Nimble w/Numbers

#TagsStrong

I planned on leading off with a joke about how Scott’s chances to beat me twice in a row were as small as the hands of the sitting president the last time he prevailed. Even such a stunningly hilarious joke is not the same today. The fantasy football community lost a friend and the industry lost a titan in Mike Tagliere. I emulated him as much as I could as a content creator, husband, and father. He was great at all of it. He was beloved by all of us who share the same obsession with this incredible game.

If you create fantasy football content today, you can thank Tags. I doubt I would be even a sliver of the host I am on Chalk Blocked without emulating his wit, professionalism, and knowledge. He belongs on our Mount Rushmore. “Heroes get remembered. Legends never die.” Live on in paradise and rest easy, Tags. We will cherish your family and give them whatever they need on this earth. We owe that to you after what you gave us while you were here.

Bo’s Lineup

QB – Justin Fields – Chicago Bears – $5,200

It is a little risky to play a rookie quarterback in his debut, but this is no ordinary rookie. I predicted Fields to be Offensive Rookie of the Year and that campaign starts this Sunday. If the scoring in this game pops off, we could see that 300-yard passing and 100-yard rushing talent that the young Buckeye possesses. He’s also never going to be a better value again.

RB – Austin Ekeler – LA Chargers – $7,200

Full disclosure: I know that we’re matching both running backs this week. We shared lineups earlier today and we hold a lot of the same opinions. Ekeler is primed to be a major contributor in a shootout game with the Chiefs. He scored 22.5 points last week without a touchdown, for goodness sake!

RB – DeAndre Swift – Detroit Lions – $5,800

Nimble and I are both super high on Swift this week against the Ravens. His salary is much too low to not play him with his PPR volume. He also has the upside you want in multipliers and tournaments.

WR – Stefon Diggs – Buffalo Bills – $7,600

Is it just me or is nobody talking about Diggs this season? I guess since he only scored a pedestrian 16 points in each of the first two games, we’ve filed him away for a rainy day. With how poorly the Washington cornerbacks have played, Josh Allen will likely be peppering the elite Terrapin with targets on Sunday. I’m ready for his reminder game.

WR – Cooper Kupp – LA Rams – $6,800

Is it just me or is everyone talking about Kupp this season? The WR1 in fantasy football so far has apparently fused his brain with Matthew Stafford’s and they are now an unstoppable force. The Bucs defense is exploitable through the air, especially from the slot. Kupp is going to surf an avalanche of targets in this game.

WR – Chris Godwin – Tampa Bay Buccaneers – $6,100

I have Godwin rostered everywhere this week in DFS. I feel so strongly about this play that I think I’ll name my favorite Sea Monkey “Chris.” Don’t let Chris down this week, okay Chris?

TE – Kyle Pitts – Atlanta Falcons – $4,900

I’m such a homer. I painted myself into the Pitts corner, climbed up the tallest ladder, and shouted through a megaphone that he was going to produce elite numbers from the jump. I guess a watched pot never boils, so I’ll just plug him into every lineup until the moment arrives. Then, we can party.

FLEX – Darnell Mooney – Chicago Bears – $4,300

Starting Sunday, the world will fall in love with this stack. I just picture the Browns pass rush flushing Fields from the pocket, where he buys an extra second for the speedy kid from Tulane to get absolutely wide open down the field. Touchdown Bears! Andy Dalton’s cheeks redden to the point where his face, hair, and Chicago “C” are monochromatic.

DST – Cincinnati Bengals – $2,100

I don’t know. They haven’t been that bad. The defensive line has an advantage over the Steelers’ offensive line. Pressure on Big Ben, no Diontae to force-feed. JuJu runs the same five-yard hitch every play and Claypool is not yet an alpha. This could be great, or it could be a nothing burger.

Celebrating Mike Tagliere

Fantasy Football has taken a hit today. Mike Tagliere, long-time Fantasy Pros fantasy football writer, podcaster, grinder passed away today after a battle with COVID-19. The fantasy community loved Mike. He was smart and thoughtful and he loved football. He worked like a man possessed each week breaking down all the matchups, creating a dossier outlining all the games. It was just tremendous, just like he was.

