By Scott Simpson
Welcome to NFL Week 9! Each week Nimble GPP will bring you the plays to get you paid for DraftKings GPP. Excited to share all my “Nimble GPP” content with you all this year. Each week I will help you build GPP lineups by providing you the building blocks at each skill position by identifying “High Priced”, “Mid-Range”, and “Value” plays. The play represents the player that I predict for the most upside at their price range. Mix and match the players you are high on and build your optimal lineup9
If you are interested in NIMBLE GPP Lineups or Bo McBrayer’s GPP Lineups, check out our Nimble Patreon. All Nimble’s Numbers will be powered by RuntheSims.com this year. Signup for a free account today!!
High Priced – Quarterback
Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills– $8,200
Josh Allen faces the Jacksonville Jaguars this week, who rank 26th against both the quarterback and the wide receiver positions. Josh Allen and company have consistently shown a no mercy mentality, often running up the score well games have been decided. Allen currently has the second-highest projected ceiling this week. I’m going back to the well and stacking Allen with two pass catchers, Stefon Diggs ($7,700) and either Cole Beasley ($5,400) or Emmanuel Sanders ($5,600).
Mid-Range – Quarterback
Joe Burrow, Cincinnatti Bengals – $6,800
Joe Burrow has thrown for 20 touchdowns this season, which is the most out of any quarterback in the DraftKings Week 9 main slate. Ja’Marr Chase has caught seven of those touchdown passes and currently ranks third in DraftKings points score by wide receivers and is averaging 21 points per game. This week the dynamic duo is facing a Cleveland defense that ranks 27th against quarterbacks, giving up 21 points per game. I’m stacking Burrow and Chase in small field GPP tournaments and single entries.
Value – Quarterback
Daniel Jones, New York Giants – $5,600
According to RunTheSims.com, Daniel Jones has top three point per dollar value this week at the quarterback position. The Giants will be home underdogs this week against the Las Vegas Raiders. Look for Jones and the Giants to move him outside of the pocket and also use quick passes to get the ball out to Kadarius Toney and Evan Engram all day long. I also expect Jones to take off and rush for over 50 yards on the ground. His low price allows you to stack him or play him naked in larger and smaller GPP tournaments.
High Priced – Running Back
Alvin Kamara, New Orleans Saints – $8,200
Alvin Kamara is in a smash spot against the Atlanta Falcons, who have given up eight touchdowns and close to 1,000 total yards to running backs. Kamara is the only offense the Saints have. Their defense is their second-leading scorer on the year, 70 plus points behind Kamara. He’s averaging 20.5 DraftKings points per game, over 24 the last four weeks. I will be stacking Kamara with the aforementioned Saints defense in every GPP contest I play him in.
Mid-Range – Running Back
Nick Chubb, Cleveland Browns – $6,700
Nick Chubb rushed the ball 16 times last week, but only averaged 3.8 yards per carry and never got going against a stout Steeler’s defense. This week, he’s priced down $100 and most of the field will be fading him. He’s a great contrarian play to leverage your lineup against the chalk. According to PFF, the Browns will have a decided rush blocking advantage over the Bengals and should push them around, opening holes for Chubb to exploit. I’m rolling with Chubb in small and larger GPP tournaments.
Value – Running Back
Chase Edmonds, Arizona Cardinals – $5,300
Chase Edmonds is currently ranked as the DraftKings RB17 in scoring. This week, Kyler Murray and DeAndre Hopkins are both banged up and missed practice on both Wednesday and Thursday. Edmonds stands to benefit, already averaging close to five targets per game. Even though he is dealing with his own shoulder issue, he has been practicing and is on track to start on Sunday. If he’s out, James Conner because a real value and almost a must-play.
High Priced – Wide Receiver
Stefon Diggs, Buffalo Bills – $7,700
According to PFF, Stefon Diggs has the very best cornerback matchup in the DraftKings Week 9 main slate. Diggs is coming off of back-to-back touchdown performances, on 14 of 18 targets the last two weeks. Diggs should be able to exploit Jaguars’ cornerback Tyson Campbell, who ranks 112 out of 116 PFF graded cornerbacks. Josh Allen’s eyes are going to be lighting up all day when he sees Diggs with this matchup. Diggs has real two touchdown upside this week in a potential Bills blowout.
Mid-Range – Wide Receiver
Marquise Brown, Baltimore Ravens – $6,000
This week the DraftKings Gods have decided to create mega chalk and price down one of the most explosive and guaranteed to be highly rostered Marquise “Hollywood” Brown at only $6,000. It might be the worst price on the whole slate. If you stack Brown with Lamar Jackson, make sure that you differentiate yourself with either a double stack, Rashod Bateman at $4,000, or Mark Andrews at $5,500. The double-stack will give you the leverage you’ll need to avoid total Ravens chalk.
Value – Wide Receiver
Hunter Renfrow, Las Vegas Raiders – $4,800
Hunter Renfrow might see 10 targets in his Week 9 matchup against the New York Giants. At $4,800, we are chasing target volume and the touchdown upside that it comes with. Stacking Renfrow with a $5,900 Derek Carr is a pay-down option that opens up thousands in salary to load up on studs. I love this stack with Darren Waller and run back with Kadarius Toney as a full-fledged game stack. This stack is live in all contests, including the Milly Maker.
High Priced – Tight End
Darren Waller, Las Vegas Raiders – $6,200
Speaking of Darren Waller, he’s the number one option for Derek Carr and the Raiders this season, averaging nine targets per game. The Giants haven’t been terrible against tight ends, but they have given up 50 points each week to tight ends and wide receivers, which Darren Waller is both. The Raiders should be able to move the ball up and down the field on the Giants, the key will be turning those trips into touchdowns.
Mid-Range – Tight End
Mark Andrews, Baltimore Ravens – $5,500
Mark Andrews is averaging 0.1 points less per game than Travis Kelce, but he’s priced $1,500 less. Thanks for the discount DraftKings! If you are stacking Lamar, and who isn’t stacking Lamar this week, adding Bateman and Andrews is one way to avoid the Hollywood chalk. I’m expecting the Ravens players to be popular come Sunday, so make sure that you surround them with high upside/lower rostered players.
Value – Tight End
Tyler Conklin, LA Chargers – $3,000
The Baltimore Ravens are the worst against tight ends, giving up close to 20 points per game. Tyler Conklin is priced down at $3,000 and has past performances this season, scoring 20 points in Week 3 and over 10 the last two weeks on 12 targets. I love Conklin as a punt TE option this week and will have him everywhere.