Winded From Victory Laps
“Don’t get too cute; it’s unbecoming of you” is what I would have offered to poor Nimble as advice last week before lock…if I wasn’t in bloodthirsty competition mode. In retrospect, he can set his lineups whichever way he chooses. He’s a grown man. I don’t share the same chilling regret he feels after yet another paddling from his so-called friend, so I can’t relate to the reasoning behind him shaving off his manhood in a Britney-esque cry for help.
In my camp, we’re on to Cincinnati. I won’t rest on my laurels, I’ll put them in a nice tomato bisque (laurels are Bay Leaves). Week 2 offers a unique mixture of games with sneaky upside. Scott was fortunate he didn’t get my other head-to-head lineup (that would have been really embarrassing). I ravaged him with rookies in Week 1, so naturally, I have zero rookies in the lineup come Sunday. Boy, I hope when I drop 200 on him this week it doesn’t affect our friendship.
QB – Russell Wilson – Seattle Seahawks – $7,500
Mr. Unlimited is as cringe-worthy as it gets, but his first performance with Shane Waldron calling the plays was far from limited. I get it now. Russ has the ability to drop bombs on anyone. Why wouldn’t he do it to such a horrible Titans defense?
RB – Nick Chubb – Cleveland Browns – $7,800
Chubb is arguably the league’s most complete running back. He put on a show in Week 1 against the reigning AFC champion Chiefs. Wouldn’t it be fun to see him go for 200 yards against Houston? I think it would be.
RB – David Montgomery – Chicago Bears –$6,100
Monty is only $6,100 this week. The utter disrespect is palpable here, and I’ll be taking it all the way to the bank (or under the mattress). I think DK missed the part where the Bears are facing the Bengals this week.
WR – Keenan Allen – LA Chargers – $7,000
One of the league’s best route runners will have more time to get open than my wife spends deciding what to order for dinner. No Tank Lawrence or Randy Gregory and a youthful secondary means Dallas will have no defensive answers for this Chargers offense. Keenan will smash.
WR – KJ Hamler – Denver Broncos – $3,800
Everyone and their Aunt May is picking up Tim Patrick this week, but I’ll be the one hoping Teddy B unleashes some bombs to the Nittany Lion, Hamler, and his 4.39 speed.
WR – Hunter Renfrow – LV Raiders – $3,600
What surprised me on Monday night was how often Derek Carr looked for Renfrow as a hot read when he was under duress. This is a rare floor play for me, but the price is low enough for a nice complementary contribution from the Clemson grad.
TE – Noah Fant – Denver Broncos – $4,200
Hey everyone, the Broncos play the Jaguars this week! That means you should fully attack them with everyone possible. I’m still wiping away my tears from the Jeudy injury, but I’ll cope with ice cream and Fant putting a nail in Urban Meyer’s coffin.
Flex – DK Metcalf – Seattle Seahawks – $7,600
You thought I was going this light at wide receiver, when, in reality, I like to drop a nuke in the flex spot to rattle Scott’s cage. Last week, it was Dalvin Cook. This week, I’m completing the Seahawks stack in hopes that he goes ape shit crazy on this Titans defense.
DST – Philadelphia Eagles – $2,400
It’s just a hunch, but I don’t think the 49ers’ offense will look as lethal as they did in Detroit last Sunday. This Eagles front gets after it, and Jimmy Garoppolo has zero poise if his first read is covered. I’m spending down a bit, hoping for sacks and maybe a couple turnovers.
NFL Week 1 was a DFS disappointment. I lost to Bo by 6.1 points in a low-scoring inaugural “Clash of the Beards and Bellies” that saw neither of us score more than 122 points. Bo is already turning “insufferabo” (shout out Scott Rinear, AKA @MunderDifflinFF on Twitter) acting like this is the first time he’s ever won before. He’s been caught recording celebration videos on multiple platforms including the Sports Me App, making his underlings at work call him “Kylo Bo”, and wearing a homemade “I’m a Winner” cape around the neighborhood. If I start the season 0-2, I’m sure he’ll do something insane like carve “Legend” in his chest. No one wants to see that. So I decided that I will beat Bo this week, just to spare us all the pain of watching his awkward celebrations. Here’s the lineup that’s gonna take him out back to the woodshed and beat the pants off of him in Week 2.