I’m new to the world of fantasy football content producing, but I’ve been a fan of Mike’s for years and even credited him as one of my inspirations in my very first blog post ever two years ago. I am grateful that I got to enjoy Tags doing what he enjoyed and won’t soon forget the sound of his voice breaking down a slate. This week is for you Tags. We love you and will miss you brother.

QB – Lamar Jackson – Baltimore Ravens – $7,800

Lamar Jackson has the highest projected Week 3 ceiling out of any quarterback according to RuntheSims.com. The Ravens quarterback is averaging over 28 DraftKings points per game, rushing for close to 200 yards and passing for over 440 in the first two weeks. Lamar’s defense is down most of its starting defensive front, which means this game has the potential to be a high-scoring shootout. Lamar has a solid floor and TONS of ceiling. Bo is gonna be cursing him all day long. 

RB – Austin Ekeler – LA Chargers– $7,200  

Austin Ekeler has a juicy matchup in Week 3. He’s facing the 29th ranked Kansas City Chiefs defense that gives up 31.6 points to running backs per game. Vegas has this game slated for a 54.5 point shootout. After being targeted zero times in Week 1, Ekeler rebounded with nine receptions for 61 yards in Week 2. I expect Ekeler to continue to see both rushing and pass-catching volume against the Chiefs. Ekeler has yet to see the end zone this season, but that will change this week, as he’s a prime candidate to score at least once.

RB – D’Andre Swift, Detroit Lions – $5,800

D’Andre Swift is averaging over 18 DraftKings points per game this season after scoring over 20 DraftKings points only three times last year. This week he has a chance to make it two out of his last three with a strong performance against a weakened Ravens squad. His PPR upside provides a strong floor with a high ceiling. The Ravens are down a defensive line, which should aid Swift around the goal line. The smart money is on Swift this week. 

WR – Mecole Hardman – Kansas City Chiefs – $3,900

The Vegas OVER/UNDER is 54.5 points. Mecole hasn’t had a breakout performance, but he’s been targeted 11 times, second behind only Tyreek Hill for wide receivers. I expect the LA Chargers to spend their time bracketing Hill, leaving Mecole in single coverage. His value is hard to ignore this week priced below $4,000. He’s a sneaky Cash play that I hope hits big. 

WR – Tyler Lockett  – Seattle Seahawks – $7,400

Tyler Lockett has been DraftKings gold the first two weeks of the season!! This week, he’s only priced up $200, which makes him a tremendous upside play. What’s even better is that he’s currently only being rostered on 9.6% of GPP builds according to OccupyFantasy.com. Lockett and Metcalf are facing a Minnesota Vikings defense that has given up 107 fantasy points to wide receivers through the first two weeks.

WR – Cooper Kupp – LA Rams – $6,800

Cooper Kupp is the number one scoring wide receiver on DraftKings, just like we all predicted. This week he is only priced up $800 and it’s completely crazy that he’s priced under $7,500. This week he faces a Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ secondary that has given up 110 fantasy points to wide receivers through two weeks. Kupp is a lock for 20 points this week, which makes him my number one Cash play. 

TE – T.J. Hockenson, Detroit Lions – $5,200

T.J. Hockenson is a monster! He’s second in targets to only Darren Waller and is averaging over 23 DraftKings points per game. This week he faces a depleted Ravens defense that will be missing most of its starting front and a few linebackers. Huge advantage for Hockenson and Jared Goff. I expect Hockenson to score 20 plus points this week and come close to hitting the 4x.

WR – K.J. Osborn – Minnesota Vikings – $3,500

K.J. Osborn has been a revelation through the first two games of the NFL season. He is currently the WR2 on the Minnesota Vikings, outproducing second-year star Justin Jefferson in the process. I don’t expect this trend to continue all season, but Osborn is a great value given the Vikings need to pass the football and the other dynamic weapons creating mismatches. He’s a great low-price play in Cash this week. 

DST – Cincinnati Bengals  – $2,100

Paying down for defense is my Cash and GPP strategy all season. Big Ben has not looked himself this season and without his best weapon in Diontae Johnson missing this week due to a knee injury, I’m rolling the dice this week that the Bengals can get home and sack Big Ben a few times, possibly turning him over.  

