game and his odds of scoring a touchdown in this game are astoundingly high. I might flex a tight end this week again, with Higbee as one of them every time.

HUNTER HENRY: @ LA CHARGERS ($4,200)

We just love to emphasize the power of revenge! It also helps when Henry’s former team is struggling to cover the tight end position. The strength of the outside corners has created a funnel in the middle of the field. This is an edge that Belichick will see and exploit.

CJ UZOMAH: @ NY JETS ($3,700)

Never walk away from a heater. Uzomah is still under $4k, which means fire him up again in cash and GPP contests. We shouldn’t have to tell you that the Jets suck. The Bengals don’t suck, so you should play any of them with confidence this week.

DAN ARNOLD: @ SEATTLE ($2,800)

This is a hunch play. I predict the Jaguars will roll into Lumen Field and beat the Seahawks behind a potent offensive attack. We don’t need much at all from Arnold at this salary, but 5-7 targets is definitely on the table. He is also going to be tough to cover in the red zone.

Featured

Clash of the Beards and Bellies

Blood in the Water

The blush on Scott’s cheeky pair of victories has darkened to an overripe bruising. The last fortnight-and-a-half has implanted a festering doubt to whether the leaves will cease to fall. The other stench in the air is of desperation. Nimble will try anything to avoid rolling his losing streak into another billing cycle. Figuratively speaking (of course), I intend to curb stomp my dear friend this week, before adjusting my crown.

I love narratives. I’m a story teller, by nature. This week’s lineup says, “Bye-mageddon? More like cry-mageddon!” I went with a stars and scrubs approach, but with a personal edge. Deandre Hopkins will be out for vengeance against the fighting Jack Easterbys. Running it back with the other token in that famously one-sided trade, David Johnson, is the yin to Nuk’s yang. Scott has the metallic taste of blood in his mouth, the sharks are circling, and the feeding frenzy is imminent. I bet his lip is quivering.

Bo’s Lineup

CLEVELAND, OH – NOVEMBER 04: Patrick Mahomes #15 of the Kansas City Chiefs throws a pass during the third quarter against the Cleveland Browns at FirstEnergy Stadium on November 4, 2018 in Cleveland, Ohio. (Photo by Kirk Irwin/Getty Images)

QB – Patrick Mahomes – Kansas City Chiefs – $8,400

The Chiefs have been must-see television this season. Every game is a shootout when you have an explosive dynamite on offense and explosive diarrhea on defense. Mahomes’ worst performance this season is 22 DK points. He might go for 40 against the Titans. He might need to in order to win the game.

NASHVILLE, TENNESSEE – SEPTEMBER 26: Derrick Henry #22 of the Tennessee Titans runs with the ball against the Indianapolis Colts at Nissan Stadium on September 26, 2021 in Nashville, Tennessee. (Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images)

RB – Derrick Henry – Tennessee Titans – $9,200

The reason Mahomes might need to score 40 points this week is the cyborg we call King Henry. The way his season is going, even a $10k salary wouldn’t scare me away. This is a pizza buffet. Slip on your loose sweatpants and keep shoveling.

RB – David Johnson – Houston Texans – $4,300

Why the hell would I ever play David Johnson? For starters, he faces his former team who cast him away as a meaningless piece in a lopsided trade. Additionally, he should see more touches than last week. Mark Ingram isn’t likely to get 18 carries in back-to-back weeks and Johnson is a better pass catcher than Phillip Lindsay.

KANSAS CITY, MO – OCTOBER 13: Tyreek Hill #10 of the Kansas City Chiefs celebrates after his third quarter touchdown reception against the Houston Texans at Arrowhead Stadium on October 13, 2019 in Kansas City, Missouri. Hill had two touchdown receptions in the game. (Photo by David Eulitt/Getty Images)

WR – Tyreek Hill – Kansas City Chiefs – $8,600

The league’s most explosive player faces the worst secondary in the NFL? Sign me up! The Titans were bad before they got banged up at the cornerback position. Hill played through the painful thigh contusion last week to the tune of 22 points. You better believe he’s itching to drop another 40-burger.

WR – Rashod Bateman – Baltimore Ravens – $3,400

I was so proud of Scott for rolling out Bateman in last week’s Clash. We are both very high on the rookie out of Minnesota. I made sure he was part of my attack this week, especially in a game where Lamar Jackson is set to rebound in a huge way.

WR – Dante Pettis – New York Giants – $3,000

Pettis is a scrub. He was thrown in the trash by the 49ers. He has resurfaced with New York out of pure necessity, after their entire receiving corps has been decimated with injuries. Pettis is at the min price again this week, on the heels of an 11-target game. I don’t need him to do much, so fingers crossed.

TE – CJ Uzomah – Cincinnati Bengals – $3,000

For how desolate the tight end position is, there are some incredible plays this week. They often provide more value in points per dollar than any other position, if you play the right guy. Uzomah has been very solid coming off his Achilles injury in 2020. He will get plenty of looks against Baltimore’s 29th-ranked defense against the position.

INGLEWOOD, CALIFORNIA – JANUARY 03: DeAndre Hopkins #10 of the Arizona Cardinals reacts to an offensive pass interference call during the third quarter against the Los Angeles Rams at SoFi Stadium on January 03, 2021 in Inglewood, California. (Photo by Harry How/Getty Images)

FLEX – DeAndre Hopkins – Arizona Cardinals – $7,700

This is a real revenge game. I have no doubt that a contributing factor to Nuk getting jettisoned from Houston is pure racism. He knows that. Talk about a gigantic chip on his shoulder. I’m sure he’s been barking at Kyler Murray and Kliff Kingsbury all week about feeding him the ball. I think he might go absolutely berserk.

DST – Philadelphia Eagles – $2,300

Are the Eagles good? Hell no. They do, however, have a good defensive line and outside cornerbacks. The Raiders have been surprisingly good, but Derek Carr shrivels after taking some shots in a collapsing pocket. I’m hoping for a regression game from Vegas after an emotional win last week sans Gruden.

Turkey Bowling

One of my favorite scenes in Kingpin is when Bill Murray’s character Ernie McCracken bowls three straight strikes to win a million dollars. I can just see Bo now, writhing around on the ground like “Big Ern” after his third straight victory over me in the Clash of the Beards and Bellies last week. It hurts. The pain is real. The only thing I can do is get back up, dust myself off, drive home to my tiny apartment in Pennsylvania and announce an impending deal with Trojan Condoms and ride off into the sunset with Vannessa Angel. But in all seriousness, Bo’s winning streak ends here!!

Scott’s Lineup

EAST RUTHERFORD, NEW JERSEY – OCTOBER 17: Matthew Stafford #9 of the Los Angeles Rams warms up before a game against the New York Giants at MetLife Stadium on October 17, 2021 in East Rutherford, New Jersey. (Photo by Sarah Stier/Getty Images)

QB – Matthew Stafford – LA Rams – $7,100

The Matthew Stafford revenge game narrative is very real this week as Stafford and the 5-1 LA Rams host the god-awful 0-6 Detroit Lions. Stafford is at the peak of his fantasy powers, already passing for 16 touchdowns and over 1,300 yards this season. There’s a very real chance that Stafford throws for 400 yards and 4 scores in this matchup. This isn’t the game to fade him, I’m going all in!

PHILADELPHIA, PA – OCTOBER 14: Leonard Fournette #7 of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers runs the ball against Alex Singleton #49 of the Philadelphia Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field on October 14, 2021, in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Mitchell Leff/Getty Images)

RB – Leonard Fournette – Tampa Bay Buccaneers– $6,400  

Leonard Fournette has been channeling his “Playoff Lenny” the last few weeks, averaging 23 points per game.  With Tom Brady averaging 44.5 passing attempts per game and Fournette’s heavy usage in the passing game, 25 receptions, he’s a strong Cash game play with touchdown upside.

RB – Chuba Hubbard – Carolina Panthers – $6,100

Chuba Hubbard has performed well in the CMC light role the last two weeks, totaling 46 touches and close to 200 yards. This week Hubbard faces a New York Giants team that gives up close to 30 points to running backs per game and last week were lit up for 24.7 points by Darrell Henderson. Hubbard should see close to 20 touches in this game, which means he has a great chance to score 20+ points.

INGLEWOOD, CALIFORNIA – SEPTEMBER 26: Cooper Kupp #10 of the Los Angeles Rams scores a touchdown during the second quarter against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at SoFi Stadium on September 26, 2021 in Inglewood, California. (Photo by Katelyn Mulcahy/Getty Images)

WR – Cooper Kupp – LA Rams – $8,400

According to OccupyFantasy.com, Cooper Kupp has top 5 wide receiver upside this week against the Detroit Lions. According to PFF, Kupp has the best matchup out of all wide receivers in Week 7. Given the aforementioned revenge narrative, I love Kupp this week as Matthew Stafford’s top stacking option.

ATLANTA, GEORGIA – OCTOBER 03: Calvin Ridley #18 of the Atlanta Falcons attempts to make a catch against the defense of Bobby McCain #20 of the Washington Football Team in the third quarter at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on October 03, 2021, in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)

WR – Calvin Ridley – Atlanta Falcons – $6,600

Calvin Ridley is back this week after missing Week 5 in London. The Miami Dolphins and their once-vaunted secondary, are currently in shambles giving up over 44 points per game to wide receivers. The emergence of Kyle Pitts comes at a perfect time, as Ridley is only priced $700 more than the rookie. PFF is high on Ridley this week as well, projecting him a top 10 matchup advantage.

WR –  Sterling Shepard – New York Giants – $5,600

Sterling Shepard won the Giant’s wide receiver version of Squid Game and is the last man standing. He’s averaging 9 targets a game, picking up a season-high 14 last week against the LA Rams. This week looks to be a similar game script, as the Giants are home underdogs against the CMC-less Carolina Panthers. Look for lots of targets and a safe 15 point floor from Shepard.

LANDOVER, MARYLAND – OCTOBER 10: Ricky Seals-Jones #83 of the Washington Football Team drops a pass as Pete Werner #20 of the New Orleans Saints defends during the second half at FedExField on October 10, 2021 in Landover, Maryland. (Photo by Patrick Smith/Getty Images)

TE – Ricky Seals-Jones – Washington Football Team – $3,700

Ricky Seals-Jones led the Washington Football Team yards and touchdowns in Week 6, scoring 15.8 fantasy points along the way. This week DraftKings priced him up $700, but in a negative game script, I’m expecting 6-8 targets for Seals-Jones and close to 12 fantasy points.

Flex – C.J. Uzomah – Cincinnatti Bengals – $3,000

I’ll take a 3k tight end who is averaging 13 points per game since returning to the starting lineups three weeks ago. I need high upside pay-down options if I am going to compete against Bo this week. Just wild how he “Flex-blocked” like a motherfucker on this one.

DST – Arizona Cardinals  – $3,100

I’m breaking my pay-down rule for defenses this week because J.J. Watt’s revenge tour is a real thing. I love his energy right now. “How about instead of making excuses for why we win, maybe we’re just fucking better!” He’s not wrong and this week he welcomes his old team, the Houston Texans to town for what should be a Texas-sized beat down. The Card’s defense is averaging 10 points per game this season and this game has a “defensive touchdown” written all over it.

Featured

Hot Cash From the King of Spice

Cry-mageddon

I’ve amazed myself at the staggering amount of restraint required to not post a single Adam Sandler (Uncut Gems) GIF, “This is how I win.” The tears are flowing. The deepest voices have gone shrill. Week 7 of the 2021 NFL season is “Bye-mageddon.”

The waaambulance chasers are already reserving airtime. “If you or a loved one had trouble setting a valid roster in Week 7, you may be entitled to financial compensation.” It’s pandemonium out there in the fantasy football community, but I’m honestly feeling just fine this week. Understanding who is left in this post-apocalyptic football hellscape is half the battle. The other half is pulling your hat down and holding on tight like Chris LeDoux and enjoying the ride.

Sure, some of my best rosters are oozing with studs from the Cowboys, Chargers, Bills, Steelers, Vikings, and Jaguars. Still, out of 46 season-long teams, only one of them made me taste the metallic flavor of imminent death. That team is 5-1, so I’ll take my loss and move on. We still have DFS. We still have the ability to double our money (or better) this week by only worrying about who is on the football field.

The Main Slate is nasty, drab, and gloomy. It still has winners. I don’t need to list the players who are unavailable; you’re already well aware. Add in the injured ones and it might seem desolate to the untrained eye. The Nimble team has the tools and the knowledge to hone in on the best plays with laser precision. The names are irrelevant. The key to saving the world with Bruce Willis this week is finding the best values and nailing down continuing trends. I can already hear Stephen Tyler screaming into the mic, “Don’t wanna close my eyes…”

Week 7 Cash Plays

I have a slightly different view from the consensus on how to build winning cash lineups. Instead of focusing on players with a “high floor,” I instead focus on their expected workload. These players often have that safe floor as a result of the VOLUME of opportunities, but they also have a higher likelihood of returning the 3x+ value that most cash games require to end the day above the pay line. A smart cash player has to always consider ceiling as a part of the equation, just maybe weighted lighter than if building for a GPP. I ask myself the same question every time: Does this player’s expected volume of opportunities (EVO) have high odds of accomplishing 3 points per salary dollar, divided by 1,000 (x=3[y/1000]).

