Welcome to NFL Week 18! Each week Nimble GPP will bring you the plays to get you paid for DraftKings GPP. Excited to share all my “Nimble GPP” content with you all this year. Each week I will help you build GPP lineups by providing you the building blocks at each skill position by identifying “High Priced”, “Mid-Range”, and “Value” plays. The play represents the player that I predict for the most upside at their price range. Mix and match the players you are high on and build your optimal lineup.
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High Priced – Quarterback
Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills – $8,100
According to RunTheSims.com, Josh Allen has the highest ceiling this week at quarterback, with 42 points. If anyone could blitz the Jets for 40 points it is definitely Josh Allen, who has three games with 39.5 points or more this year. Stacking him with Stefon Diggs and either Cole Beasley or Gabriel Davis helps you to maximize your upside and leverage the field at the same time. I’m not running back any Jets this week with my Allen stacks.
Mid-Range – Quarterback
Taysom Hill, New Orleans Saints– $6,200
Taysom Hill and the New Orleans Saints need a win and a San Francisco 49ers loss to make the playoffs on Sunday. I’m expecting the Saints to put/keep the ball in Hill’s hands, using his rushing capacity to bludged a weak Falcons rush defense that has given up over 1,900 rushing yards to quarterbacks and running backs this season. The Falcons has also given up 18 rushing touchdowns on the ground as well. Taysom Hill and Alvin Kamara in smaller GPP fields, stacked with the Saints defense is a very interesting play this week.
Value – Quarterback
Tyler Huntley, Baltimore Ravens – $5,700
Tyler Huntley mans the helm this week for the Baltimore Ravens against their hated division rival Pittsburgh Steelers. Technically both teams have a microscopic chance of making the NFL post-season, but more than likely this game is just for pride and fun. Huntley played well last week but just wasn’t able to punch the ball into the end-zone against a stout LA Rams defense. The Steelers are not the Rams and Huntley and the Ravens should be able to score touchdowns this week instead of future HOF Justin Tucker field goals. I’m stacking Huntley with Andrews and/or Rashod Batemen.
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High Priced – Running Back
Jonathan Taylor, Indianapolis Colts – $9,300
Jonathan Taylor needs 266 yards to reach 2,000 rushing yards and he might actually get it this weekend against the Jacksonville Jaguars. Whose fans, btw are planning on dressing up as clowns this week to mock their owner Shahid Khan. I know Taylor is expensive, but he did score 27 points in Week 10 the last time he play the Jags. Wheels up in mid-size GPP tournaments.
Mid-Range – Running Back
James Conner, Arizona Cardinals – $6,300
James Conner is coming off of a heel injury but with Chase Edmonds battling his own injuries, it appears that he will have the Cardinals’ backfield to himself against the Seattle Seahawks this week. The Seahawks rank 31st against running backs and gave up 20.9 to Conner in Week 11 when Edmonds was out. Conner shouldn’t be to heavily rostered, making him a leverage play in larger GPP tournaments.
Value – Running Back
Ke’Shawn Vaughn, Tampa Bay Buccaneers – $5,300
Ronald Jones is in a walking boot, so it looks like Ke’Shawn Vaughn and Le’Veon Bell will split Tampa Bay backfield duties for Week 18. Vaughn stands out as the better play given his familiarity with the Buc’s offense and Bell’s limited role to date. I’m comfortable stacking Vaugh with Tom Brady and Mike Evans in a Tampa Bay game stack. I’m running it back with D.J. Moore or nothing at all.
High Priced – Wide Receiver
Mike Evans, Tampa Bay Buccaneers – $7,100
Speaking of Mike Evans and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, he’s missing his two running mates, Chris Godwin and Antonio Brown. Mike Evans also will not be facing Stephon Gilmore, who landed on the NFL’s COVID-19 list this week. It’s hard to find a better wide receiver play this week. Evans will probably be chalky, but if you game stack him in with Brady and a few other pieces you can gain some leverage over the field and mitigate the chalk.
Mid-Range – Wide Receiver
D.J. Moore, Carolina Panthers – $5,800
D.J. Moore is sixth amongst wide receivers with 153 targets this season. All targets are not created equally though, as Sam Darnold, P.J. Walker, and Cam Newton have taught us. Still, 10 targets a game in a game environment that will force the Panthers to throw the ball, Moore is a great value at only $5,800. I’m sure lots of folks will be playing him as a one-off, but I will be run-back stacking him with Brady and Evan, possibly Vaughn or Gronk as well. They all need each other to go BOOM.
Value – Wide Receiver
Gabriel Davis, Buffalo Bills – $4,900
Gabriel Davis has 22 targets and four touchdown receptions in his last four games. With Emmanuel Sanders likely out again this week, Davis will be primarily matched up with Brandin Echols, who has a 46.6 PFF cornerback grade in his rookie season. Expect the Bills to be able to exploit this mismatch all game, making Davis a great GPP play this week.
High Priced – Tight End
Mark Andrews, Baltimore Ravens – $7,500
Mark Andrews, you don’t say? I feel like you were just talking about him. I was and I will do it some more. Andrews is the new TE1 in fantasy football. With four games of 29.5, 31, 38, and 44 points this season, Andrews has the explosive upside to win you a tournament. I want all the Mark Andrews this week and will be stacking him with Huntley in most of my builds.
Mid-Range – Tight End
Rob Gronkowski, Tampa Bay Buccaneers – $6,300
Gronk smashed last week, scoring 21.5 DraftKings points!! His 10 targets led the team and so did his 115 yards receiving. Look for Brady to lean heavily on Gronk again this week down two of his three top wide receiving options. According to PFF, Gronk has the top tight end matchup this week. He wasn’t used the last time the Buccaneers and Panthers played in Week 15. He’s a sleeping giant this week. Hopefully, he’s overlooked by the public this week. I’m stacking him with Brady in all of his builds.
Value – Tight End
Pat Freiermuth, Pittsburgh Steelers – $4,600
The Baltimore Ravens rank 29th against tight ends, giving up 15.5 points per game to the position each week. Given this is Big Ben’s last game of his career, and he can’t throw the football further than 15 yards downfield, and Diontae Johnson is OUT in the NFL’s COVID-19 list, Pat Freiermuth should see 69 million targets this week. You can full send “quote me.”
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