Welcome to NFL Week 12! Each week Nimble GPP will bring you the plays to get you paid for DraftKings GPP. Excited to share all my “Nimble GPP” content with you all this year. Each week I will help you build GPP lineups by providing you the building blocks at each skill position by identifying “High Priced”, “Mid-Range”, and “Value” plays. The play represents the player that I predict for the most upside at their price range. Mix and match the players you are high on and build your optimal lineup.
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High Priced – Quarterback
Tom Brady, Tampa Bay Buccaneers – $7,600
Tom Brady leads the NFL with 29 passing touchdowns and is third in passing yards with 3,177. He’s a damn machine at 44 and I’m banking on him this week to exploit the Indianapolis Colts’ terrible secondary that has given up 25 touchdowns and 2,861 yards passing to opposing quarterbacks. Brady is the most expensive quarterback on the slate, but he will still be popular. I plan on stacking him with Godwin and Gronk to maximize his upside and secure the majority of his potential touchdown passes. I’m comfortable playing Brady in small, medium, and large field GPP tournaments.
Mid-Range – Quarterback
Joe Burrow, Cincinnatti Bengals – $6,200
Joe Burrow and the Cinncinatti Bengals already gave the Pittsburgh Steelers the beat down this year, 24 -10 in Week 3. Burrow threw for three scores, connecting with Ja’Marr Chase twice. The Steelers didn’t have an answer for him then and they certainly don’t have one now, as they are battling injuries to the defensive line and in their secondary. I’m stacking these two and running it back with Diontae Johnson.
Value – Quarterback
Cam Newton, Carolina Panthers – $5,600
In his first game back in Carolina, Cam Newton looked great, passing for two scores and rushing 24 yards for another. This week he faces a Dolphins defense that ranks 28th against quarterbacks, giving up 21 total touchdowns and 3,199 yards passing on the season. Cam is priced up $500, but is still a great paydown option for constructing high upside GPP lineups. Stacking Cam with D.J. is on the table, and so is playing Cam naked.
High Priced – Running Back
Christian McCaffery, Carolina Panthers – $9,000
Christian McCaffery is OFFICIALLY back!! Last two weeks he combined for 51 points and has been the focal point of the Panthers’ passing attack. His 30% target share is comforting and I’m frankly shocked he’s not priced up higher. If it wasn’t for Jonathan’s Taylors explosive performance last week, CMC might be priced up even higher. I’m rolling him out in all GPP tournaments.
Mid-Range – Running Back
A.J. Dillon, Green Bay Packers – $5,900
A.J Dillon played well last week but did not “show up” and “show out” like we thought he would against the Vikings. 17 touches yielded only 15.7 DraftKings points. Dillon, who was one of the most popular plays on the slate last week, is only being rostered in 6% of DraftKings lineups in Week 12. The LA Rams are middle of the pack against running backs, giving up 979 rushing yards in 10 games. With a hobbled Aaron Rodgers, I expect the Packers to feed Dillon all game and also target him in the passing game.
Value – Running Back
Miles Sanders, Philadelphia Eagles – $5,100
Miles Sanders is also apparently back after rushing 14 times for 96 yards last week and is priced at only $5,100. The Eagles have reinvented themselves as a power-rushing team, running the ball 65% of the time the last three weeks. Jordan Howard has been ruled OUT for Week 12, meaning that Sanders should see the majority of carries against a terrible New York Giants. How terrible you ask. They have already given up over 1,600 combined rushing (1,060) and passing (573) yards to running backs. I probably should have kept this information to myself. Just don’t play Sanders against me, because I’ll have him too.
High Priced – Wide Receiver
Chris Godwin, Tampa Bay Buccaneers – $7,000
Chris Godwin has 91 DraftKings points over his last four games. Mike Evans has 79 points over that same time span, as both have seen increased targets with Antonio Brown OUT. It looks like Brown will miss Week 12 as well, opening the door for Godwin to pick up the slack. His 37 targets to Evans 28 the last 4 games, combined with his $200 price discount, and Evans nursing a back injury makes this decision for me. I’ll be stacking Godwin with Gronk in almost all of my Tom Brady stacks this week. I am also planning on running it back with Michael Pittman as a full-on game stack option.
Mid-Range – Wide Receiver
Diontae Johnson, Pittsburgh Steelers – $6,600
Diontae Johnson is Mr. Consistent when it comes to DraftKing’s wide receivers. His lowest output of the season was 11.7 DraftKings points. He’s scored double-digit points in every game this season. His 95 targets are good for seventh-best amongst wide receivers. He’s seen 10 or more targets in seven of nine games. Johnson should be priced up in the 7K range, so enjoy his discounted price one more week. I will be running him back in Burrow/Chase stacks in medium and larger field GPP tournaments.
Value – Wide Receiver
Michael Pittman, Indianapolis Colts – $5,600
Michael Pittman is the best wide receiver value on the DraftKings Week 12 main slate this week. The last two weeks the Colts’ offense has run through Jonathan Taylor. Pittman’s skill set was not needed in order for the Colts to win the games. This week he will be needed against Tom Brady and the Buccaneers. The 53 point total is the highest on the board this week. This game should stay competitive or see the Colts trailing and needing to pass to keep pace. Either way, I’m running back all of my Tom Brady/Godwin stacks with Pittman. I’m also building games stacks with him and Gronk and Wentz as well. He’s viable in all GPP formats.
High Priced – Tight End
George Kittle, San Francisco 49ers – $6,400
It’s so great to have George Kittle back!! Since his return, he’s been averaging 17.8 DraftKings points per game. For a little context, Travis Kelce leads the NFL with a 17.6 point per game average. Kittle has seen 19 targets the last three weeks and should see plenty of volume in this matchup with the Minnesota Vikings. According to PFF, Kittle as a 29% advantage over Eric Kendricks. I’m rostering Kittle in smaller field GPP contests.
Mid-Range – Tight End
Rob Gronkowski, Tampa Bay Buccanneers – $4,400
Rob Gronkowski is back as well. I’m starting to see a theme for this week. “The Comeback” narrative is alive and well across the league in Week 12. Gronk returned last week and played well, catching six of eight targets for 71 yards. With Mike Evans battling back problems, I expect Brady to lean heavily on Gronk in the red zone this week. I would not be surprised to see him “Gronk Spike” at least once.
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