QB – Justin Herbert – LA Chargers – $6,700
Justin Herbert looked like a chiseled veteran last week, rolling into Washington and dominating the Football team. This week he faces a much less vaunted Dallas Cowboys defense that just lost Demarcus Lawrence for a few months. Herbert’s favorite target in Week 1 was Keenan Allen, who caught nine of 13 passes for 100 yards. Dallas gave up 56.3 fantasy points last week to wide receivers. Allen is gonna feast! He’s a lock for Cash and has GPP upside as well.
RB – Nick Chubb – Cleveland Browns – $7,800
Nick Chubb might be the best Cash RB play on the whole DraftKings Main Slate this week. PFF gives the Browns a 138% run blocking advantage over the Houston Texans’ porous rush defense. I can still remember David Montgomery, Derrick Henry, and Jonathan Taylor rushing all over the Texans to end the 2020 season.
I expect Chubb to rush for over 150 yards and at least one score, with the potential for another. Currently, RuntheSims.com ranks Chubb as a top-five running back with a ceiling above 30 fantasy points. If you are looking for a high-priced running with huge upside and a strong floor, Chubb is your man.
RB – Chase Edmonds, Arizona Cardinals – $4,900
The Arizona Cardinals offense looked explosive in Week 1 against the Tennessee Titans. Chase Edmonds racked up over 100 rushing and receiving yards on 16 total touches for 14.6 fantasy points. This week he faces the Minnesota Vikings who are primed to be bludgeoned by Kyle Murray and the Arizona Cardinals. Edmonds has PPR upside and a solid floor at $4,900.
WR – Keenan Allen – LA Chargers– $7,000
Keenan Allen is a stud! He was caught nine passes for 100 yards and was the second-best player to Justin Herbert, on Sunday. This week he faces the Dallas Cowboys defense who gave up over 50 points to wide receivers last week. He’s primed to break the slate in GPP and deliver for Cash Games as well.
WR – Chris Godwin – Tampa Bay Buccaneers – $6,600
According to PFF, Chris Godwin has a top 5 cornerback matchup with week and RuntheSims.com projects Godwin with the highest ceiling for Buc’s wide receivers. Brady targeted Godwin 14 times last Thursday night against the Cowboys. Godwin scored 27.5 points and projects to score 20 plus again this week against a Falcons team that gave up two touchdowns to Eagle’s wide receivers in Week 1. Look for Godwin to continue to lead the Buccaneers in targets and be a GPP machine this week.
WR – Cooper Kupp – LA Rams – $6,000
Matthew Stafford looked amazing last week, passing for over 320 yards with three touchdowns. He peppered Cooper Kupp with 10 targets that Kupp turned into seven receptions for 108 yards and a score. The Colts’ defense wasn’t itself last week, getting carved up for four touchdowns by Russell Wilson. I expect that trend to continue this week with Kupp and the Rams passing attack.
TE – Noah Fant – Denver Broncos – $4,200
Last week Noah Fant ranked fourth in tight end targets with eight. This week he faces a Jacksonville Jaguars defense that couldn’t stop the Houston Tankings, I mean Texans. Fant will see plenty of volume, Teddy Bridgewater targeted tight ends on 36% of dropbacks last week. Fant has touchdown upside as well and is a smash in cash this week.
Flex – Javonte Williams – Denver Broncos – $4,400
Last week Javonte Williams carried the ball 14 times and caught his lone target for a total of 15 touches. Melvin Gordon had 11 carries and three receptions for 14 total touches. Gordon is priced up to $5,900. Both are good plays against a Jacksonville defense that looked more college than Pro thanks to Urban Meyer. I love Williams’ cheap touchdown upside this week, and his price is perfect.
DST – Philadephia Eagles – $2,400
The Eagles can get after the quarterback, sacking Matt Ryan three times last week, almost certainly leaving him for dead at one point. According to PFF, they have a positive 23% matchup advantage. If the 49ers are going to ve successful, it should be on the ground, where they have a 78% advantage per PFF. The Eagles should be able to keep this game close and hopefully, that means Jimmy G. is dropping back to pass the ball, which increases the chances he turns the ball over.