KEY INGREDIENT*** — SECRET INGREDIENT*

KANSAS CITY, MISSOURI – OCTOBER 10: Patrick Mahomes #15 of the Kansas City Chiefs reacts to the crowd during player introductions prior to a game against the Buffalo Bills at Arrowhead Stadium on October 10, 2021 in Kansas City, Missouri. (Photo by Jamie Squire/Getty Images)

Quarterbacks

KYLER MURRAY: VS HOUSTON ($8,500)

Murray was back to his cash-winning ways in Cleveland last week. The only reason to shy away from him this week is the nice top-end matchups for quarterbacks that cost a little less to roster.

PATRICK MAHOMES: @ TENNESSEE ($8,400)***

Mahomes has been erratic at the game of football, but straight money in fantasy. His “worst” performance was 22 points against a staunch Buffalo defense. This week, he draws the stone-worst secondary in the NFL. Tennessee likely has the firepower to hang with Kansas City, which bodes well for Mahomes’ median score rising.

AARON RODGERS: VS WASHINGTON ($7,500)

The 2020 NFL MVP is a shareholder of Soldier Field in Chicago, too. He returns to Lambeau Field to host the disappointing Washington Football Team. Washington has yet another tough draw, after getting diced up by Patrick Mahomes last week. Rodgers and Adams should feast yet again.

RYAN TANNEHILL: VS KANSAS CITY ($6,400)

For how dominant Derrick Henry has been, Tannehill has slipped back into mediocrity. He will be missing Julio Jones again this week, along with a svelte AJ Brown coming off the Chipotle cleanse. In any case, Tannehill and the Titans will need to chuck the ball around to keep up with KC, who also sports an abysmal secondary.

MAC JONES: VS NY JETS ($5,300)

If you’re going to build around expensive pieces like Henry and Hill this week, you might need to slide into unsavory territory at quarterback. Should you venture down into this abyss, Jones has been consistent and faces a Jets defense that is playing rudderless football.

SEATTLE, WA – OCTOBER 07: Running back Darrell Henderson #27 of the Los Angeles Rams rushes against the Seattle Seahawks in the second half at Lumen Field on October 7, 2021 in Seattle, Washington. (Photo by Lindsey Wasson/Getty Images)

Running Backs

DERRICK HENRY: VS KANSAS CITY ($9,200)

Derrick Henry in cash, no matter what. The man is generational. The size, speed, and sheer ability shown by King Henry is unmatched in today’s NFL. He is matchup-proof, script-proof, and seemingly tackle-proof. The Chiefs defense will have a hell of a time trying to slow him down and get their offense back on the field.

DARRELL HENDERSON: VS DETROIT ($6,600)***

Back to the well with Hendo, who gets a second-consecutive cupcake matchup. He has burst for days and is getting a hefty workload advantage over Sony Michel. A cash lineup without Henry and Hendo is a losing one this week.

JOE MIXON: @ BALTIMORE ($6,500)

Mixon and Henderson were key features of last week’s Hot Cash article. There is no reason to fade Mixon this week, either. Baltimore is 23rd against opposing running backs, and Mixon is one of the last remaining bellcow backs in the league. If he is healthy, he’s a great cash player.

CORDARRELLE PATTERSON: @ MIAMI ($6,300)

Did you forget about Patterson over the bye week, following the game in London? I didn’t. The Swiss army knife is averaging over 20 DK points per game this season and now goes up against a horrendous Miami defense. Arthur Smith will keep riding the hot hand. That hot hand still hasn’t been Mike Davis and won’t be for a while.

CHUBA HUBBARD: @ NY GIANTS ($6,100)

I shed a tear when I envision what kind of insane numbers a healthy Christian McCaffrey would be putting up over this stretch of games. For the third-straight week, Hubbard faces an impoverished run defense. Hubbard isn’t even a sliver of the player that CMC is, but volume is key. Bad football players can still score fantasy points.

DEANDRE SWIFT: @ LA RAMS ($6,000)

How does DK treat a player averaging 18.2 points per game? They drop his salary to the lowest it has been since Week 3. The algorithm hates Swift, which means I love him every week for cash games. The Rams should absolutely destroy the Lions on Sunday, which opens up the entire second half for Swift to PPR the slate to death.

DAMIEN HARRIS: VS NY JETS ($5,700)

Maybe Bill Belichick has gone soft at his advanced age, but he hasn’t put Harris in the doghouse for very long. He has given some more work to the plodding rookie, Rhamondre Stevenson, but Harris is still getting a ton of work. I don’t see much resistance this week for Harris against the Jets.

ATLANTA, GEORGIA – OCTOBER 25: Calvin Ridley #18 of the Atlanta Falcons celebrates his two point conversion reception against the Detroit Lions during the second half at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on October 25, 2020 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)

Wide Receivers

DAVANTE ADAMS: VS WASHINGTON ($8,900)

The Washington secondary is terrible. Davante Adams is the best wide receiver in the NFL. They cannot and will not cover him. 15-plus targets are on the docket for Sunday and I will try to shoehorn him into my cash lineups wherever possible.

TYREEK HILL: @ TENNESSEE ($8,600)

If the Adams shoe just won’t fit, the Cheetah-print track shoe will slip on like Cinderella. Hill will be another week healed from his thigh contusion, which limited him to a mere 22 DK points last week in Washington. Just imagine the possibilities.

DJ MOORE: @ NY GIANTS ($7,100)

Don’t forget about DJ Moore! Sam Darnold is still heavily targeting him, which has given him an unprecedented number of chances to showcase his game-breaking talent in the open field. After two games with a downtick in production, he is back down to a more reasonable salary. I will be happy to pay that for his volume against the woeful Giants.

CALVIN RIDLEY: @ MIAMI ($6,600)***

Save for a head-scratching Week 1 game plan, Ridley has surpassed ten targets in every single game he has played this season. Just like with Patterson, we are getting salary relief from the bye week. We’re getting Ridley at his lowest salary of the season, by far. He missed the London game for a personal reason before the bye, and will be returning to face a Dolphins defense with a myriad of injuries in the secondary.

BRANDIN COOKS: @ ARIZONA ($6,000)

Can we get any more repetitive in this article? Cooks was my key ingredient wide receiver last week and very quietly surpassed a 3x value. Another 10-plus targets is on the docket this week against the Cardinals. Their defense has been powered by a ruthless pass rush, but their talent at corner is still really bad.

CHRIS GODWIN: VS CHICAGO ($5,900)

With Gronk and AB out this week, both Evans and Godwin are fully in play. Evans is the preferred tournament option, but Godwin in the slot is an automatic cash play against this pass funnel Bears’ defense. Godwin is much too talented to be under $6k, no matter who the Bucs are facing.

JAYLEN WADDLE: VS ATLANTA ($5,600)

Even with a massive $700 markup from last week, it was deserved for the speedy rookie, Waddle. He garnered 13 targets from Tua Tagovailoa last week in London. This week, he faces an Atlanta defense that has defended wide receivers relatively well, but not against great competition.

DARNELL MOONEY: @ TAMPA BAY ($4,600)

Can we get some respect for Mooney on DK? Actually, let’s keep him a well-kept secret for cash games. The Bears don’t pass a lot, but Mooney is still the most-targeted receiver on the team. Although we can’t trust Matt Nagy at all to come up with a good game plan against the league’s best pass funnel defense in Tampa, there should be a nice uptick in an already solid workload for the second-year pro from Tulane.

AMON-RA ST BROWN: @ LA RAMS ($4,100)

The Sun God was targeted seven times last week at $4.2k. The problem? He only clawed his way to 26 receiving yards on five receptions. Goff is a major problem for St Brown’s aDOT figure. This game should be a humiliating blowout, so I do like a likely double dose of targets for the USC rookie in mop-up time.

RASHOD BATEMAN*: VS CINCINNATI ($3,400)

DraftKings still hasn’t caught on to the massive potential of Shoddy B. Fresh off a groin injury, he took the field and seized a 22% target share. That equaled Mark Andrews’ share. Yahoo! DFS already increased Bateman’s salary by 50% from last week, but DK is lagging behind with only a $400 increase. I’ll take that free square every time.

Tight Ends

TRAVIS KELCE: @ TENNESSEE ($7,600)

Surprisingly, the Titans are pretty decent at defending the tight end position. A deeper dive would reveal that they simply haven’t had to face any good ones. Kelce commands a ton of attention on the field, which makes him a decent value. He isn’t my favorite, however, due to his stinger injury and matchup with Kevin Byard.

DARREN WALLER: VS PHILADELPHIA ($6,700)***

Didn’t that Vegas offense look liberated last week? It was the opposite of what I expected, but the Raiders draw another great matchup for tight ends this week. The corners for Philly have played pretty well, but they have been destroyed from the slot. Waller is a premium play this week at a lovely salary.

KYLE PITTS: @ MIAMI ($5,900)

It sounds strange, but I was excited to get up at 6:30 in the morning to watch the Falcons and Jets play in London. Kyle Pitts was in line for a massive day and he didn’t disappoint. The rookie isn’t done yet; the Dolphins are falling apart on defense. I think it also finally clicked for Arthur Smith. He now realizes that he should involve one of the most gifted receiving prospects in NFL history more for better results.

MIKE GESICKI: VS ATLANTA ($4,700)

Just as it isn’t fair (or accurate) to classify Kyle Pitts as a tight end, Gesicki has only lined up at the traditional spot on 12 snaps this season. The Falcons are in the middle of the pack against the pass, but this game has some sneaky shootout potential.

DALLAS GOEDERT: @ LAS VEGAS ($4,600)

It finally happened. Zach Ertz was traded months later than expected, but now the Eagles and Nick Sirianni can run 11 and 21 personnel like they planned to. Goedert will be a huge factor in this offense going forward, especially with the struggles of Jalen Hurts and Jalen Reagor.

CJ UZOMAH: @ BALTIMORE ($3,000)

It may be a statistic inflated by a series of tough matchups, but the Ravens are 29th at defending opposing tight ends. I think another contributing factor has been the poor health of the Baltimore secondary. Uzomah has looked incredible coming off his Achilles tear. Down at this salary, I feel very confident that Uzomah will approach double figures this week.

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Nimble GPP: Plays to Get You Paid

By Scott Simpson

Welcome to NFL Week 7! Each week Nimble GPP will bring you the plays to get you paid for DraftKings GPP. Excited to share all my “Nimble GPP” content with you all this year. Each week I will help you build GPP lineups by providing you the building blocks at each skill position by identifying “High Priced”, “Mid-Range”, and “Value” plays. The play represents the player that I predict for the most upside at their price range. Mix and match the players you are high on and build your optimal lineup.

If you are interested in NIMBLE GPP Lineups or Bo McBrayer’s GPP Lineups, check out our Nimble Patreon. All Nimble’s Numbers will be powered by RuntheSims.com this year. Signup for a free account today!!

High Priced – Quarterback

Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City Chiefs – $8,400 

For once Patrick Mahomes isn’t the highest priced quarterback on the DraftKings Main Slate for Week 7. He’s $100 less than Kyler Murray. According to RuntheSims.com, he has a higher “Boom” rate compared to Murray though, 58% to 45.4%. The Tennessee Titans are 29th against the quarterback position and 32nd against wide receivers, giving up over 50 points per game. This matchup has the highest total of the week at 57.5. The experts all agree that this game has shootout potential. With the Chiefs catching 31.5 implied points, Mahomes is expected to have a big day, racking up the points on a weak Tennessee defense.

Mid-Range – Quarterback

EAST RUTHERFORD, NEW JERSEY – OCTOBER 17: Matthew Stafford #9 of the Los Angeles Rams huddles with his team during the first half against the New York Giants at MetLife Stadium on October 17, 2021 in East Rutherford, New Jersey. (Photo by Sarah Stier/Getty Images)

Matthew Stafford, LA Rams – $7,100

The Matthew Stafford revenge game narrative is very real this week as Stafford and the 5-1 LA Rams host the god-awful 0-6 Detroit Lions. Stafford is at the peak of his fantasy powers, already passing for 16 touchdowns and over 1,300 yards this season. There’s a very real chance that Stafford throws for 400 yards and 4 scores in this matchup. This isn’t the game to fade him, I’m going all in!

Value – Quarterback

Matt Ryan, Atlanta Falcons – $5,700

According to RunTheSims.com, Matt Ryan is of the best point per dollar quarterbacks on the DraftKings Week 7 slate. Ryan is coming off of back-to-back 24+ point performances. Calvin Ridley is back this week and priced down at $6,600. Ryan and Ridley are one of the best cheap stacks to target. The Dolphin defense sucks. All the stars are aligning for a blowup game from Ryan and company.