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Down a Peg

Human beings often blur the line between pride and ego. I would love for someone to proclaim that I am the greatest football writer in existence, but it’s off-putting for those words to come from me. Someone on social media would likely have a clever way of exclaiming the opposite. Humble pie is lukewarm and honest, restraining one’s self of the indulgence of a buttery crust and sugary lattice.

I am incredibly proud of the person I have fought a daily internal battle to become. When others enjoy my work, it sends me into a mindless elation that can’t be retrieved from the stratosphere.

Perfection is unattainable. Greatness is bestowed by others. Applaud yourself privately. There is always someone else working harder and doing the same thing better. Now I’m just listing things my dad would repeat on our trips out of town into the hills every other weekend. His favorite was, “practice, practice, practice.” “Practice” meant golf, baseball, riflery, archery, singing, and cooking.

He wasn’t present for a lot of it after the divorce, but every other weekend was practice on the ranch. He was pushing me to get better at my interests. When the distance and resentment between us grew, I pushed myself with his voice echoing in my subconscious. This epiphany just now poured out into a paragraph. He was there. Here’s one more from Joe the milkman. “You’re going to lose…a lot…at everything. Learn from it.”

My dad didn’t prepare me for losing to my nimble friend, Scott last week. My first head-to-head loss since the Trump administration still has me reeling. What if I’m not the cash game master anymore? Instead of freefalling into a depression, I took a step back and extracted a lesson from the dismay. My other cash games were victorious, so I’m sure the fear I’ve been instilling within Scott is still alive and well (but weakened like Voldemort). We still have a bankroll to build. Let’s hop to it, starting a peg down.

Week 3 DFS Cash Plays

I have a slightly different view from the consensus on how to build winning cash lineups. Instead of focusing on players with a “high floor,” I instead focus on their expected workload. These players often have that safe floor as a result of the VOLUME of opportunities, but they also have a higher likelihood of returning the 3x+ value that most cash games require to end the day above the pay line. A smart cash player has to always consider ceiling as a part of the equation, just maybe weighted lighter than if building for a GPP. I ask myself the same question every time: Does this player’s expected volume of opportunities (EVO) have high odds of accomplishing 3 points per salary dollar, divided by 1,000 (x=3[y/1000]).

KEY INGREDIENT*** — SECRET INGREDIENT*

Quarterbacks

KYLER MURRAY: @ JACKSONVILLE ($8,300)

There just simply isn’t a reason to fade this offense, especially Murray. He is off to a similarly torrid start as he was in 2020. Don’t let the salary daunt you, this is still a bargain for a guy cracking 30 DK points every week with ease.

JOSH ALLEN: VS WASHINGTON ($7,000)***

Allen is also a wonderful tournament play this week as an undervalued quarterback with limitless upside. Washington hasn’t been a world-beating defense thus far.

JUSTIN HERBERT: @ KANSAS CITY ($6,500)

Don’t let the box score tell you that Herbert was bad against Dallas. He was razor sharp again, only to have two touchdown passes taken off the board from penalties. I would be absolutely shocked if this game doesn’t shoot out and neither team has a reliable running game. Herbert is an easy cash play.

MATTHEW STAFFORD: VS TAMPA BAY ($6,400)

Yes, the Bucs have a good defense…up front. They are nearly impossible to run on, but have been gouged through the air. The slot position has exploited a weak Tampa secondary so far. This is notable because Sean McVay’s offense operates with all of their wide receivers lining up inside the numbers most of the time. Darrell Henderson is banged up, so we might see the Rams take the same approach as the Cowboys and just air it out 50 times.

DANIEL JONES: VS ATLANTA ($5,800)

Who else knew that Danny Dimes knew the Konami Code? After 95 rushing yards against Washington, DFS players simply can’t ignore the embattled signal caller against an atrocious Falcons defense.

JUSTIN FIELDS: @ CLEVELAND ($5,200)

Matt Nagy probably still wants to roll Andy Dalton out there like the Black Knight from Monty Python, but it’s finally Justin Fields SZN. The bargain salary will likely make Fields too chalky for GPP. In cash, he’s an incredible value with extreme rushing upside. Look out for his passing ability to also shine in his debut. This will commence a massive fantasy season for the rookie Buckeye.

