Nimble w/Numbers
Vol.1 Issue 10
12/13/2019
Fantasy football is not dead. But it might feel that way for some of us as we mourn the loss of our fantasy football teams. I cried (on the inside, like a real man) after my fantasy football team “I’m at Full Chubb”, may it RIP, was eliminated 168.95 to 167.5 on Monday night. My team was stacked with Drew Brees, Nick Chubb, Chris Carson, Chris Godwin, DeAndre Hopkins, Calvin Ridley, Keenan Allen, Darren Waller and Mark Andrews. This genius left both Drew Brees (54.7) and Ryan Tannehill (41.1) on his bench and played Carson Wentz (29.4). This was just the latest heartbreak in a sad 15 year fantasy football career of near misses and never has been championships. While I was openly grieving and lamenting on Tuesday morning, my wife hit me with, “It’s enough to make you quit.” I retorted, “What did you say?” in my best Will Ferrell Anchorman voice. Followed by, “I will never quit! I want to win dammit!!” Cooler heads have prevailed and thankfully this years’ story hasn’t been fully written yet since I still have one more bullet in the re-draft chamber. I’ll fill you in next week and let you know if I am playing for $1400 or for $200. God help me if it’s not for $1400!
Great news for both of us is that fantasy football does not have to be over!! We can get right back on the horse and fire up some daily fantasy football (DFS) to help ease the pain of our loss. Hell, I’m getting the band back together this week and I am picking my re-draft team in DFS. You should too. Or maybe you are out for blood. Got knocked out in the first round by McCaffery, saddle up and ride him to DFS glory in some weirdo DFS style revenge fantasy. No more Patrick Laird after your team got eliminated. DFS is all Patrick Laird, all the time! The beauty of DFS is that you can be any team you want to be. 4 out of 5 (80%) fantasy football analysts recommended it to therapeutically treat “Fantasy Football Derangement Disorder” more commonly known as FFDD, which often occurs in the weeks, and for some months, after the fantasy football season has ended. Signs of this ever increasing disorder include stalking mock drafting lobbies, angry Tweeting the fantasy analyst blaming them for making you start Russell Wilson and muttering “JuJu fucking Smith Schuster” repeatedly under your breath at work. There is hope for you in DFS. Come and wash off your sorrow and be reborn into a whole new fantasy szn.
Winners!
I splurged in week 14 and played in the 1.65M GPP as well as my weekly smaller GPP tournament. Analyzing these winning lineups, we will deconstruct the roster build and use the lessons learned to build our own optimal lineup for week 15.
Winning lineup for Week 14 Fanduel $1.65M Sun NFL Dive ($9 to enter) contest.
Winning lineup for Week 14 Fanduel $125K Sun NFL Hail Mary ($1 to enter) contest.
Analyzing the Weekly Winners
- Michael Thomas & AJ Brown stacked with their respective QBs netted 65.5 and 59.64 . It is hard to win without picking the top stacks of the week.
- Each had one of the two top RBs with Austin Ekeler at 29.3 and Aaron Jones at 28.2. They also selected strong mid-value RBs in Freeman, Henry and Gordon who didn’t sink their chances.
- Game stack shootouts! The Emmanuel Sanders/Michael Thomas game stack was good for 55.5. We all saw that one coming.
- The $300,000 winner leveraged cheaper WRs in Pascal ($6,100) and Terry McLaurin ($5,600) who ended up both finding the endzone.
- Pittsburgh DEF (4.2x) continues do deliver fantasy value each week.
QB/WR Stacks with favorable match-ups
QB | Deshaun Watson $8,200 | Jared Goff $7,800 | Baker Mayfield $7,800 | Baker Mayfield $7,700 |
WR | DeAndre Hopkins $8,600 | Cooper Kupp $7,600 Robert Woods $7,500 | Amari Cooper $7,700 Michael Gallop $6,800 | Jarvis Landry $7,400 Odell Beckham $7,200 |
High Cost value plays based on match-up, opportunity and breakout potential.
RB | Dalvin Cook $8,500 | Leonard Fournette $7,700 | Todd Gurley $7,600 | Raheem Mostert $7,500 |
WR | DeAndre Hopkins $8,600 | Kenny Golladay $7,900 | Julian Edelman $7,700 | Julio Jones $7,500 |
TE | Travis Kelce $7,300 | George Kittle $7,200 | Zach Ertz $6,700 | Darren Waller $6,200 |
DST | New England $5,000 | San Francisco $4,500 |
Low cost/high value plays based on match-up, opportunity and breakout potential.
QB | Ryan Tannehill $7,600 | Tom Brady $7,600 | Ryan Fitzpatrick $7,300 | Eli Manning $6,800 |
RB | Kareem Hunt $6,700 | Joe Mixon $6,700 | Phillip Lindsay $6,400 | Kenyan Drake $6,200 |
| RB | Matt Breida $5,600 | Duke Johnson $5,600 | Patrick Laird $5,500 | Chris Thompson $5,200 |
WR | Emmanuel Sanders $6,900 | DeVante Parker $6,900 | DJ Moore $6,800 | Keenan Allen $6,800 |
| WR | Michael Gallop $6,800 | Deebo Samuel 6,500 | DK Metcalf $6,300 | Darius Slayton $6,300 |
WR | Terry McLaurin $6,000 | Mecole Hardman $5,600 | Danny Amendola $5,400 | Chris Conley $5,100 |
TE | Noah Fant $5,700 | Tyler Higbee $5,700 | Dallas Goedert $5,700 | Ian Thomas $5,300 |
| DST | Kansas City $3,900 | Chicago Bears $3,800 |
Weekly Best Lineup – RB/WR Balanced
| POS | Player Name | Price |
| QB | Baker Mayfield | $7,700 |
| RB | Leonard Fournette | $7,700 |
| RB | Todd Gurley | $7,600 |
| WR | DeAndre Hopkins | $8,600 |
| WR | Jarvis Landry | $7,400 |
| WR | Chris Conley | $5,100 |
| TE | Zach Ertz | $6,700 |
| FLX | Patrick Laird | $5,500 |
| DEF | LA Rams | $3,600 |
Weekly Best Lineup – RB Heavy
| POS | Player Name | Price |
| QB | Eli Manning | $6,800 |
| RB | Dalvin Cook | $8,500 |
| RB | Leonard Fournette | $7,700 |
| WR | Sterling Sheppard | $5,900 |
| WR | Kenny Golladay | $7,900 |
| WR | Terry McLaurin | $6,000 |
| TE | Zach Ertz | $6,700 |
| FLX | Patrick Laird | $5,500 |
| DEF | New England | $5,000 |
I wish you all the best in week 15!
May the fantasy gods be with us all!
Nimble w/Numbers
Nimble w/Numbers 