High Priced – Running Back

NASHVILLE, TENNESSEE – OCTOBER 18: Running back Derrick Henry #22 of the Tennessee Titans rushes in front of cornerback Taron Johnson #24 of the Buffalo Bills during the second half at Nissan Stadium on October 18, 2021 in Nashville, Tennessee. (Photo by Wesley Hitt/Getty Images)

Derrick Henry, Tennessee Titans – $9,200

Derrick Henry is not human. He’s averaging 30.8 DraftKings points per game. I am shocked he’s not priced up to $9,500 this week. Thank god for another Monday night blowup after the DraftKings’ prices are already set in proverbial stone. This will be the cheapest we will get to play Henry for a while. Buy the dip and roll tide!!

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Mid-Range – Running Back

Chuba Hubbard, Carolina Panthers – $6,100

Chuba Hubbard has performed well in the CMC light role the last two weeks, totaling 46 touches and close to 200 yards. This week Hubbard faces a New York Giants team that gives up close to 30 points to running backs per game and last week were lit up for 24.7 points by Darrell Henderson. Hubbard should see close to 20 touches in this game, which means he has a great chance to score 20+ points.

Value – Running Back

J.D. McKissic, Washington Football Team – $5,000

J.D. McKissic is the clear PPR back in Washington. He’s averaging 10.8 points per game to Antonio Gibson’s 13.6. Gibson missed practice on Wednesday and if he misses time, look for the Team to lean on McKissic, which in all likelihood will be a negative game script against Aaron “I still Own You” Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers. Last week he saw 10 targets and projects to see at least 7 in this matchup.

High Priced – Wide Receiver 

EAST RUTHERFORD, NEW JERSEY – OCTOBER 17: Cooper Kupp #10 of the Los Angeles Rams catches a touchdown pass against the New York Giants in the second quarter at MetLife Stadium on October 17, 2021 in East Rutherford, New Jersey. (Photo by Rich Schultz/Getty Images)

Cooper Kupp, LA Rams – $8,400

According to OccupyFantasy.com, Cooper Kupp has top 5 wide receiver upside this week against the Detroit Lions. According to PFF, Kupp has the best matchup out of all wide receivers in Week 7. Given the aforementioned revenge narrative, I love Kupp this week in all GPP formats.

Mid-Range – Wide Receiver 

ATLANTA, GEORGIA – OCTOBER 25: Calvin Ridley #18 of the Atlanta Falcons celebrates his two point conversion reception against the Detroit Lions during the second half at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on October 25, 2020, in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)

Calvin Ridley, Atlanta Falcons – $6,600

Calvin Ridley is back this week after missing Week 5 in London. The Miami Dolphins and their once-vaunted secondary, are currently in shambles giving up over 44 points per game to wide receivers. The emergence of Kyle Pitts comes at a perfect time, as Ridley is only priced $700 more than the rookie. PFF is high on Ridley this week as well, projecting him a top 10 matchup advantage.

Value – Wide Receiver 

Marquise “Hollywood” Brown, Baltimore Ravens – $5,800

Hollywood Brown has been streaky this year, scoring under 10 twice and over 24 twice. This week Brown faces a secondary that he owned last season, averaging 20 points per game in the two matchups against the Cincinnati Bengals. Priced-down at $5,800, makes him a great value play this week.

High Priced – Tight End

Mark Andrews, Baltimore – $6,000  

Mark Andrews is on fire this season! Currently, he is the second-highest scoring tight end in the NFL, one point per game behind Travis Kelce. Andrews is $1,600 cheaper despite his 18.1 points per game average. I’ll take the discount and ride with Andrews against a Bengals team that he played well against last season, catching 10 of 16 targets for 83 yards and a touchdown.

Mid-Range – Tight End

PHILADELPHIA, PENNSYLVANIA – OCTOBER 03: Dallas Goedert #88 of the Philadelphia Eagles leaps over Daniel Sorensen #49 of the Kansas City Chiefs at Lincoln Financial Field on October 03, 2021 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Tim Nwachukwu/Getty Images)

Dallas Goedert, Philadelphia Eagles – $4,600

Dallas Goedert is the only tight-end game in town now. His price is criminally low given Jalen Hurts propensity to target his tight ends, 50 times so far through six games. Now Goedert has all those targets to himself. He’s a smash play if you are looking for mid-range tight end value.

Value – Tight End 

Ricky Seals-Jones, Washington Football Team – $3,900

Last week Ricky Seals-Jones converted six targets into 58 yards and a score. This week he faces the Green Bay Packers, who have given up 300 yards receiving and three touchdowns to tight ends so far this season. Seals-Jones is an important part of the Washington Football Teams plan for picking up first downs and working the middle of the field. His price is still too low and I expect at least 12 points from him against the Packers.

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Hot Cash From the King of Spice

Bulletin Board Material

What would you tell someone if they approached you on the street and asked, “What motivates you?” Is it a who or a what? If it’s a who, why? I know some people who seem to lack any motivation to improve their lot in life, but like tapping on the walls of a fish tank or poking a sleeping bear with a stick, there has to be some motivation in there somewhere.

As a husband and father, it’s pretty easy to answer that question. My wife and daughter are the two most important beings in my life. Although I’ll likely struggle to ever be the husband or father that Mike Tagliere was (and made look so easy), they drive me to be the best whatever I want to be.

Ever the typical young newlyweds, Kristina and I dreamed about traveling and adventuring through our twenties before settling down to maybe have children. Surprise! Addison came along right at the onset of our journey. It was difficult. We were two working professionals with nary the disposable income or shared time off.

When Addison was nearing the end of her first grade year, we were thinking it was time to finally take a trip with her. Not just the little day or weekend outings in the car, we were going to go somewhere that required a plane or a boat. We saved up and booked a cruise to Ensenada, Mexico. My mother-in-law was coming too, with an adjacent suite to share with Addison when Kristina and I were on adults-only adventures. Addison got a passport; she was going to visit another country before she reached second grade. What a story she could tell the class when school started in August 2020…

For the last two years, our now third grader has gone through the familiar carousel of remote learning, mask mandates, and lockdowns. Just as it has negatively affected the mental health of many, our children have become accustomed to all the disappointment. The cruise was cancelled and refunded. Subsequent inquiries into future trips were scuttled because of travel restrictions. The inability to do normal, fun things that kids need to find joy in the world has jaded Addison to a degree. She’s a smart kid; she understands why things are the way they are. She also holds some resentment toward the world, including her parents, for not providing her as much of the fun that normal childhood should bring.

We were shuffling through Addison’s school folder last night and found an assignment where the students were asked about some of their favorite things. Our child waxed poetic of her love for animals and video games, but the one that hit us like a ton of bricks was the one about her “favorite vacation.” Our eight-year-old wrote in pencil, “I have never been on a vacation” with a sad face at the end. Kristina and I both replicated the face to one another. It hurt. The little cartoon beach with waves, sand, and an umbrella had stirred up that resentment in our little girl. She didn’t know we were going to see this. Now, we’re not going to ignore it.

Addison’s response to her assignment, now attached to our bathroom mirror. We are motivated to go on our first family vacation and plenty more.

Of course, NFL teams have “bulletin board material.” If your opponent is talking trash about you before the game, it’s even more motivation to prove them wrong and earn a sweeter victory. The last two years have us all downtrodden and starving for fun and adventure.

A nice DFS payout will go right into booking our first real family vacation. With that fire in my belly to put a smile on my little girl’s face, I will succeed. If you join me, you will too!

Washington Football Team quarterback Taylor Heinicke (4) dives past Buffalo Bills’ Vernon Butler (94) for a touchdown as Bills’ A.J. Epenesa (57) and Mario Addison (97) watch during the first half of an NFL football game Sunday, Sept. 26, 2021, in Orchard Park, N.Y. (AP Photo/Adrian Kraus)

Week 6 DFS Cash Plays

I have a slightly different view from the consensus on how to build winning cash lineups. Instead of focusing on players with a “high floor,” I instead focus on their expected workload. These players often have that safe floor as a result of the VOLUME of opportunities, but they also have a higher likelihood of returning the 3x+ value that most cash games require to end the day above the pay line. A smart cash player has to always consider ceiling as a part of the equation, just maybe weighted lighter than if building for a GPP. I ask myself the same question every time: Does this player’s expected volume of opportunities (EVO) have high odds of accomplishing 3 points per salary dollar, divided by 1,000 (x=3[y/1000]).

KEY INGREDIENT*** — SECRET INGREDIENT*

Quarterbacks

PATRICK MAHOMES: @ WASHINGTON ($8,300)

It’s easy to forget how much of a fantasy cheat code Mahomes is after a disappointing couple of games for him and the Chiefs. After two tough matchups, a preseason look at the schedule might have looked like a third was on the horizon. Not so, as the Washington defense has been a massive disappointment. This figures to be a game with plenty of big upside for both sides.

KYLER MURRAY: @ CLEVELAND ($7,900)

Every single week. Don’t you dare move Kyler Murray out of consideration for the best quarterback for cash games. He is completely matchup-proof, except for the rare divisional clunker like last week. We also just watched Justin Herbert put up a monster, slate-breaking game against this Cleveland defense.

JUSTIN HERBERT: @ BALTIMORE ($7,300)

Speak of the devil. Herbie is en fuego. His 45.8 DK points last week were the golden ticket to DFS winnings. He is positioned to double down on that performance against a tattered Ravens secondary. Herbert is averaging more than 40 passing attempts per game and leads the NFL in completions down the field outside the numbers.

MATTHEW STAFFORD: @ NY GIANTS ($6,700)

Stafford priced under $7k this week is an eyebrow-raising value, especially against a pathetic, hapless Giants team. The only mitigating factor to Stafford’s volume is how early the Rams might build an insurmountable lead, where the running game will get to work on one of the league’s worst run defenses to kill the clock.

TAYLOR HEINICKE: VS KANSAS CITY ($5,800)***

Heinicke resembles Jalen Hurts more than you think. He looks terrible as a real life quarterback, with countless bonehead decisions and poor throws every game. Every week, however, he seems to put up numbers that belie his level of play. His matchup is much more favorable against Kansas City than last week’s dud against New Orleans. I will be locking Heinicke into a bunch of cash lineups.

MAC JONES: VS DALLAS ($5,200)

Toward the bottom of the quarterback fish tank swims the Alabama rookie, who has been remarkably consistent so far this season. The Patriots have flipped the script on their neutral script scheme from last season, now passing at a very high percentage of plays. Dallas has formed a surprising pass funnel, with a very opportunistic group of ball hawks on the back end. The stats will bear out a value in the end.


Running Backs

AUSTIN EKELER: @ BALTIMORE ($7,900)

Ekeler is an absolute PPR stud. He is as close to a CMC as we will see until the Panthers’ star returns to full health. With how amazingly the Chargers are rolling on offense, there is absolutely no reason to hesitate on this spend up.

EZEKIEL ELLIOTT: @ NEW ENGLAND ($7,100)

Back to the top of the cash game board goes Zeke, whom I have had locked in as a top-5 running back since the preseason. There are very few players who are near locks to score a touchdown in every single game. New England isn’t a slouch against the run, but the Cowboys haven’t really been bothered by good defenses anyway.

JOE MIXON: @ DETROIT ($6,400)

The much-maligned Mixon is still an incredibly talented running back, who showed no impedance from his ankle sprain last week. Detroit is abysmal against opposing running backs. Depending on his popularity, it’s very possible I’ll be using a lot of Mixon across all formats this week.

DEANDRE SWIFT: VS CINCINNATI ($6,300)

I made a vow to play Swift “no matter what” if he was healthy and under $7k. He hasn’t cracked that number since Week 2 against Green Bay. After his third 20+ point performance this season, his salary only jumped $200. Keep on chugging!

DARRELL HENDERSON JR: @ NY GIANTS ($6,000)***

Have you heard me say how bad the Giants defense is? Pull up a chair and I’ll keep going on like a broken record. I love how Henderson is only $100 more than last week, where he put up another very solid performance. The Giants won’t even stand a chance.

JAVONTE WILLIAMS: VS LAS VEGAS ($5,000)

Melvin Gordon is like the Tinman in need of some oil for his joints. The 50/50 split to this point cannot be sustained, especially since Gordon is falling apart and the stud rookie is showcasing his superior ability on every snap. This is the week where we see a nice bump in opportunities for Williams against a Charmin-soft Raiders team.

KHALIL HERBERT*: VS GREEN BAY ($4,600)

If you are a consumer of the BallBlast Wire waiver show with Sam Wagman and I, you’ll know I recommended Herbert over Damien Williams as a FAAB priority once David Montgomery was injured. I predicted that he would get more carries than Williams in Week 5…and he did. Now, Williams is COVID-positive and unlikely to suit up. Khalil “11 Toes” Herbert is a free square this week.

This image has an empty alt attribute; its file name is cooks.jpeg

Wide Receivers

DAVANTE ADAMS: @ CHICAGO ($9,000)

I told you all to sell the farm and put Davante in every lineup last week and I hope you weren’t too stubborn. The Packers star receiver went absolutely thermonuclear against the Bengals, to the tune of 40.6 DK points. It would be silly to expect another 40-burger, but the likelihood of 27-plus to pay the bills this week is extremely high.