Running Backs

DERRICK HENRY: VS INDIANAPOLIS ($8,600)

There aren’t many players in the NFL that get you fired up about football more than Derrick Henry. Normally, I’d give him a fade after more than 40 touches and facing a tough Indy front. What makes this week different is my correct prediction that King Henry is now officially a part of the Titans passing game. Spend up and cash out.

AUSTIN EKELER: @ KANSAS CITY ($7,200)

Shootouts favor running backs with receiving upside. Ekeler is one of the best and still stays relatively affordable on DK, where he is a PPR cheat code. I’m expecting close to 20 touches here and if he can find the end zone again, we’re cooking with peanut oil.

JONATHAN TAYLOR: @ TENNESSEE ($6,700)***

This salary is a travesty. The Titans defense is horrible at all three levels and JT is averaging nearly 20 touches per game so far. There is no reason at all to ignore such a transcendent player in a smash spot at a crazy value.

SAQUON BARKLEY: VS ATLANTA ($6,500)

If you’ve ever taken an IQ test, there are tons of questions that judge one’s ability to detect and follow patterns. Barkley’s pattern is ascending. I hold the minority opinion that Saquon looked incredibly sharp last week. He now will have 10 days rest to ramp up to a Falcons team that lacks any defensive talent to speak of.

DEANDRE SWIFT: VS BALTIMORE ($5,800)

Pass-catching running backs. Roster them in cash. Receptions are ultra-valuable in PPR, especially when the objective is to outscore half of your opponents. Swift might be called upon even more in garbage time with Detroit’s garbage defense against Lamar Jackson et al. Swift is also due for a gargantuan slate-breaking game. Let’s see if it occurs on Sunday.

JAVONTE WILLIAMS: VS NY JETS ($4,900)

Stubbornness is a trait that I withhold for players I truly believe in. Williams is another player trending toward a breakout game. Last week, we saw another 50/50 split between him and Melvin Gordon. The young Tar Heel looked amazing again in contrast with the washed up Gordon. Follow the pattern and increasing volume. The suspense is killing me, but I’ll keep plugging Javonte into this article.

CLYDE EDWARDS-HELAIRE: VS LA CHARGERS ($4,800)

Everyone hates CEH now. He certainly didn’t look spectacular against Baltimore, but it is worrisome that Andy Reid doesn’t trust him to be a lead back. His costly fumble really stuck in my craw, but I won’t fade a back with good hands in a shootout game, especially when his salary will quickly ascend from here.

NYHEIM HINES: @ TENNESSEE ($4,600)

I already mentioned how abysmal the Titans defense is. JT is certainly the bellcow, but Hines has carved a nice role in the playbook and his volume and upside are game flow-dependent. This is another opportunity, with an ailing Carson Wentz, for Indy to rely on YAC to get the job done.

Wide Receivers

STEFON DIGGS: VS WASHINGTON ($7,600)***

If you’re going to deploy Josh Allen, you certainly must pair him with Diggs. Allen’s funnel to Diggs is like a vacuum; a black hole of targets. Washington has been lit up through the air by lesser opponents already. The league will be on notice about the Bills again after this game.

COOPER KUPP: VS TAMPA BAY ($6,800)

Lock him in again. The connection between Kupp and Matthew Stafford is truly special already. The WR1 in fantasy is still under $7k, making for Benadryl-level chalk in GPP, but proceed with reckless abandon in cash. Kupp is just getting started.

KEENAN ALLEN: @ KANSAS CITY ($6,600)

Both Chargers stud receivers are priced well below the volume they garner every week. The matchup is tough against good Chiefs corners. That should not scare you off of Allen’s prowess from the slot, where Herbert seems to have a nice groove going already. Keenan is sure to see plenty of looks this week.

MIKE WILLIAMS: @ KANSAS CITY ($6,400)

My preseason skepticism at Williams’ ability to take over as the Chargers’ X receiver has fully transformed into an infatuation with the marriage between his new volume and old upside. It’s the power couple of the year and at $6,400, I’m gobbling it up like free pizza.

