Welcome to NFL Week 17! Each week Nimble GPP will bring you the plays to get you paid for DraftKings GPP. Excited to share all my “Nimble GPP” content with you all this year. Each week I will help you build GPP lineups by providing you the building blocks at each skill position by identifying “High Priced”, “Mid-Range”, and “Value” plays. The play represents the player that I predict for the most upside at their price range. Mix and match the players you are high on and build your optimal lineup.
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High Priced – Quarterback
Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills – $8,000
According to RunTheSims.com, Josh Allen has the highest ceiling of all quarterbacks for Week 17. Allen’s 26.3 point per game lead all quarterbacks and everyone else not named Coooper Kupp. Allen is facing a Falcons defense that have given up 30 total touchdowns to quarterbacks in 15 games. Allen is second in total touchdowns by only one to Tom Brady with 38. Allen is currently the second-highest rostered quarterback with 10.7% projected rostership. Cole Beasley are both currently at 14% projected rostership. Running back a Buffalo stack with Kyle Pitts makes the most sense if you aren’t comfortable playing the onslaught.
Mid-Range – Quarterback
Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys – $6,700
Dak Prescott passed for over 300 yards last week. It was the fifth time this season. The DraftKings 300 point bonus is three points. Just sayin (Italian mobster voice). This week the Cowboys vs. Cardinals game has the highest point total at 51.5. The Cowboys and Dak are riding high after scoring 4 touchdowns last week. Dak at only $6,700 makes him a great stacking option with a $7,100 price CeeDee Lamb and tight end Dalton Schultz at $5,000.
Value – Quarterback
Trey Lance, San Francisco 49ers – $4,800
Trey Lance is currently the most heavily rostered DraftKings quarterback, coming in at 13.3% rostership according to my good friend Justin Freeman over at RunTheSims.com. Lance’s $4,800 price tag fueling his surge in popularity. The good news is that with 14 games on the slate this week it won’t be challenging to differentiate at other positions. The upside you are chasing can be naked if Lance rushes for a few scores, but I will be stacking him with either Deebo Samuel or George Kittle.
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High Priced – Running Back
Jonathan Taylor, Indianapolis Colts – $9,000
Jonathan Taylor scored 33 DraftKings points the last time he faced off against the Raiders in 2020. He rushed for 150 yards on 20 carries and scored twice. That was last year Scott. Surely the Raiders are better this year, no? No. They rank 29th against running backs, having given up over 2,100 total rushing and receiving yards and 20 total touchdowns to running backs. This week Taylor’s $9,000 price tag has suppressed his rostership to currently under 20% according to RunTheSims.com. I’m leaning heavily on Taylor given his guaranteed workload. At this point I almost prefer is Carson Wentz wasn’t active given Taylor’s potential in the passing game given a negative game script.
Mid-Range – Running Back
Darrel Williams, Kansas City Chiefs – $5,800
Clyde Edwards-Helaire hasn’t practiced this week and it looks like it might be Darrel Williams Szn in the Kansas City Chiefs vs. Cincinnatti Bengals matchup. In the four games Williams has started this year in place of CEH or CEH has left the game due to injury, he has scored 84 points, good for 21 points per game. Currently, his rostership projection is 3.6%, compared to 19% for Sony Michel with the same price tag.
Value – Running Back
Devin Singletary, Buffalo Bills – $5,400
Suprise. Surprise. The Falcons aren’t just bad at stopping quarterbacks and wide receivers. No. They also have surrendered 15 touchdowns and over 2,000 total yards to ball carriers through 15 games. Devin Singletary has emerged as the Bills’ best running back, averaging 16.8 DraftKings points the last three weeks. At $5,400 and under a 10% rostership projection, Singletary allows you to pay up at tight end and wide receiver.
High Priced – Wide Receiver
Stefon Diggs, Buffalo Bills – $7,900
Stefon Diggs balled out last week against the Patriots, turning 13 targets into seven receptions for 85 yards and a score. This week Diggs and Josh Allen host an Atlanta Falcons secondary that ranks 29th against wide receivers, giving up 38.7 points per game. On paper that looks like 2,435 receiving yards, 174 yards per game, and 19 touchdowns. Stefon Diggs stacked with Allen is the play for me this week.
Mid-Range – Wide Receiver
Antonio Brown, Tampa Bay Buccaneers – $6,100
I’m playing 69% Antonio Brown. I’m wild. What can I say? I trust Tom Brady and the Jets secondary. RunTheSims.com projects Brown for over 20 points as a floor play. He’s going to be popular, but if you stack him with Gronk and Berrios, you will gain some leverage and some salary relief as well. Adam Levitan’s MILLON DOLLAR tweet says it all!!
Value – Wide Receiver
Braxton Berrios, New York Jets – $3,700
Braxton Berrios is likely the New York Jets starting slot wide receiver against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Jamison Crowder and Elijah Moore are both likely to miss action again this week, making Berrios a great run-back option in an Antonio Brown/Bucs game stack. Zach Wilson will be under duress all day long, Berrios will be his safety net underneath. Look for a witching-hour garbage time score to pay off late in this game.
High Priced – Tight End
George Kittle, San Francisco 49ers – $7,100
In the last two games Trey Lance started earlier this season for the 49ers, George Kittle converted 18 targets into 10 receptions for 141 yards and a touchdown. Kittle will be a welcome relief for Lance in the middle of the field all game long against the Houston Texans on Sunday. I am expecting double-digit targets again. He has 20 point upside and should be under-rostered given the other pay-up tight end options like Mark Andrews ($7,400) and Travis Kelce ($7,300). I’m stacking him with Lance in all my builds.
Mid-Range – Tight End
Rob Gronkowski, Tampa Bay Buccaneers – $6,200
Rob Gronkowski has the top tight end matchup according to PFF this week, with a 68% advantage over C.J. Mosley. Gronk should eat this week against a Jets defense that’s given up 944 receiving yards and seven touchdowns to tight ends this season. I’m rolling out Gronk with Tom Brady and Antonio Brown stacks. Add a little Braxton Berrios for upside.
Value – Tight End
Dalton Schultz, Dallas Cowboys – $5,000
Dalton Schultz has been on fire the last two weeks, catching 16 of 17 targets for 149 yards and two touchdowns. His 42.9 DraftKings points might have been overshadowed by Mark Andrews’ explosion but at only $5,000 his value in undeniable in this high-powered Cowboys offense. The 51.5 total is the highest on the Vegas board this week. Who do you think the Cardinals are going to try to stop? CeeDee Lamb perhaps? Maybe Amari Cooper…DON’T LOOK KNOW…Dalton Schultz is wide open for a TOUCHDOWN!!
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