COOPER KUPP: @ NY GIANTS ($7,900)

Shhh! While you were sleeping, we had a quiet performance for Kupp while Bobby Trees emerged from the thicket. A stable salary from last week is a lullaby for DFS players, who shouldn’t scoff at the 7/10/92 performance last Thursday night. Have you heard how bad the Giants are on defense?

DEANDRE HOPKINS: @ CLEVELAND ($7,800)

Last week was a reassurance that Nuk’s ribs are feeling much better. He is battling an illness this week, but if he’s ready to go for Sunday, he will be an incredible leverage receiver around more chalky options for GPP. For cash, he’s as consistent as any wideout in NFL history. Lock him in.

TERRY MCLAURIN: VS KANSAS CITY ($7,100)

It’s really too bad that Heinicke was so terrible last week in New Orleans. Terry was enjoying incredible volume every game. The Chiefs have been a huge letdown on defense this season, contributing very poor play that has led to their three losses. I have no doubt that this will be the highest score on the slate. McLaurin should be a huge part of that.

ROBERT WOODS: @ NY GIANTS ($6,100)

The target dispersal from Stafford to these Rams receivers has been very concentrated to the top two guys, especially last week. Woods was schemed into 14 targets and caught 12 of them for 150 yards. Nobody was even mad that he didn’t find the end zone. I believe he will check that box this week against the lowly Giants in New Jersey. Their defense is terrible.

BRANDIN COOKS: @INDIANAPOLIS ($5,800)***

Apparently, it only takes one bad week to completely forget about Cooks again. His salary plummeted back below $6k again, which means you can safely lock him into your cash lineups. Indy isn’t as great on defense as I thought they would be, especially against the wide receiver position.

KADARIUS TONEY: VS LA RAMS ($5,600)

Help! I’ve obviously been kidnapped. I just typed out a name that I chided all offseason as an obvious bust in the making. I wholeheartedly admit that I was wrong about the Florida rookie. He has been electric in the two games he has been given volume. I don’t have any reason to expect that to stall, even if Shepard and Slayton come back.

JAKOBI MEYERS: VS DALLAS ($5,400)

Another guy makes the list that normally induces my snoring reflex. Yes, I like to joke that Meyers carries an Epi-Pen in case he gets too close to the end zone. He actually came only a yard short of his first career touchdown last week. His volume is as steady as it gets in this surprisingly pass-heavy Patriots attack. The price is also perfect against a suspect Cowboys secondary.

HUNTER RENFROW: @ DENVER ($4,900)

Eight targets per game pays the bills for most players at $6k on DK. We’re getting that with Renfrow for pennies on the dollar. Denver is very tough on outside receivers, but not quite as great against the slot. If Derek Carr wants to break out of this completely-predictable slump, he better find his diminutive slot receiver with the strong clutch gene.

AMON-RA ST BROWN: VS CINCINNATI ($4,200)

Like with Renfrow, eight targets per game pays the bills. The rookie from Southern Cal has hit that number in consecutive weeks. Plus, his main competition for targets on the outside, Quintez Cephus, has been lost for the remainder of the season from a broken clavicle. If you remember, the Bengals were the team that allowed 40 DK points to Davante Adams last week.

This image has an empty alt attribute; its file name is kelce-.jpeg
KANSAS CITY, MISSOURI – SEPTEMBER 26: Travis Kelce #87 of the Kansas City Chiefs catches the ball during the fourth quarter in the game against the Los Angeles Chargers at Arrowhead Stadium on September 26, 2021 in Kansas City, Missouri. (Photo by David Eulitt/Getty Images)

Tight Ends

TRAVIS KELCE: @ WASHINGTON ($7,000)***

Don’t get cute at the tight end position. A valuable lesson in DFS is the “pony-up or punt” strategy at tight end. As in, don’t try to guess which mid-price guy will have the best performance. Someone down at the bottom is just as likely to be the breakout tight end, and the top guys will nearly always produce. If this game shoots out, Kelce’s puzzling drop in salary this week will be met with his best points-per-dollar performance of the year.

DARREN WALLER: @ DENVER ($6,600)

If you’re insane, you’ll save the $400 dollars and eschew Kelce for Waller in a much tougher matchup. He’s still a great play, but I’d be stunned if his value exceeds Kelce’s this week. Even then, his volume is more than enough to roster with confidence.

MARK ANDREWS: VS LA CHARGERS ($5,200)

Holy smokes! I had to find my glasses to make sure I wasn’t losing my mind. Andrews scored 44.7 DK points last week, faces a defense that is statistically worse than the Colts versus the position, and his salary was reduced by $300?! This twilight zone moment is brought to you by DraftKings. If there’s one sure chalk bet, I’d place it on Andrews. Luckily, you don’t have to weight a player’s popularity heavily at all in cash games.

NOAH FANT: VS LAS VEGAS ($4,800)

Fant has not received very consistent volume this season. So why am I recommending him as a play this week? The Raiders are a soft team who lost their fearless leader to his own stupid bigotry and hubris. I think Denver will steamroll Vegas this week, getting back to the Week 4 agenda where Fant was targeted 10 times.

HUNTER HENRY: VS DALLAS ($3,900)

Try as I may, I can’t figure out why the Patriots are running more deep routes with Henry than their athletic freak on the other side, Jonnu Smith. Even though they have both been involved, the quality looks have gone Henry’s way. He has looked great so far and looks to keep it rolling against a Cowboys team that has struggled to slow opposing tight ends down.

RICKY SEALS-JONES: VS KANSAS CITY ($3,000)

Y’all laughed at me. You scoffed at my recommendation to plug Seals-Jones in as an extreme value pick with upside. He nearly hit a 4x value last week without the benefit of a touchdown. Logan Thomas isn’t walking through that door this week against the generous Chiefs defense. RSJ is still down at $3k, so he’s virtually the same great value piece in a high total game.

Featured

Nimble GPP:Plays to Get You Paid

By Scott Simpson

Welcome to NFL Week 6! Each week Nimble GPP will bring you the plays to get you paid for DraftKings GPP. Excited to share all my “Nimble GPP” content with you all this year. Each week I will help you build GPP lineups by providing you the building blocks at each skill position by identifying “High Priced”, “Mid-Range”, and “Value” plays. The play represents the player that I predict for the most upside at their price range. Mix and match the players you are high on and build your optimal lineup.

If you are interested in NIMBLE GPP Lineups or Bo McBrayer’s GPP Lineups, check out our Nimble Patreon. All Nimble’s Numbers will be powered by RuntheSims.com this year. Signup for a free account today!!

High Priced – Quarterback

CLEVELAND, OH – NOVEMBER 04: Patrick Mahomes #15 of the Kansas City Chiefs throws a pass during the third quarter against the Cleveland Browns at FirstEnergy Stadium on November 4, 2018, in Cleveland, Ohio. (Photo by Kirk Irwin/Getty Images)

Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City Chiefs – $8,300 

Patrick Mahomes is the highest-priced quarterback on the DraftKings Main Slate and for good reason. According to RuntheSims.com, he has the highest Week 6 ceiling at close to 40 points. The Washington Football Team defense ranks 31st in points allowed to quarterbacks, giving up close to 28 points per game. The Washington Football Team is going to get obliterated in this matchup. My only concern will be the rostership percentages if you choose to stack the Chiefs. Your GPP builds will need to avoid most of the other chalk on the board so you’re differentiated.

Mid-Range – Quarterback

Matthew Stafford, LA Rams – $6,700

Matthew Stafford passed for 365 last week, despite injuring his finger in the game. This week Stafford faces the New York Giants, who rank 26th against the quarterback position, giving up 21.52 points per game. The Giants just got blown out by the Dallas Cowboys, giving up over 300 yards and three touchdowns to Dak Prescott.

Value – Quarterback

Carson Wentz Indianapolis Colts – $5,400

Carson Wentz might not be totally washed after all. Last week he lit up the Baltimore Raven secondary for over 400 passing yards. This week he faces a Houston Texans defense that hasn’t been as terrible as predicted but give it time. The paydown to $5,400 allows you to squeeze more studs into your lineup. I’ll be stacking him with Jonathan Taylor and either Michael Pittman or Zach Pascal.

According to RunTheSims.com,

High Priced – Running Back

Austin Ekeler , LA Chargers – $7,900

Austin Ekeler is currently ranked second to only Derrick Henry in running back points. Ekeler has been eclectic through the first five games, averaging 24.7 DraftKings points per game. This week he faces a Baltimore Ravens defense that has given up 742 total yards and seven touchdowns to running backs in five games. Last week they gave up 34 points to Jonathan Taylor and 40 points in total to Colts’ running backs. I want Ekeler everywhere this week.

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Mid-Range – Running Back

INDIANAPOLIS, IN – SEPTEMBER 20: Jonathan Taylor #28 of the Indianapolis Colts reacts after a touchdown during the first half against the Minnesota Vikings at Lucas Oil Stadium on September 20, 2020, in Indianapolis, Indiana. (Photo by Michael Hickey/Getty Images)

Jonathan Taylor, Indianapolis Colts – $6,600

One of the pricing benefits for players playing on Monday Night Football is that the prices for the following week are set before the game. Jonathan Taylor would have been priced up in the upper $7,000s after finishing Week 5 as the highest-scoring running back if not for the early Week 6 price drop. Taylor averaged 21 DraftKings points per game against the Houston Texans during his rookie campaign in 2020. Look for more the same this week, my only concern will be just how chalky he might be. Otherwise, he is a smash play.

Value – Running Back

Darrel Williams, Kansas City Chiefs – $4,900

Darrel Williams is the Kansas City Chiefs RB1 after CEH went on the short-term IR with an MCL sprain. This play is all about chasing volume and upside in a game that should see the Chiefs score over 40 points. Williams might just end up being the best running back value play on the whole slate.

High Priced – Wide Receiver 

Tyreek Hill, Kansas City Chiefs – $8,500

KANSAS CITY, MO – OCTOBER 13: Tyreek Hill #10 of the Kansas City Chiefs celebrates after his third-quarter touchdown reception against the Houston Texans at Arrowhead Stadium on October 13, 2019, in Kansas City, Missouri. Hill had two touchdown receptions in the game. (Photo by David Eulitt/Getty Images)

According to OccupyFantasy.com, Tyreek Hill has the highest ceiling of any wide receiver this week when he faces off against the Washington Football Team’s secondary. Washington ranks 29th against wide receivers giving up close to 45 points per game. Hill did tweak his knee on Sunday, so keep an eye on his practice status this week, just in case.

Mid-Range – Wide Receiver 

Keenan Allen, LA Chargers – $6,400

Justin Herbert is coming off his best performance of the season, passing for four touchdowns and 398 yards. Mike Williams was the primary beneficiary of Herbert’s passing volume, picking up 16 targets to Allen’s nine. This week Allen has a chance to level the playing field against the Baltimore Ravens, who allowed over 200 yards and a touchdown last week to wide receivers. Early reports practice reports indicate that Mike Williams is dealing with a knee injury. I like the Allen play, but it becomes one of the best plays on the board if Williams is limited or OUT on Sunday.

Value – Wide Receiver 

Brandon Cooks – $5,500

Last week Bill Belichick took Brandon Cooks out of the game. This week Cooks faces an Indianapolis Colts defense that has given up the most touchdowns (10) to wide receivers through the first five games. Cooks is going to be locked and loaded into all of my GPP lineups. Giddy up!

High Priced – Tight End

Travis Kelce, Kansas City Chiefs – $7,000 

Travis Kelce has averaged 13.7 points over the last three weeks after scoring 25.6 and 23.9 the first two weeks. DraftKings has priced him down to $7,000, It makes sense on paper, but not in reality. The Washington Football Team will try to cover Kelce with first-round rookie linebacker Jamin Davis. Huge advantage to Kelce and those who are willing to pay up for him in Week 6.

Mid-Range – Tight End

BALTIMORE, MARYLAND – JANUARY 06: Tight end Mark Andrews #89 of the Baltimore Ravens leaps over defensive back Desmond King #20 of the Los Angeles Chargers in the fourth quarter during the AFC Wild Card Playoff game at M&T Bank Stadium on January 06, 2019, in Baltimore, Maryland. (Photo by Patrick Smith/Getty Images)

Mark Andrews, Baltimore – $5,200  

Mark Andrews is another player whose current price does not reflect his last performance. Andrews scored 44.7 points on Monday night against the Indianapolis Colts, 13.8 more points than any other tight end is third all season behind only Derrick Henry and Tyreek Hill. Andrews is a smash play this week.

Value – Tight End 

Ricky Seals-Jones, Washington Football Team – $3,000

Last week Ricky Seals-Jones saw plenty of action, leading the Washington Football Team in receptions with five. This week he is only priced up $500, which makes him a great value play. I’m considering double stacking him with Kecle and riding dirty with two tight ends in my Milly Maker lineup.