ALLEN ROBINSON: @ CLEVELAND ($6,200)

The problem with ARob in 2021 was Andy Dalton. No bones about it. Darnell Mooney was the one scooping up more targets. Dalton is a great human being, but nowhere near the football player that Justin Fields is. I look for a breakout from Robinson this week as the rookie’s go-to guy. There will be folks who also forgot how amazing ARob is, making him a nice GPP play too.

CHRIS GODWIN: @ LA RAMS ($6,100)

“God ChrisWIN” is another guy I’ll be rostering in all DFS formats. The Rams will likely have Jalen Ramsey on Mike Evans and we’re still awaiting whether Antonio Brown will be activated from the COVID-19 list ahead of the game. In any case, Godwin operates from the slot and is poised to explode against this defense. I’m baffled that his salary is so low.

STERLING SHEPARD: VS ATLANTA ($5,900)

I’m tempering my Shepard stance today, after my initial excitement to plug him into cash lineups versus Atlanta. Evan Engram is slated to return, which gives Daniel Jones another short-range weapon. This potential dip in targets is a little worrisome, but Engram is such a bad player that we might see him fade away and make way for the Shep Show. He’s clearly the best receiver on this team.

MARVIN JONES JR*: @ ARIZONA ($4,900)

My secret ingredient this week isn’t much of a secret to others as much as he is a guy I hardly ever feel like putting into play. This is the spot. Sub-$5k against a pair of cornerbacks that are well below average is a really shiny beacon. Defense will be optional in this game and neither squad figures to establish the run in fear of falling behind. Jones will fold in nicely as a WR3 or Flex in a lot of cash builds.

TYLER BOYD: @ PITTSBURGH ($4,700)

I just talked about how vanilla Boyd is as a cash play last week. He, Tee Higgins, and Jamarr Chase were all viable in cash last week. Now, with Higgins trending toward not playing, I’ll lean into Boyd as a high-volume target hog that faces a secondary playing much worse than expected so far.

KJ OSBORN: VS SEATTLE ($3,500)

Osborn has been a pleasant surprise this season. I have dubbed him this year’s Travis Fulgham. He has garnered 14 targets and plenty of production so far in Irv Smith’s absence as the third receiving option behind Justin Jefferson and Adam Thielen. The Seahawks secondary has been pretty good so far, so I’ll fade the studs and go after the young slot guy until he turns into a pumpkin.

TIGHT ENDS

TRAVIS KELCE: VS LA CHARGERS ($8,200)

No-brainer. Moving on. Actually, this is a very tough matchup against Derwin James and the Chargers. You just don’t fade the best in the game…ever. He will never not be a value at the position.

DARREN WALLER: VS MIAMI ($7,600)

You just don’t fade the best in the game…ever. Miami has been tough on defense, but will be without Tua Tagovailoa for this one. Vegas and Derek Carr are scorching hot. Waller will continue to be the focal point of the playbook and always brings upside with his immense volume.

TJ HOCKENSON: VS BALTIMORE ($5,200)***

Volume is king in cash games. So far, Hock has been targeted 20 times in two games. The salary is nice and disrespectful, especially considering Baltimore has allowed the most passing yards in the NFL. Hock is a lock, real talk.

KYLE PITTS: @ NY GIANTS ($4,900)

Another absolute lock is the young Gator, Pitts. The pattern is in his favor, with his usage on the rise. The Giants defense has been very disappointing to date. James Bradberry will likely shadow Calvin Ridley, so Matt Ryan will hopefully see the 6’6″ unicorn streaking down the field wide open all game.

NOAH FANT: VS NY JETS ($4,800)

Athletes in space are so much fun. Not outer space, but it does appear that Fant may be from another planet. The Jets’ roster contains exactly zero defensive backs who are good in coverage, so all of the Broncos receivers should eat. I’ll lock in on the one who is priced reasonably.

EVAN ENGRAM: VS ATLANTA ($3,600)

As much as I think Engram is a trash player with stone hands (I call him Old Stone Hands), he is a tight end in a Jason Garrett offense. At a bargain salary, I’ll be fair and assume he won’t drop all of his targets. I’d be happy to get 10 DK points out of him if I can only fit a sub-$4k salary in at tight end.

