Welcome to NFL Week 14! Each week Nimble GPP will bring you the plays to get you paid for DraftKings GPP. Excited to share all my “Nimble GPP” content with you all this year. Each week I will help you build GPP lineups by providing you the building blocks at each skill position by identifying “High Priced”, “Mid-Range”, and “Value” plays. The play represents the player that I predict for the most upside at their price range. Mix and match the players you are high on and build your optimal lineup.
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High Priced – Quarterback
Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills – $7,800
According to RunTheSims.com, Josh Allen has the third-highest for quarterbacks in Week 14. Allen and the Bills are facing the Buccaneers that rank 17th against wide receivers, giving up 35 points per game. The Bills pass the football 60% of the time, Allen averaging 37 attempts per game. The 53.5 point total suggests that Vegas has this matchup pegged for a shootout. The Bucs’ strength is stopping the run and the Bills’ weakness is rushing the football. I would not be surprised if Allen dropped back 50 times this week and picked up some rushing yardage as well.
Mid-Range – Quarterback
Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys – $6,700
Dak Prescott priced at $6,700 is one of my favorite plays for all of Week 14. The Washington Football Team ranks 32nd against quarterbacks and 30th against wide receivers giving up 39 points per game. I expect this game to be wild, each team trading explosive scoring plays. I’m stacking Dak with his favorite weapon, CeeDee Lamb, and running it back with at least one member of the Washington Football Team, preferably stand-out wide receiver “Scary” Terry McLaurin. McLaurin roasted Trevon Diggs the last time the Cowboys visited Washington. This game is one of my favorite to stack.
Value – Quarterback
Taysom Hill, New Orleans Saints – $5,400
The New York Jets are terrible against the run, giving up over 1,500 yards on the season. Tayson Hill is primarily a rusher masquerading as a quarterback, which makes him a great play this week. Don’t overthink this one. Last week Hill scored 27 points, despite throwing four interceptions. I love Hill as a pay-down option for smaller single-entry tournaments.
High Priced – Running Back
Austin Ekeler, LA Chargers – $8,400
Austin Ekeler is the second leading scoring running back on DraftKings with 260 points on the season. The Chargers will look to lean heavily on him this weak as they will be down top starting wide receiver Keenan Allen. Ekeler has a juicy matchup this week against a Giants defense that gives up 26 points per game to the running back position. Ekeler entered Week 14 as the leader in running back targets, averaging 5.9 per game. Ekeler is picking up 16% rostership, which makes him a leverage play over Alvin Kamara with is currently rostered in 33% of DraftKings main slate lineups.
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Mid-Range – Running Back
Josh Jacobs, Las Vegas Raiders – $6,200
Remember when we all said, “If only Josh Jacobs saw targets” well now he’s seeing targets, nine last week and 30 in his last six games. The Chiefs have given up over 1,700 total yards to running backs on the season. The Raiders know that they can’t compete in a fast-paced game with Mahomes and will be looking to get the ball in Jacobs’ hands to slow the game down and control the clock. I am projecting him for 20 touches. He can be used as a run-back option if you game-stack him with Mahomes and the Chiefs.
Value – Running Back
Jeff Wilson, San Francisco 49ers – $4,400
Jeff Wilson practiced on Thursday and Friday, indicating that he should be ready to go this Sunday against the Cincinnati Bengals. Wilson hasn’t been spectacular when he’s been featured this season, his $4,400 price is hard to ignore. If he does score and rush for 80 yards, he could score 18 points and pay-off as a value in your flex. I’m comfortable playing Wilson in larger field GPP tournaments and
High Priced – Wide Receiver
CeeDee Lamb, Dallas Cowboys – $7,200
CeeDee Lamb is averaging 17.4 DraftKings points per game, good for 11th best amongst wide receivers. His 8.7 targets per game over his last six games, which translated to 19.3 DarftKings points per game over that same span. OccupyFantasy.com is projecting Lamb for only 9% rostership, making him a viable option for smaller field stacks with Dak. I will be running Lamb primarily with Dak, and will be closer to 15-18% exposure.
Mid-Range – Wide Receiver
Mike Williams, LA Chargers – $6,000
Mike Williams is currently on the NFL’s COVID-19 list, but the Chargers are expecting to get him back for this matchup with the New York Giants. The Chargers will be without All-Pro wide receiver Keenan Allen, who is not projected to be cleared from his positive COVID-19 test. William’s $6,000 price means that he will be popular, between 20-25% rostership this weekend. I’m not fading this chalk, Williams is facing a Giants’ secondary that gives up 36 points per game to wide receivers and surrendered 14 touchdowns and close to 2,000 total yards.
Value – Wide Receiver
Laquon Treadwell, Jacksonville Jaguars – $3,400
Laquon Treadwell is DFS relevant, finally! He’s led the Jag’s in targets over the last three weeks and should see plenty of actions again this week against a Tennessee Titans secondary that gives up over 43 fantasy points to wide receivers on average. I know people will be chasing Josh Palmer at $3,000, but the Titans are a better match with more potential volume headed Treadwell’s way.
High Priced – Tight End
George Kittle, San Francisco 49ers – $6,900
George Kittle is an animal and a ballerina, after tip-toeing down the sideline in spectacular fashion for his 48 yards touchdown last week. He scored 42 DraftKings points and is only priced up to $6,900 (noice). I’m buying all the Kittle this week against the Bengals. He’s expensive, which is has driven his rostership under 8%. He’s a great leverage play over folks who are paying up for Travis Kelce at $7,400.
Mid-Range – Tight End
Dawson Knox, Buffalo Bills – $5,000
Dawson Knox isn’t the best tight end play this week, but at $5,000 he’s the exact same price as Cole Beasley with 4x less rostership, making him tremendous leverage in all GPP tournaments. He does have 19 targets the last three weeks and a potential negative game script in his matchup with the Buccaneers going for him as well. I expect him to see 6-8 targets this week against and find the end-zone.
Value – Tight End
Ricky Seals-Jones, Washington Football Team – $3,600
Ricky Seals-Jones steps into a role he had a few weeks ago before getting injured. This week, he should step into 5-6 targets with potential red-zone opportunities. He’s a great run-back if you are stacking the Cowboys, and who isn’t this week?
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