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Clash of the Beards and Bellies- Week 5

All Square

The full-on game stack I deployed last week wasn’t successful, but it was still enough to defeat Scott. Our season series is now all square at two wins apiece. I also was surgical with my 15 lineups and won our menage a trois highest score contest over Scott and his Fantasy Millionaires compadre, Mike Collins. They tried a shotgun approach with hundreds of unique lineups. Much like my hot sauce, it’s quality over quantity. I have this weekend off of work, so I’ll have time to conjure more quality lineups. My “Clash” lineup is one I built on Monday night, as soon as the Week 5 pricing was released. I hope Scott likes it.

Bo’s Lineup

QB – Daniel Jones – New York Giants – $6,000

Danny Dimes looks about as Konami Code as I do when I’m bellied up to a heaping plate of nachos, but he’s apparently really athletic. Do I think he will commit multiple turnovers, dooming the Giants to a 20-point shellacking by the Cowboys? Yes. It still doesn’t rule out his ability to put up 30 points on this bend-don’t-break defense.

NASHVILLE, TENNESSEE – SEPTEMBER 26: Derrick Henry #22 of the Tennessee Titans runs with the ball against the Indianapolis Colts at Nissan Stadium on September 26, 2021 in Nashville, Tennessee. (Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images)

RB – Derrick Henry – Tennessee Titans – $9,000

Since I’m not in a large-field tournament, I’m locking in an easy 30-plus points from King Henry. Regardless of price and opponent, Henry will see enough rushing and receiving volume to give me a leg up. Did I mention they play the Jaguars?

RB – Saquon Barkley – New York Giants – $7,300

The Cowboys haven’t been bad at all at defending the run, but they are surrendering a ton of receptions to the running back position. I know Jason Garrett like the back of my hand. He will try to screen Dallas to death. Saquon also scored a long touchdown as a wide receiver last week. I like that.

MINNEAPOLIS, MINNESOTA – NOVEMBER 22: CeeDee Lamb #88 of the Dallas Cowboys celebrates with teammate Michael Gallup #13 following a touchdown reception during their game against the Minnesota Vikings at U.S. Bank Stadium on November 22, 2020 in Minneapolis, Minnesota. (Photo by Hannah Foslien/Getty Images)

WR – CeeDee Lamb – Dallas Cowboys – $6,200

All has been quiet on the Lamb front the last couple of weeks. He has been discounted to a laughable salary now. His dropoff wasn’t performance-based, but rather the flow of the games. The Giants have nobody outside of James Bradberry that can hang with Lamb (and that’s a stretch).

WR – Kenny Golladay – New York Giants – $5,900

The injuries to Darius Slayton and Sterling Shepard have opened the door for Golladay to finally step up and play well. He was explosive down the field last week against the Saints. The Cowboys are pretty good at keeping receivers in front of them but have been gouged all season for big plays, nonetheless.

WR – Laviska Shenault Jr – Jacksonville Jaguars – $4,800

The theme of DFS this season seems to be finding the beneficiaries to other players’ injuries. His coach might be a blithering idiot, but Shenault saw his aDOT jump dramatically in DJ Chark’s absence. His move to the outside is a welcome sight this week, where the Titans are the worst in the NFL.

TE – Ricky Seals-Jones – Washington Football Team – $2,500

You can’t afford Darren Waller every week. I decided to slip in another starter-due-to-injury here because he is a terrible blocker. Seals-Jones ran a lot of routes last week, even though it was for cardio. I just need him to do something to justify punting the position to the deepest depths of the Dead Sea.

NASHVILLE, TENNESSEE – SEPTEMBER 20: Kristian Fulton #26, Kevin Byard #31, and Malcolm Butler #21 of the Tennessee Titans watch as James Robinson #30 of the Jacksonville Jaguars scores a touchdown during the second half at Nissan Stadium on September 20, 2020 in Nashville, Tennessee. (Photo by Frederick Breedon/Getty Images)

FLEX – James Robinson – Jacksonville Jaguars – $6,000

No doubt about it, I’m prepared for JRob to hurt me again this week. Since I don’t expect much defense to be played between the Jags and Titans, JRob should get a ton of work in this offense. If not, Urban Meyer will be getting fitted for a sport coat to prepare for another set of job interviews. He’s a grinder.

DST – Washington Football Team – $2,300

The league’s most disappointing defense isn’t all bad. They do have a date with a classic beauty for DFS defenses, Jameis Winston. I’m hoping for a low-scoring brawl, but I’ll settle for some sacks and a pick-six.

Kissing Your Sister

After four weeks of fighting it out in “The Clash of the Beards and Bellies” Bo and I are all tied up at 2-2. The expression, “A tie is like kissing your sister” was coined in 1953 by then Navy Football Coach Eddie Erdelatz to describe a scoreless tie between Navy and Duke. I’m not sure the exact research methods that Coach Eddie used to test and develop his “Sister Kissing Theory” but the point still stands, no one really enjoys a tie. Especially not Bo, who gave me the beat down all last half of the season. He must be distraught. All that hard work through the first month of the NFL season and he’s tied, left kissing this fat toad of a sister. Pucker up, King of Spice.

Scott’s Lineup

QB – Daniel Jones – New York Giants – $6,000

Daniel Jones is a good fantasy football player. This is not to be confused with him being a good professional football player, which he is not, yet. Currently, Jones is the 3rd highest rushing quarterback behind only Lamar Jackson and Jalen Hurts. The Vegas sportsbooks pegged this matchup at the highest-scoring game of the week, which means garbage time points-o-plenty for Jones and hopefully Saquon.

CHARLOTTE, NC – OCTOBER 07: Saquon Barkley #26 of the New York Giants scores a 57-yard receiving touchdown from Odell Beckham Jr. #13 against the Carolina Panthers in the second quarter during their game at Bank of America Stadium on October 7, 2018 in Charlotte, North Carolina. (Photo by Grant Halverson/Getty Images)

RB – Saquon Barkley – New York Giants – $7,300  

Saquon Barkley is back!! I know he’s been back all season, but last week was the first time he was viable in DFS. This week Saquon and the New York Giants are in Dallas, facing Dak and one of the highest-scoring offenses in the NFL. If the Giants have any chance in this game it will be riding Saquon like the show pony he was drafted to be. Time to hitch up your wagons and let Saquon take you home.

RB – Leonard Fournette Tampa Buccaneers – $5,200

Ronald Jones is dust (obvi) and “Playoff Lenny” is here to stay. This is what we learned in Week 5. The backfield is Fournette’s and to him go the Week 5 DFS spoils. And oh, do we have spoils. The Miami Dolphins rank 30th against the running back, giving up over 30 fantasy points per game to the position. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are over 10 point favorites, which could mean Fournette could be in for plenty of work on Sunday. I love the value he provides in Cash this week.

WR – Terry McLaurin – Washington Football Team – $7,400

“Scary” Terry McLaurin might be the only healthy skill position player the Washington football team has available on their roster come Sunday afternoon. Dyami Brown and Logan Thomas are both out for Week 5, Curtis Samuel was limited all week in practice and Antonio Gibson popped up on the injury report with a shin issue on Friday. In Washington’s two victory’s this season, McLaurin has 27 targets. In the two losses, he only has 11 combined targets for eight receptions. If Washington wants to win the game, they will be peppering their best player with targets all day long.

WR – Deebo Samuel – San Francisco 49ers – $7,100

Deebo Samuel is a GROWN ASS MAN. We all knew this, but his incredibly hot start to the 2021 season is a glaring reminder of how dominant he can be on a football field. Deebo is currently 4th in the NFL with 43 targets. This Week the San Francisco 49ers face Kyler Murray and the high-scoring Arizona Cardinals. If the 49ers are going to win a shootout, Deebo is gonna have to ball out once again. No George Kittle means that the volume should be there to do some damage in this matchup.

WR – Jaylen Waddle  – Miami Dolphins – $4,900

Jaylen Waddle was played well, leading the Dolphins in receptions with 25 on 31 targets, for an 81% catch rate. Waddle is yet to truly break out this season, but this game looks to be his coming-out party. The Dolphins are double-digit dogs in their matchup with the Super Bowl Champion Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+10.5) which means that Jacoby Brissett will most likely be dropping back and sliding it all afternoon. I expect Waddle to score in this game and bring home the win against Bo.

TE – Noah Fant Denver Broncos – $4,800

Noah Fant currently ranks 4th among active tight ends with 27 targets and is coming off his best game of the season last week, scoring 16.6 against the Baltimore Ravens. This week the Broncos are facing a Steeler defense that has done pretty well against the position so far only surrendering 10 points per game. The Steelers did give up 5 receptions to Darren Waller for 65 yards in their

Flex – Laviska Shenault Jacksonville Jaguars – $4,800

Last week the Jacksonville Jaguars lost starting wide receiver D.J. Chark for what looks like the remainder of the season. Laviska Shenault stepped up last week, catching six of his seven targets for 99 yards. This week the Jags and rookie Trevor Lawrence square off against the worst secondary in the NFL, who have already given up eight touchdowns and 944 receiving yards to wide receivers. I’m expecting a huge game from Laviska this week.

DST – Philadelphia Eagles  – $2,200

Paying down for defense is my Cash and GPP strategy all season. The Eagles were lit up last week by Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs. This week they are the min price on DraftKings. Wheels up.

Featured

Hot Cash From the King of Spice

Love and Courage

Love is powerful. It is the strongest emotion and the most potent word. Love drives us to do great things and also to insanity. Every language has a word for it. Each person on Earth has it somewhere inside of them. From the time we are born, we lock eyes with our mother in a gaze that represents the purest connection of love. Love makes loss infinitely more difficult.

My mother is a case study of loving through loss. She has persisted through numbing tragedies to remain a beacon of happiness and positivity. Her sister, Terri “Aberdoo” Hubbard succumbed to metastatic melanoma at 26 years old. She left behind three sons and a listless husband. Terri passed just before I was born, but I was very close with my cousins. It was important to my mom that they were loved.

Mom was there for Grandma when her husband moved on from lung cancer. They spent an entire weekend scrubbing Grandma’s walls clean of the tar from decades of cigarette smoke. It was therapeutic. Grandma then moved into the guest house on the ranch, where she and Mom built a huge garden that they tend together to this day.

Cancer came calling for Mom multiple times through the years. She had her own melanomas carved from her body, leaving behind scars and reminders to be thankful for every sunrise. There was a lump in her breast detected during a routine mammogram when I was 19. That was the most fear the woman had ever expressed. He voice quivered over the phone when she told me she had breast cancer. My exact words to her are tattooed inside of a pink ribbon on my left ribcage. “If anyone can… it’s you.”

We lost my stepdad to pancreatic cancer last month, with only four weeks notice that his time on Earth was expiring. My mother didn’t sleep at all that month. She was in full-blown love mode. She took care of John every way she could. She kept up with his meds, fed him, bathed him. They made one last trip to Alaska and she made sure he got to do everything he set out to do in his remaining time, as long as he had the strength. The gravity of losing her husband of 20 years didn’t strike her until she told me about meeting with the mortuary the day after John’s passing.

I owe any shred of courage and strength I have to my mother. COVID took away her desire to have a gathering for John’s celebration of life, so I’m spending my paid bereavement day this Friday to celebrate John and Mom. I’m cooking up ribs, chicken, beans, and mac-and-cheese. It’s exactly what John would want us to do. I’m taking over Mom’s kitchen, so she can sit down with a whiskey drink and breathe. We’re cooking for 20, but it will just be six adults. Grandma will be baking up her peach cobbler and blackberry crisp. It will all be made with love. Just like John always said, “Nobody in this family has ever starved to death (and never will).”

Speaking of living fat and happy, last week was one of the most successful versions of “Hot Cash” in history. The formula was sound and our plays were huge money makers in all formats. Week 5 represents a slightly smaller Main Slate, with another unique set of matchups. Let’s get cooking and build these lineups with love.

MINNEAPOLIS, MINNESOTA – SEPTEMBER 26: Justin Jefferson #18 of the Minnesota Vikings celebrates a catch for a first down as Jordyn Brooks #56 of the Seattle Seahawks looks on during the second quarter in the game at U.S. Bank Stadium on September 26, 2021 in Minneapolis, Minnesota. (Photo by David Berding/Getty Images)

Week 3 DFS Cash Plays

I have a slightly different view from the consensus on how to build winning cash lineups. Instead of focusing on players with a “high floor,” I instead focus on their expected workload. These players often have that safe floor as a result of the VOLUME of opportunities, but they also have a higher likelihood of returning the 3x+ value that most cash games require to end the day above the pay line. A smart cash player has to always consider ceiling as a part of the equation, just maybe weighted lighter than if building for a GPP. I ask myself the same question every time: Does this player’s expected volume of opportunities (EVO) have high odds of accomplishing 3 points per salary dollar, divided by 1,000 (x=3[y/1000]).

KEY INGREDIENT***SECRET INGREDIENT*

Quarterbacks

KYLER MURRAY: VS SAN FRANCISCO ($8,000)

You may have noticed that Murray has been locked into this article every week. Regardless of salary and matchup, he is a brilliant cash play. As long as K1 is fully healthy, he is the perfect DFS quarterback for all formats.