Winded From Victory Laps

“Don’t get too cute; it’s unbecoming of you” is what I would have offered to poor Nimble as advice last week before lock…if I wasn’t in bloodthirsty competition mode. In retrospect, he can set his lineups whichever way he chooses. He’s a grown man. I don’t share the same chilling regret he feels after yet another paddling from his so-called friend, so I can’t relate to the reasoning behind him shaving off his manhood in a Britney-esque cry for help.

In my camp, we’re on to Cincinnati. I won’t rest on my laurels, I’ll put them in a nice tomato bisque (laurels are Bay Leaves). Week 2 offers a unique mixture of games with sneaky upside. Scott was fortunate he didn’t get my other head-to-head lineup (that would have been really embarrassing). I ravaged him with rookies in Week 1, so naturally, I have zero rookies in the lineup come Sunday. Boy, I hope when I drop 200 on him this week it doesn’t affect our friendship.

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Bo’s Lineup

QB – Russell Wilson – Seattle Seahawks – $7,500

Mr. Unlimited is as cringe-worthy as it gets, but his first performance with Shane Waldron calling the plays was far from limited. I get it now. Russ has the ability to drop bombs on anyone. Why wouldn’t he do it to such a horrible Titans defense?

RB – Nick Chubb – Cleveland Browns – $7,800

Chubb is arguably the league’s most complete running back. He put on a show in Week 1 against the reigning AFC champion Chiefs. Wouldn’t it be fun to see him go for 200 yards against Houston? I think it would be.

RB – David Montgomery – Chicago Bears –$6,100

Monty is only $6,100 this week. The utter disrespect is palpable here, and I’ll be taking it all the way to the bank (or under the mattress). I think DK missed the part where the Bears are facing the Bengals this week.

WR – Keenan Allen – LA Chargers – $7,000

One of the league’s best route runners will have more time to get open than my wife spends deciding what to order for dinner. No Tank Lawrence or Randy Gregory and a youthful secondary means Dallas will have no defensive answers for this Chargers offense. Keenan will smash.

WR – KJ Hamler – Denver Broncos – $3,800

Everyone and their Aunt May is picking up Tim Patrick this week, but I’ll be the one hoping Teddy B unleashes some bombs to the Nittany Lion, Hamler, and his 4.39 speed.

WR – Hunter Renfrow – LV Raiders – $3,600

What surprised me on Monday night was how often Derek Carr looked for Renfrow as a hot read when he was under duress. This is a rare floor play for me, but the price is low enough for a nice complementary contribution from the Clemson grad.

TE – Noah Fant – Denver Broncos – $4,200

Hey everyone, the Broncos play the Jaguars this week! That means you should fully attack them with everyone possible. I’m still wiping away my tears from the Jeudy injury, but I’ll cope with ice cream and Fant putting a nail in Urban Meyer’s coffin.

Flex – DK Metcalf – Seattle Seahawks – $7,600

You thought I was going this light at wide receiver, when, in reality, I like to drop a nuke in the flex spot to rattle Scott’s cage. Last week, it was Dalvin Cook. This week, I’m completing the Seahawks stack in hopes that he goes ape shit crazy on this Titans defense.

DST – Philadelphia Eagles – $2,400

It’s just a hunch, but I don’t think the 49ers’ offense will look as lethal as they did in Detroit last Sunday. This Eagles front gets after it, and Jimmy Garoppolo has zero poise if his first read is covered. I’m spending down a bit, hoping for sacks and maybe a couple turnovers.

Insufferabo

NFL Week 1 was a DFS disappointment. I lost to Bo by 6.1 points in a low-scoring inaugural “Clash of the Beards and Bellies” that saw neither of us score more than 122 points. Bo is already turning “insufferabo” (shout out Scott Rinear, AKA @MunderDifflinFF on Twitter) acting like this is the first time he’s ever won before. He’s been caught recording celebration videos on multiple platforms including the Sports Me App, making his underlings at work call him “Kylo Bo”, and wearing a homemade “I’m a Winner” cape around the neighborhood. If I start the season 0-2, I’m sure he’ll do something insane like carve “Legend” in his chest. No one wants to see that. So I decided that I will beat Bo this week, just to spare us all the pain of watching his awkward celebrations. Here’s the lineup that’s gonna take him out back to the woodshed and beat the pants off of him in Week 2.

