Put Your Money Where Your Mouth Is!!

Nimble w/Numbers

Vol.1 Issue 11 

12/21/2019

We’ve all heard the phrase, “Put your money where you mouth is.” It’s a phrase that originated in the 1930’s as a call to support what you cared about with your money or your time. Makes sense. But given the American bent towards individualism, there’s no surprise that is has since been appropriated by the masses as a friendlier way to tell someone to “put up or shut up.” When you actually break the phrase down, it really has an ingenious way of showcasing the human desire to be both right (ego) and also to win (survive). If you listen hard and long enough on Sunday mornings, you can faintly make out its Tell Tale Heart, capriciously beating within the dystopian Id that is the sports gambling community. If you would indulge me a brief story to help me illustrate my point. A while back my NY Giants loving brother-in-law believed so strongly that that his G-men would beat Ray Lewis and the Ravens in Super Bowl 35 that he was was willing to financially back his blusterous claim. When push came to shove, I challenged his resolve and said, “Why don’t you put your money where your mouth is.” He was powerless to resist the challenge and retorted, “I’ll bet you $20 the Giants win the Super Bowl.” After making the ominous wager, he boasted again, “I would bet anyone!” Having realized that he had not quite learned his lesson, I did what every great brother-in-law would have done and I called a few of my friends into the room to get in on the action as well. In total, he lost $60 that day. LOL! He may have foolishly backed an obvious loser, but he stood by what be believed in and at least he was man enough to put his money where his mouth was.

I say all of this because after spending the last few months listening/watching all the weekly DFS tout sights’ podcasts, I find it a little disingenuous to hear DFS after DFS analyst tell us that they will, “have quite a bit of Saquon today” or “Derrick Henry is all over my lineup” or “Matt Ryan will be one of my top QB/WR stacks.” WTF does that mean? In the end they have covered all their bases, but not truly taken a stand. There is no quantification. What I have come to realize is that I could care less about who an analyst touts on their Youtube channel (while stuffing pizza down their throat) and instead I want to know who actually makes it into their weekly DFS lineups. Don’t tell me that you are “going to be getting a shit ton of Julio today”, I want to see your receipts! What are your player percentages? Show me the percentages!!!!

After reflecting on my own process, I have decided to write my weekly DFS article after I have entered all of my DFS line-ups. Now, I will be able to accurately track who I am playing each week and more importantly, put my money where my mouth is with my DFS advice. Here are my player percentages for both the Saturday and Sunday main slates. My receipts.

QB/WR Stacks with favorable match-ups 


QB
Russell
Wilson
$8,300
Drew
Brees
$8,200
Matt
Ryan
$7,700
Phillip
Rivers
$7,500


WR
Tyler
Lockett
$7,600

DK
Metcalf
$6,300
Michael
Thomas
$9,000

*Jared
Cook
$6,600
Julio
Jones
$8,000

*Austin
Hooper
$6,000
Keenan
Allen
$6,800

Mike
Williams
$6,500
*QB/TE Stack

High Cost value plays based on match-up, opportunity and breakout potential. 

QBLamar
Jackson
$9,300
Kyler
Murray
$7,700

RB
Christian
McCaffery
$10,800
Saquon
Barkley
$8,800
Zeke
Elliot
$8,700
Chris
Carson
$8,200

WR
Michael
Thomas
$9,000
Julio
Jones
$8,000
Amari
Cooper
$7,700
AJ
Brown
$7,200

TE
Zach
Ertz
$6,900
Jared
Cook
$6,600
Mark
Andrews
$6,500
Darren
Waller
$6,500

DST
Pittsburgh
Steelers
$4,900
Baltimore
Ravens
$4,500



Low cost/high value plays based on match-up, opportunity and breakout potential. 


RB
Alvin
Kamara
$7,200
Kenyan
Drake
$7,100
Austin
Ekeler
$6,800
Adrian
Peterson
$6,500
RBDevonta
Freeman
$6,200
Kareem
Hunt
$6,100
DeAndre
Washington
$5,600
Latavius
Murray
$5,500

WR
DeVante
Parker
$6,900
Keenan
Allen
$6,700
Zach
Pascal
$6,600
DJ
Moore
$6,600
WRMichael
Gallop
$6,500
Terry
McLaurin
$6,500
DK
Metcalf
$6,300
Tyler
Boyd
$6,300

TE
Austin
Hooper
$6,000
Noah
Fant
$5,900
Jacob
Hollister
$5,700
Greg
Olsen
$4,900
DSTNO
Saints
$3,800
Dallas
Cowboys
$3,600

I wish you all the best in week 16!

May the fantasy gods be with us all! 

Nimble w/Numbers

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