JALEN HURTS: @ CAROLINA ($7,000)

Quickly approaching Kyler Murray territory, Hurts is another weapon in the DFS realm. Since he’s not as good of a real quarterback as Murray, he will be much more affordable on a weekly basis. Even his ugly performances will be profitable in cash games.

DAK PRESCOTT: VS NY GIANTS ($6,900)

The main slate is missing some elite offenses, but the Cowboys remain. Expect Dak to be a very popular GPP choice in this cushy matchup with the pathetic Giants, but his very reasonable salary allows you to build a juggernaut cash lineup around him.

DEREK CARR: VS CHICAGO ($6,100)

Carr showed a lot of resilience in the second half against the Chargers last week. He still has the most passing yards in the NFL and goes up against a Bears defense that gives it up on deep balls. I love Carr to surpass 300 yards and get that nice bonus on Sunday.

DANIEL JONES: @ DALLAS ($6,000)***

My favorite quarterback in cash this week is Danny Dimes, who faces my Cowboys. Even though he will likely turn the ball over, this game is going to be a very high total. Jones’ rushing, plus a negative game script for New York, allows for extreme optimism on his DK scoring projection.

JARED GOFF: @ MINNESOTA ($5,300)

It was a tough choice to give Goff the nod over Fields in this tier, but the tiebreaker was how abysmal this Vikings defense is. Fields has to deal with a tough Raiders pass rush, while Goff will have no-name receivers running wide open all over the field in Minnesota. I hope this one will also shoot out, giving Goff a great shot at cracking 300 passing yards at a bargain.

ARLINGTON, TEXAS – OCTOBER 03: Ezekiel Elliott #21 of the Dallas Cowboys runs the ball during the third quarter against the Carolina Panthers at AT&T Stadium on October 03, 2021 in Arlington, Texas. (Photo by Tom Pennington/Getty Images)

Running Backs

DERRICK HENRY: @ JACKSONVILLE ($9,000)

King Henry is officially in CMC territory at this salary. I’d be fading him if it weren’t for his newfound usage in the Titans’ passing game. He also would even be leading the league in rushing if we only counted his yards after contact. He might be tough to build around, but if you save at other positions, there’s nobody I’d rather have.

EZEKIEL ELLIOTT: VS NY GIANTS ($7,000)***

After a tough Week 1, Zeke is getting fed. He is as good of a pure running back as there is in the NFL and seems to score touchdowns in every game. The Giants are 28th against opposing running backs and trending even worse, with the loss of Blake Martinez. Elliott should have a monster game in this one.

NICK CHUBB: @ LA CHARGERS ($6,700)

The blueprint for beating the mighty Chargers happens to be Cleveland’s strongest attribute. Dallas ran the ball right down their throats. Chubb and Hunt are both viable for tournament play, but give me Chubb at a nice discount, where the passing attack will be hampered.

JAMES ROBINSON: VS TENNESSEE ($6,000)

The sheer volume that JRob is getting lately would be enough to play him against a horrid Titans defense. The ability to make the most of that volume makes Robinson a borderline smash play for all DFS formats this week. DJ Chark’s injury should push the Jags to emphasize the running game even more to take the pressure off of Trevor Lawrence.

DAMIEN WILLIAMS: @ LAS VEGAS ($5,600)

The loss of David Montgomery really hurts Chicago’s chances to beat the Raiders. That is, unless they can establish some semblance of a running game to keep the pass rush off of Justin Fields. Williams offers some receiving upside, even if he gives away some carries to Khalil Herbert.

TONY POLLARD: VS NY GIANTS ($5,600)

Along the same lines as Elliott, the Giants are absolutely terrible on defense. Pollard provides a nice receiving threshold to go with his explosive running. I think Dallas puts up 40 points with ease on Sunday, so no chance I’m fading a weapon like Pollard.

LEONARD FOURNETTE*: VS MIAMI ($5,200)

This week’s secret ingredient is an ultra value-priced Lenny against a dreadful Dolphins run defense. Until further notice, Fournette is the top dog in the Tampa backfield over Ronald Jones and Gio Bernard. I will have Lenny in every cash build, banking on an easy 4x+ value.

Wide Receivers

DAVANTE ADAMS: @ CINCINNATI ($8,200)

If you were hurt by Davante’s down week last week, have no fear. He only has a few of those each season. Aaron Rodgers won’t stop feeding him, especially in the red zone. Spend up with confidence that Adams is going to rebound in a big way against the Bengals.

JUSTIN JEFFERSON: VS DETROIT ($7,700)

Jefferson is truly a special talent. He is a fantastic possession receiver, commanding targets from all over the field. He is also a dynamic big play threat. Since Cousins still doesn’t have Dalvin Cook at full strength, look for him to pepper Jefferson and Thielen all game against a terrible Lions defense.

TERRY MCLAURIN: VS NEW ORLEANS ($7,400)

Yes, the Saints defense is good. They’re not that good against opposing wide receivers. McLaurin is also matchup-proof in cash games with his enormous target share. Taylor Heinicke is giving us all assurance of that. Even Marshon Lattimore struggles against speedy receivers as skilled as Scary Terry.

DEEBO SAMUEL: @ ARIZONA ($7,100)

Deebo cannot be stopped. He seems to have massive performances every week he’s healthy enough to suit up. The Trey Lance era is likely to commence this week, giving even more reason to plug Deebo into your lineups. Adding more big play opportunities to an already-staggering target share is exactly what we’re looking for.

ADAM THIELEN: VS DETROIT ($6,600)

Is it going to be a Jefferson game or Thielen game? A lot of times, the answer is simply “yes.” I don’t have any reason to think otherwise this week against the Lions, especially with Dalvin Cook running with a bad wheel.

DIONTAE JOHNSON: VS DENVER ($6,500)

This is a very tough matchup, but just another feather in the cap for Diontae. Big Ben is already hurt and playing horribly, but he still likes to force feed Johnson in the passing game. Every quarterback loves a guy who is always open, even if he himself is disintegrating.

AMARI COOPER: VS NY GIANTS ($6,100)

There is a lot to be said about a player who still performs, despite fighting through multiple injuries. Cooper is most definitely not a soft player, gutting out a 15-point performance last week against Carolina. The Giants defense is truly laughable. Almost as laughable as this salary for the Cowboys’ most productive receiver this season.

HUNTER RENFROW: VS CHICAGO ($4,900)

DraftKings releases the player salaries on Monday morning. This is a classic Monday night blind spot. Renfrow had a huge game against the Chargers, but was already set at $4,900 beforehand. Pay attention every week to this little edge. The Bears really struggle against the wide receiver position. Even without a ton of upside, “Third-and-Renfrow” is an amazing asset with volume for your 50/50 lineups.

LAVISKA SHENAULT: VS TENNESSEE ($4,800)***

Lock it in with Laviska, whose role completely changed following DJ Chark’s injury. His aDOT soared to 13 yards in Week 4, where also saw a big jump in target volume. Marvin Jones is a good play, but Shenault is a great one. The Titans might have the worst secondary in the NFL, so even the Jaguars have a shot at winning this one.

DEONTE HARRIS: @ WASHINGTON ($4,100)

Don’t look now, but Harris leads the Saints in targets. It’s not a very impressive stat (look at his competition), but it is fact. Washington has been the league’s most disappointing defense, especially against opposing wide receivers. Sean Payton will always feature his favorite players. Harris is definitely one of those guys.

LAS VEGAS, NEVADA – SEPTEMBER 13: Tight end Darren Waller #83 of the Las Vegas Raiders dives into the end zone to score a touchdown on a 10-yard pass play after spinning away from defensive back Chuck Clark #36 of the Baltimore Ravens in the fourth quarter of their game at Allegiant Stadium on September 13, 2021 in Las Vegas, Nevada. The Raiders defeated the Ravens 33-27 in overtime. (Photo by Ethan Miller/Getty Images)

Tight Ends

DARREN WALLER: VS CHICAGO ($7,300)***

Don’t get cute this week. No Kelce on the main slate means you can technically spend down on the position, but most of the other decent options are in tougher matchups to predict good volume. Waller is the outlier, commanding the lion’s share of targets in the Raiders offense.

TJ HOCKENSON: @ MINNESOTA ($5,500)

Hockenson got back on track in the volume department, with eight targets last week. Even though he has cooled off from his torrid start, he’s a very reliable piece against a putrid Vikings secondary. Another mark in his column is the Vikings’ strong pass rush, which could force Goff to check down more to his backs and (of course) Hockenson.

DALTON SCHULTZ: VS NY GIANTS ($4,400)

There isn’t a more surprising star at the tight end position than Schultz, but I’m here for it. Although not as athletic or polished as a receiver as Blake Jarwin, his chemistry with Dak Prescott is something to behold. The Giants can’t defend anyone, so a DFS player should not hesitate to lock in as many Cowboys as possible this week.

MIKE GESICKI: @ TAMPA BAY ($4,200)

When facing the Buccaneers, it’s easy to decide who to play. Running backs? Absolutely not. Receivers? Yes, please! Gesicki is among Jacoby Brissett’s favorite options, even if he isn’t making a lot of explosive plays out of the plethora of targets. I’d wager that Gesicki is the Dolphin most likely to score a touchdown this week, too.

JONNU SMITH: @ HOUSTON ($3,300)

Which team is stone-worst in the NFL at defending tight ends? Why, it’s the Houston Texans. They’re also bad at many other things. I like both Jonnu and Hunter Henry this week, giving the nod to Smith for this article based on his $400 discount.

ANTHONY FIRKSER: @ JACKSONVILLE ($3,100)

Before the Titans traded for Julio Jones, there was a growing contingent of fantasy experts that were high on Firkser’s chance to get a lot of work in the passing game. He garnered five targets in his first healthy game of 2021 last week. Jones is very questionable to suit up in this one. Even if he does play, there’s good reason to plug Firkser in as a value play at the position.

Featured

Ask Your Doctor if Nimble GPP is Right for You – Scott

Every year at the start of the NFL season millions of Americans are diagnosed with DraftKings Deposit Dysfunction Disorder or DDDD for short. This crippling affliction impacts close to 90% of DraftKings players and can have some serious long-lasting negative side effects. “Late Swapping Syndrome”, “Tight End Punting Disease,” and “JaMarr Chasing” are all tournament ruining conditions that have been directly linked back to DDDD. There are so many unanswered questions surrounding the disease and I’m pretty sure that admitting to yourself or others that you even suffer from DDDD constitutes a HIPPA violation. I mean, is there even a cure? If diagnosed, what are my chances of ever cashing again? Is there a deposit bonus for those who suffer from DDDD perhaps? No. Scary times for sure.

If you think you or a loved one might be suffering from DDDD, don’t give up hope. A groundbreaking revolutionary weekly DFS treatment called “Nimble GPP” has just been made available to the public! Positive trials results last year included a second-place finish in a DraftKings GPP field of 297,000 and a notable 4,900% ROI. Patients who started taking “Nimble GPP” reported experiencing positive effects almost immediately. Swollen bankrolls, increased feelings of worth, and success in the romance department was all reported within hours of cashing each Sunday. DDDD doesn’t have to sack your GPP lineups anymore. Ask your doctor if Nimble GPP is right for you.

NFL Week 1

Welcome to NFL Week 1! Excited to share all my “Nimble GPP” content with you all this year. Each week I will help you build the best GPP lineups by providing you the building blocks at each skill position by identifying “High Priced”, “Mid-Range”, and “Value.” The play represents the player that I predict for the most upside at their price range. Mix and match the players you are high on and build your optimal lineup. If you are interested in NIMBLE GPP Lineups or Bo GPP Lineups, click the links for weekly lineups.

High Priced Quarterback

GLENDALE, ARIZONA – AUGUST 20: Quarterback Kyler Murray #1 of the Arizona Cardinals throws a pass during the first half of the NFL preseason game against the Kansas City Chiefs at State Farm Stadium on August 20, 2021 in Glendale, Arizona. The Chiefs defeated the Cardinals 17-10. (Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images)

GPP – Kyler Murray, Arizona Cardinals – $7,600 

According to PFF, Kyler Murray has a 39% Passing advantage this week against the Tennesse Titans. Last season the Titans defense was ranked second to last overall, giving up over 21 fantasy points per game. Murray is a smart dynamic playmaker who added two weapons to his arsenal in A.J. Green and Rondale Moore. DeAndre Hopkins is still around as well. My favorite stack is Murray and Moore at only $10,600.

Mid-Range Quarterback

PHILADELPHIA, PA – JANUARY 03: Jalen Hurts #2 of the Philadelphia Eagles runs with the ball against the Washington Football Team at Lincoln Financial Field on January 3, 2021 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Mitchell Leff/Getty Images)

GPP – Jalen Hurts, Philadelphia Eagles – $6,400 

The Falcons ranked 31st against the quarterback position in 2020, giving up a meaty 23.3 points per game. Unless first-round pick Kyle Pitts plans on playing both ways, the Falcons will continue to struggle to stop opposing QBs. This is great news for semi-rookie Jalen Hurts, who is starting his first full season as Eagle’s starting quarterback. The Falcons conceded 40 touchdowns to quarterbacks last year. Look for Hurts to carve them up for two scores through the air and at least one rushing in this defense optional matchup.