QB – Justin Herbert – LA Chargers – $6,700

Justin Herbert looked like a chiseled veteran last week, rolling into Washington and dominating the Football team. This week he faces a much less vaunted Dallas Cowboys defense that just lost Demarcus Lawrence for a few months. Herbert’s favorite target in Week 1 was Keenan Allen, who caught nine of 13 passes for 100 yards. Dallas gave up 56.3 fantasy points last week to wide receivers. Allen is gonna feast! He’s a lock for Cash and has GPP upside as well.

RB – Nick Chubb – Cleveland Browns – $7,800

Nick Chubb might be the best Cash RB play on the whole DraftKings Main Slate this week. PFF gives the Browns a 138% run blocking advantage over the Houston Texans’ porous rush defense. I can still remember David Montgomery, Derrick Henry, and Jonathan Taylor rushing all over the Texans to end the 2020 season.

I expect Chubb to rush for over 150 yards and at least one score, with the potential for another. Currently, RuntheSims.com ranks Chubb as a top-five running back with a ceiling above 30 fantasy points. If you are looking for a high-priced running with huge upside and a strong floor, Chubb is your man.

RB – Chase Edmonds, Arizona Cardinals – $4,900

The Arizona Cardinals offense looked explosive in Week 1 against the Tennessee Titans. Chase Edmonds racked up over 100 rushing and receiving yards on 16 total touches for 14.6 fantasy points. This week he faces the Minnesota Vikings who are primed to be bludgeoned by Kyle Murray and the Arizona Cardinals. Edmonds has PPR upside and a solid floor at $4,900.

WR – Keenan Allen – LA Chargers– $7,000

Keenan Allen is a stud! He was caught nine passes for 100 yards and was the second-best player to Justin Herbert, on Sunday. This week he faces the Dallas Cowboys defense who gave up over 50 points to wide receivers last week. He’s primed to break the slate in GPP and deliver for Cash Games as well.

WR – Chris Godwin – Tampa Bay Buccaneers – $6,600

According to PFF, Chris Godwin has a top 5 cornerback matchup with week and RuntheSims.com projects Godwin with the highest ceiling for Buc’s wide receivers. Brady targeted Godwin 14 times last Thursday night against the Cowboys. Godwin scored 27.5 points and projects to score 20 plus again this week against a Falcons team that gave up two touchdowns to Eagle’s wide receivers in Week 1. Look for Godwin to continue to lead the Buccaneers in targets and be a GPP machine this week.

WR – Cooper Kupp – LA Rams – $6,000

Matthew Stafford looked amazing last week, passing for over 320 yards with three touchdowns. He peppered Cooper Kupp with 10 targets that Kupp turned into seven receptions for 108 yards and a score. The Colts’ defense wasn’t itself last week, getting carved up for four touchdowns by Russell Wilson. I expect that trend to continue this week with Kupp and the Rams passing attack.

TE – Noah Fant – Denver Broncos – $4,200

Last week Noah Fant ranked fourth in tight end targets with eight. This week he faces a Jacksonville Jaguars defense that couldn’t stop the Houston Tankings, I mean Texans. Fant will see plenty of volume, Teddy Bridgewater targeted tight ends on 36% of dropbacks last week. Fant has touchdown upside as well and is a smash in cash this week.

Flex – Javonte Williams – Denver Broncos – $4,400

Last week Javonte Williams carried the ball 14 times and caught his lone target for a total of 15 touches. Melvin Gordon had 11 carries and three receptions for 14 total touches. Gordon is priced up to $5,900. Both are good plays against a Jacksonville defense that looked more college than Pro thanks to Urban Meyer. I love Williams’ cheap touchdown upside this week, and his price is perfect.

DST – Philadephia Eagles – $2,400

The Eagles can get after the quarterback, sacking Matt Ryan three times last week, almost certainly leaving him for dead at one point. According to PFF, they have a positive 23% matchup advantage. If the 49ers are going to ve successful, it should be on the ground, where they have a 78% advantage per PFF. The Eagles should be able to keep this game close and hopefully, that means Jimmy G. is dropping back to pass the ball, which increases the chances he turns the ball over.

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