Value Quarterback

GPP – Sam Darnold, Carolina Panthers – $5,000 

It might be too early to anoint him “Slinging Sammy Darnold” but don’t be surprised if you hear it whispered in his sleep by Jordan Vanek after this game against the 32nd ranked New York Jets secondary. If you are going to pay down at quarterback, Darnold presents the greatest upside for your money. RuntheSims.com placed his points per dollar value at 3.87 this week.

Christian McCaffery’s return should provide players with a built-in floor and presents some very interesting game stacking options, including stacking Darnold, CMC, and D.J. Moore or even Terrace Marshall.

High Priced Runningback

NEW ORLEANS, LOUISIANA – JANUARY 10: Alvin Kamara #41 of the New Orleans Saints celebrates after defeating the Chicago Bears with a score of 21 to 9 in the NFC Wild Card Playoff game at Mercedes Benz Superdome on January 10, 2021 in New Orleans, Louisiana. (Photo by Chris Graythen/Getty Images)

GPP – Alvin Kamara, New Orleans Saints – $8,600

Alvin Kamara averaged over 33 points per game in the eight games he’s played in without Michael Thomas on the field. Currently, he’s rostered on 20% of DraftKings Main Slate GPP rosters, which is the highest of all running backs. I’m comfortable with eating the chalk on this Kamara because his upside is slate-breaking.

Mid-Range Runningback 

BALTIMORE, MARYLAND – DECEMBER 20: Running back James Robinson #30 of the Jacksonville Jaguars successfully reaches for a touchdown against cornerback Marlon Humphrey #44 and linebacker Patrick Queen #48 of the Baltimore Ravens during the third quarter of their game at M&T Bank Stadium on December 20, 2020 in Baltimore, Maryland. (Photo by Will Newton/Getty Images)

GPP – James Robinson, Jacksonville Jaguars – $6,400

James Robinson Szn. Oh, you wanted some analysis? I see. How about this. The Texans are terrible and will win you money all season if you load up against them. Seriously, the Texans punted on defense when they signed their entire squad to one-year deals.  On the other hand, the unfortunate injury to Travis Etienne opens the door for James Robinson to once again be the dominant rushing and pass catcher in the Jacksonville Jaguars’ backfield.

Value Runningback

GPP – Javonte Willaims, Denver Broncos  – $4,000

Someone needs to tell DraftKings that Javonte Williams is the running back that should be priced up in the Broncos backfield this week instead of at $5,300. I’m mean, I’m not going to tell them. I am going to exploit it for my own monetary gain and trust that some other good soul will inform them of their error. See how this works?

High Priced Wide Receiver 

ATLANTA, GEORGIA – OCTOBER 25: Calvin Ridley #18 of the Atlanta Falcons celebrates his two point conversion reception against the Detroit Lions during the second half at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on October 25, 2020 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)

GPP – Calvin Ridley, Atlanta Falcons – $7,900

Calvin Ridley is a baller and he’s about to ball out this week against the Philadelphia Eagles. PFF and RuntheSims.com both rank Ridley as one of their top receiving option for Week 1, so it’s just not me. Ridley has been close to unstoppable in the 19 previous games he’s been fed eight or more targets. He’s scored 16 touchdowns. Let me repeat that. He has scored 16 touchdowns in 19 games with eight or more targets. The chances are very high that Ridely scores at least one touchdown, which means his chances of scoring two are better than almost everyone else’s.

Mid-Range Wide Receiver 

CHARLOTTE, NC – AUGUST 27: D.J. Moore #2 of the Carolina Panthers is pushed by Miles Killebrew #28 of the Pittsburgh Steelers during the first half of an NFL preseason game at Bank of America Stadium on August 27, 2021 in Charlotte, North Carolina. (Photo by Chris Keane/Getty Images)

GPP – D.J. Moore, Carolina Panthers – $6,100

D.J. Moore might be the best receiver play all week on DraftKings. PFF predicts that Moore with the fourth-best cornerback matchup for Week 1. Sam Darnold will be itching to prove the Jets wrong in this redemption/revenge contest. Moore amassed close to 1,200 yards on under 70 receptions in 2020. He’s an incredible route runner and posses a nightmare scenario for new Jets’ head coach Robert Selah. With only four touchdowns in all of 2020, Moore is set to break out this season, don’t be surprised if he scored twice in this one.

Value Wide Receiver 

GPP –  Elijah Moore, New York Jets  – $3,000

Jamison Crowder is out Week 1, still recovering from COVID-19, which means that New York Jets’ second-round pick Elijah Moore will get his first NFL start alongside his fellow rookie Zach Wilson. Moore could end up facing off against his former Ole Miss teammate Myles Hartsfield when he lines up in the slot. This matchup favors the speedy Moore and could be the key that unlocks the GPP slate. Currently, he is only be rostered on 14% of DraftKings Main Slate GPP lineups.

High Priced Tight End

GLENDALE, ARIZONA – AUGUST 20: Tight end Travis Kelce #87 of the Kansas City Chiefs on the sidelines during the first half of the NFL preseason game against the Arizona Cardinals at State Farm Stadium on August 20, 2021 in Glendale, Arizona. The Chiefs defeated the Cardinals 17-10. (Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images)

GPP – Travis Kelce, Kansas City Chiefs – $8,300

Travis Kelce’s matchup advantage over Cleveland Browns’ linebacker Owusu-Koramoah is 65% according to PFF. Kelce’s $8,300 price tag is still underpriced according to his upside and GPP is all about chasing that upside. The game script that I am predicting is death by a thousand passes to Kelce in the middle of the field and a stat line of 9 catches for 115 yards and a touchdown.


Mid-Range Tight End

ATLANTA, GEORGIA – AUGUST 29: Kyle Pitts #8 of the Atlanta Falcons listens to Matt Ryan #2 during pregame warmups prior to facing the Cleveland Browns at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on August 29, 2021 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)

GPP – Kyle Pitts, Atlanta Falcons – $4,400

Hard to ask for a better NFL debut matchup for Kyle Pitts than the Philadelphia Eagles. Last season the Eagles ranked 25th against the tight end position, giving up eight touchdowns (three in Tyler Higbee in Week 2) and over 14 points per game.

K’Von Wallace will be the primary safety assigned to stop Pitts on Sunday. Wallace stands 5’11” and Pitts a mear 6’6″, seven inches taller. The tallest defender Pitts might face is 6’2″ Linebacker, Alex Singleton. This is the definition of a mismatch and I want all of it. Pitts will never be this cheap again. Currently, he is being rostered in only 20% of the DraftKings GPP Main Slate entries. He’s a smash or my Flex.

Value Tight End

GPP – Donald Parham, Los Angeles Chargers – $3,100

According to PFF, the Chargers have a plus matchup this week at the tight end position against Jon Bostic. Parham scored three times in 2020. I expect him to score at least five touchdowns this season, possibly picking up his first this week against Washington.

Nimble GPP:Plays to Get You Paid

Welcome to NFL Week 13! Each week Nimble GPP will bring you the plays to get you paid for DraftKings GPP. Excited to share all my “Nimble GPP” content with you all this year. Each week I will help you build GPP lineups by providing you the building blocks at each skill position by identifying “High Priced”, “Mid-Range”, and “Value” plays. The play represents the player that I predict for the most upside at their price range. Mix and match the players you are high on and build your optimal lineup.

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High Priced – Quarterback

Tom Brady, Tampa Bay Buccaneers – $7,200

INDIANAPOLIS, IN – NOVEMBER 28: Rob Gronkowski #87 and Tom Brady #12 of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are seen before the game against the Indianapolis Colts at Lucas Oil Stadium on November 28, 2021 in Indianapolis, Indiana. (Photo by Michael Hickey/Getty Images)

Tom Brady leaned on Leonard Fournette last week, disappointing DraftKings players across the country. According to OccupyFantasy.com, Brady is only projected to be rostered in 5.6% of DraftKings lineups. I’m expecting that to spike around 10%, which is still a tremendous value for someone who threw five touchdowns against the Falcons in their previous meeting earlier this very season. I’m expecting Brady to bounce back in a big way this week, throwing for at least three scores in a blowout statement win over Matty Ice and the Falcons.

Mid-Range – Quarterback

Derek Carr, Las Vegas Raiders – $6,000

ARLINGTON, TEXAS – NOVEMBER 25: Derek Carr #4 of the Las Vegas Raiders scrambles with the football against the Dallas Cowboys at AT&T Stadium on November 25, 2021 in Arlington, Texas. (Photo by Richard Rodriguez/Getty Images)

Derek Carr ranks eighth in DraftKings points this season, averaging 24 points per game. The Washington Football Team is the absolute worst against quarterbacks, giving up 23.5 points per game. The Vegas Books currently have the over/under at 49.5, with a 25.75 implied team total for the Raiders. Look for the Raiders to air it out with Hunter Renfrow and the newly signed DeSean Jackson, who is out to revenge Washington…again. Foster Moreau will be filling in for an injured Darren Waller and makes a great cheap game stacking option if you want to load up on this matchup.

Value – Quarterback

Tyrod Taylor, Houston Texans – $5,300

Tyrod Taylor is averaging 16.9 DraftKings points per game in the five games he has started this season. The Colts lead the league in turnovers but also have been terrible against wide quarterbacks giving up over 3,000 yards passing and 26 touchdowns. Taylor has touchdown and rushing upside in this match and is worth pairing with a reasonably priced Brandin Cooks at $5,900. Brevin Jordan at $2,500 is worth a dart throw if you are punting tight end and want a player with touchdown upside.

High Priced – Running Back

Jonathan Taylor, Indianapolis Colts– $9,200

INDIANAPOLIS, IN – NOVEMBER 28: Jonathan Taylor #28 of the Indianapolis Colts is tackled by Lavonte David #54 and Sean Murphy-Bunting #23 of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers during the game at Lucas Oil Stadium on November 28, 2021 in Indianapolis, Indiana. (Photo by Michael Hickey/Getty Images)

The last time Jonathan Taylor played the Houston Texans in Week 6 all he did was rush for 145 yards and two touchdowns, good for 31.8 DraftKings points. This week Taylor is priced up to $9,200, but he’s still one of the best values on the slate given his upside. I will be stacking Taylor with the Colts DST if at all this week.

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Mid-Range – Running Back

Elijah Mitchell, San Francisco 49ers – $6,000

SANTA CLARA, CALIFORNIA – NOVEMBER 28: Elijah Mitchell #25 of the San Francisco 49ers celebrates after scoring a touchdown in the third quarter against the Minnesota Vikings at Levi’s Stadium on November 28, 2021 in Santa Clara, California. (Photo by Lachlan Cunningham/Getty Images)

I was wrong about Elijah Mitchell! I want the whole world to hear about it so I don’t have to hear about it anymore from my cohost of the @FFMillionaires Podcast, @TheRalphMacho on Twitter. Mitchell is the real deal in the Kyle Shanahan offense. Last week he saw over 30 opportunities and this week he faces the Seattle Seahawks who rank 31st against running backs, giving up close to 32 points per game. Mitchell has three touchdown upside this week and should be viable in all GPP tournaments.

Value – Running Back

Miles Sanders, Philadelphia Eagles – $5,200

Miles Sanders was averaging over 7 yards per touch last week before he was injured in the first half, failing to return in the second. This week Sanders is back and healthy enough to get in two full practices this week. Jordan Howard is OUT and Boston Scott has not practiced all week. The New York Jets rank 32nd against running backs, giving up 35 points per game on average. Miles Sanders let a lot of people down last week and as of Friday night is only projecting a 2.3% rostership. Sal Vetri says it’s all about the leverage, and Sanders might be the nuts at $5,200.

High Priced – Wide Receiver 

Keenan Allen, LA Chargers – $7,500

INGLEWOOD, CALIFORNIA – NOVEMBER 21: Keenan Allen #13 of the Los Angeles Chargers reacts after a reception against the Pittsburgh Steelers during the third quarter at SoFi Stadium on November 21, 2021 in Inglewood, California. (Photo by Sean M. Haffey/Getty Images)

Keenan Allen is averaging 11.6 targets per game, and 20.3 DraftKings points per game in the last 5 games. Coincidence? Possibly. Allen’s 31% target share over that span is tops in the NFL. The Chargers are road underdogs and should be trailing or fighting a back and forth score for score slugfest with Joe Burrow and rookie sensations Ja’Marr Chase. I’m projecting Allen for over 20 DraftKings points this week and will be stacking him with Herbert and Joe Mixon in mid-range GPP tournaments.

Mid-Range – Wide Receiver

Hunter Renfrow, Las Vegas Raiders – $5,800

LAS VEGAS, NEVADA – NOVEMBER 14: Wide receiver Hunter Renfrow #13 of the Las Vegas Raiders catches a 6-yard touchdown pass against cornerback Charvarius Ward #35 of the Kansas City Chiefs during their game at Allegiant Stadium on November 14, 2021 in Las Vegas, Nevada. The Chiefs defeated the Raiders 41-14. (Photo by Ethan Miller/Getty Images)

According to RunTheSims.com, Hunter Renfrow has a 22.9% optimal rate this week when he squares off with the Washington Football Team. PFF projects Renfrow for 49 snaps and a favorable rating in his cornerback matchups as well. With Darren Waller trending towards OUT, Renfrow becomes the WR1 on the team and should see 8-10 targets. The Washington Football team ranks 29th against wide receivers, giving up over 39 points per game. Renfrow will be live in all GPP formats this week.

Value – Wide Receiver 

Josh Reynolds, Detroit Lions– $3,400

Josh Reynolds at $3,400 is a steal this week. I was very excited to discover this and was hopeful that no one else had. Then I came across a Tweet by some punk kid named Denny Carter, who goes by the handle @cdcarter13 on Twitter and he said, “i’m psychically unable to stop throwing josh reynolds into lineups” Which I found to be disingenuous and now the cat is out of the bag apparently. I’m still willing to roll with him as a run-back option in a Minnesota/Detroit game stack or as a punt play.

High Priced – Tight End

Mark Andrews, Baltimore Ravens – $6,000

BALTIMORE, MARYLAND – NOVEMBER 28: Mark Andrews #89 of the Baltimore Ravens reacts to a play during a game against the Cleveland Browns at M&T Bank Stadium on November 28, 2021 in Baltimore, Maryland. (Photo by Patrick Smith/Getty Images)

Mark Andrews has been a target monster, averaging 9 per game the past 5 weeks. Lamar Jackson has been leaning heavily on his tight end, treating him more like a wide receiver. The Pittsburgh Steelers are falling apart, giving up 40 points per game to wide receivers the last two weeks. Look for the Ravens to exploit the mismatch and get Andrews downfield in open space. I’m comfortable stacking Lamar with Andrews in smaller GPP contests.

Mid-Range – Tight End

Rob Gronkowski, Tampa Bay Buccaneers – $5,300

INDIANAPOLIS, IN – NOVEMBER 28: Rob Gronkowski #87 of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers is seen following the game against the Indianapolis Colts at Lucas Oil Stadium on November 28, 2021 in Indianapolis, Indiana. (Photo by Michael Hickey/Getty Images)

Rob Gronkowski is averaging 18.76 DraftKings points per game this season in the five games he’s played. He’s severally underpriced but has some injury risk baked into his price this week. I, for one, am willing to take a big swing with Gronk and will be featuring him in stacks with Tom Brady and naked as well.

Value – Tight End

Foster Moreau, Las Vegas Raiders – $2,700

The best punt tight end play of the week, Foster Moreau at $2,700 makes tons of sense in place of an injured Darren Waller. In previous fill-in duty, Moreau caught all six of his targets for 60 yards and a score. The floor in this matchup should be 8 points, his true viability will be touchdown-dependent.

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Clash of the Beards and Bellies

All Square

For some reason, the last couple of weeks have gone terribly wrong in my head-to-head contests. Some of my worst lineups have been rolled out in my favorite format lately and it irks me. Simpson’s lineup was great last week, but it didn’t have to be. Aside from my studly running backs and Jamal Agnew, my team decided to take the week off. Oh well. We’re 4-4 now and I’m steaming mad. I figure it will take another eight weeks for Scott to drop another 174 point lineup on me, so I’ll focus on myself. I hate losing more than I like winning. I love Scott more than I hate losing, but I genuinely hope I destroy him this week to remind him who I am.

Bo’s Lineup

QB – Lamar Jackson – Baltimore Ravens – $7,300

BALTIMORE, MARYLAND – OCTOBER 24: Lamar Jackson #8 of the Baltimore Ravens celebrates a rushing touchdown by Devonta Freeman #33 (not pictured) during second quarter against the Cincinnati Bengals at M&T Bank Stadium on October 24, 2021 in Baltimore, Maryland. (Photo by Patrick Smith/Getty Images)

The best quarterback value on this slate is Lamar Jackson. He has the same massive upside as Allen and Mahomes at nearly a thousand-dollar discount. Even as a chalky GPP play, I’m finding it difficult to imagine a better player to roster in every format.

RB – Nick Chubb – Cleveland Browns – $6,700

KANSAS CITY, MISSOURI – SEPTEMBER 12: Quarterback Baker Mayfield #6 of the Cleveland Browns hands off to running back Nick Chubb #24 during the game against the Kansas City Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium on September 12, 2021 in Kansas City, Missouri. (Photo by Jamie Squire/Getty Images)

I was very happy to see Chubb get 17 touches in his first game back from injury. That outpaced D’Ernest Johnson’s five touches. Cincinnati’s run defense is suspect at best, so I think this salary under $6k is a treat that I didn’t have to beg for.

RB – Chase Edmonds – Arizona Cardinals – $5,300

Edmonds is nearly averaging a 3x value at this salary. It’s confusing, but I like to take advantage of ludicrous pricing any chance I get. Edmonds gets much more valuable work than James Conner. With Murray hobbled, he will look to his outlet receiving back even more.

WR – Justin Jefferson – Minnesota Vikings – $7,500

MINNEAPOLIS, MINNESOTA – SEPTEMBER 26: Justin Jefferson #18 of the Minnesota Vikings celebrates a catch for a first down as Jordyn Brooks #56 of the Seattle Seahawks looks on during the second quarter in the game at U.S. Bank Stadium on September 26, 2021 in Minneapolis, Minnesota. (Photo by David Berding/Getty Images)

This game will be thrilling to watch. I am counting on plenty of passing yards and touchdowns from both sides in Baltimore, leading to an over-60 total. Jefferson has a huge matchup advantage against everyone in the Baltimore secondary. From floor to ceiling, JJ is a great stud to plug in to crush Scott.

WR – Marquise Brown – Baltimore Ravens – $6,000

BALTIMORE, MD – OCTOBER 17: Baltimore Ravens wide receiver Marquise Brown (5) in action against Los Angeles Chargers defensive back Trey Marshall (36) during the Los Angeles Charger game versus the Baltimore Ravens on October 17, 2021 at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, MD. (Photo by Mark Goldman/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)

Marquise is bringing back the Hollywood excitement this season, averaging 19 DK points per game. The Vikings’ secondary is terrible, especially if their pass rush can’t get home. Pairing Brown with Jackson will be a fun stack to root for on Sunday.

WR – Hunter Renfrow – Las Vegas Raiders – $4,800

The Raiders are a little lighter in the receiving room after this week’s tragic news, but that’s mostly not a football story anymore. What Vegas has on the field is an offense that plays very well against bad defenses. The Giants are horrendous. Renfrow will be a death from a thousand cuts in PPR going forward. This is a fantastic value.

TE – Mike Gesicki – Miami Dolphins – $4,900

MIAMI GARDENS, FL – OCTOBER 24: Miami Dolphins tight end Mike Gesicki (88) celebrates a touchdown during the game between the Atlanta Falcons and the Miami Dolphins on October 24, 2021 at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Fl. (Photo by David Rosenblum/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)

Gesicki, much like Kyle Pitts, is a wide receiver with tight end eligibility. He is also a thousand bucks cheaper to roster than Pitts this week, despite their points per game being equal. Gesicki also has one of the most favorable matchups possible against Houston. Giddyup!

FLEX – Jerry Jeudy – Denver Broncos – $5,000

Jeudy reported some soreness in his ankle toward the end of last week’s game but is feeling stronger this week. Most of his snaps came from the slot, where Dallas has really struggled in coverage this season. I don’t expect Jeudy to be this affordable after Sunday’s game.

DST – Kansas City Chiefs – $2,300

Yes, this defense is quite terrible. It is also gaining a Melvin Ingram this week against a quarterback who hasn’t started a football game since he was at Utah State in the Mountain West Conference. I don’t need much from them. Maybe I’ll pray for a special teams touchdown…

Seeing Ghosts

Last week my team in the Halloween edition of the Clash of Beards and Bellies scored over 170 points and had Bo seeing ghosts. My resounding victory surely haunted him all week long like an orange Jolly stuck in between your teeth making his mouth taste like throwup. This week I’m back with a killer lineup with the absolute best Cash plays of the week! I’m going to finally pull ahead of Bo and let him know that there is a new sheriff in town who won’t be eating white dog shit anymore.

Scott’s Lineup

QB – Lamar Jackson – Baltimore Ravens – $7,300

Lamar Jackson has scored 20 or more points six out of seven times this year. Lamar’s rushing upside, combined with the Minnesota Vikings’ poor pass coverage, makes him a tremendous play with a huge upside this week. The Ravens’ 27.5 implied team total is the fourth-highest this week, meaning that Vegas is predicting lots of offense. 

RB – Austin Ekeler – LA Chargers – $7,900

INGLEWOOD, CALIFORNIA – OCTOBER 31: Austin Ekeler #30 of the Los Angeles Chargers takes the field before the game against the New England Patriots at SoFi Stadium on October 31, 2021 in Inglewood, California. (Photo by Meg Oliphant/Getty Images)

Austin Ekeler is averaging 22.5 DraftKings points per game this season. He’s your quintessential PPR back, ranking in the top 5 for targets, receptions, receiving yards, and touchdown. The Philadelphia Eagles rank 31st against running backs, giving up nine total touchdowns and over 1,300 total yards. Ekeler has been Mr. Consistent, scoring over 22 points five of seven weeks. He’s primed for a huge game this week against the Eagles. Bo is going to hate seeing his name flash across his timeline all afternoon.  

RB – Alvin Kamara – New Orleans Saints – $8,200

NEW ORLEANS, LOUISIANA – OCTOBER 31: Alvin Kamara #41 of the New Orleans Saints stands on the field during a NFL game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Caesars Superdome on October 31, 2021 in New Orleans, Louisiana. (Photo by Sean Gardner/Getty Images)

Alvin Kamara is in a smash spot against the Atlanta Falcons, who have given up eight touchdowns and close to 1,000 total yards to running backs. Kamara is the only offense the Saints have. Their defense is their second-leading scorer on the year, 70 plus points behind Kamara. He’s averaging 20.5 DraftKings points per game, over 24 the last four weeks. I will be stacking Kamara with the aforementioned Saints defense in every GPP contest I play him in. 

WR – Marquise “Hollywood” Brown – Baltimore Ravens – $6,900

This week the DraftKings Gods have decided to create mega chalk and price down one of the most explosive and guaranteed to be highly rostered Marquise” Hollywood” Brown at only $6,000. It might be the worst price on the whole slate. If you stack Brown with Lamar Jackson, make sure that you differentiate yourself with either a double stack, Rashod Bateman at $4,000, or Mark Andrews at $5,500. The double-stack will give you the leverage you’ll need to avoid total Ravens chalk.

WR – Ja’Marr Chase  – Cincinnati Bengals – $7,600

BALTIMORE, MARYLAND – OCTOBER 24: Wide receiver Ja’Marr Chase #1 of the Cincinnati Bengals celebrates after scoring a second half touchdown against the Baltimore Ravens at M&T Bank Stadium on October 24, 2021 in Baltimore, Maryland. (Photo by Rob Carr/Getty Images)

Ja’Marr Chase has scored the third-most DraftKings points at the wide receiver position. He’s the runaway rookie of the year and might be the best rookie to come out of college in the last 5 years. This week Chase faces a Cleveland defense that has surrendered 1365 receiving yards and nine touchdowns to wide receivers. Joe Burrow has thrown for 20 touchdowns, seven to Chase. I’m predicting at least one touchdown this week, maybe two. 

WR –  Jarvis Landry – Cleveland Browns – $5,100

Jarvis Landry’s RunTheSims.com 22.7% optimal rate is the highest on the slate. His 17 point projection makes him a perfect Cash play with high upside. The Bengals give up over 38 fantasy points per game to wide receivers, making Landry is a great Cash play but is also worth a flier in GPP tournaments as well. 

TE – Tyler Conklin – Minnesota Vikings – $3,000

The Baltimore Ravens are the worst against tight ends, giving up close to 20 points per game. Tyler Conklin is priced down at $3,000 and has past performances this season, scoring 20 points in Week 3 and over 10 the last two weeks on 12 targets. I love Conklin as a punt TE option this week and will have him everywhere. 

Flex – Albert Okwuegbunam – Denver Broncos – $2,600

Denver is projected to be trailing in their Week 9 matchup against Dak Prescott and the high-scoring Dallas Cowboys’ offense. With Noah Fant on the NFL’s COVID-19 list, Albert “O”, as the kids are calling him, becomes a tremendous Cahs value at only $2,600. All I need is 10 points to hit the 4x.  

DST – Kansas City Chiefs  – $2,300

The Kansas Chiefs are a smart punt option at defense after Aaron Rodger tested positive for COVID-19. The second-year quarterback, Jordan Love will be pressed into action this week, meaning that turnovers are more likely, with a pick-six definitely in the range of outcomes.