Nimble GPP:Plays to Get You Paid

Welcome to NFL Week 10! Each week Nimble GPP will bring you the plays to get you paid for DraftKings GPP. Excited to share all my “Nimble GPP” content with you all this year. Each week I will help you build GPP lineups by providing you the building blocks at each skill position by identifying “High Priced”, “Mid-Range”, and “Value” plays. The play represents the player that I predict for the most upside at their price range. Mix and match the players you are high on and build your optimal lineup.

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High Priced – Quarterback

Tom Brady, Tampa Bay Buccaneers – $7,600 

GREEN BAY, WISCONSIN – JANUARY 24: Tom Brady #12 of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers warms up prior to their NFC Championship game against the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field on January 24, 2021 in Green Bay, Wisconsin. (Photo by Stacy Revere/Getty Images)

It’s a bit of good news/bad news for The Washington Football Team. They currently rank 32nd against quarterbacks, giving up 25 points per game. That’s the bad news. The good news is that they are not 32nd against wide receivers. They are 31st, giving up 43 points per game. On second thought, it was all bad news for Washington and just good news for those of us who believe that they will surrender 35 plus points this week against Tom Brady, Chris Godwin, and Mike Evans. Tom Brady is my favorite DraftKings quarterback play for Week 10. He currently leads the NFL in passing touchdowns with 25, despite coming off the bye. I’m stacking Brady with both Godwin and Evans, and throwing in some Tyler Johnson everywhere I have one of the other. I’m comfortable playing them in all formats and project them for the highest scoring stack of the week.

Mid-Range – Quarterback

Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys – $6,900

Dak Prescott struggled last week, only completing 19 of his 39 attempts for a sub 50% completion rate, his worst since 2016. The public doesn’t seem to have noticed, or they don’t care, or they just love his matchup against the Atlanta Falcons this week. He’s the third most rostered quarterback behind only Josh Allen and Justin Herbert. Differentiating with Dak will mean game stacking him with multiple players on both sides, which is easier to do than you might think with a priced down Amari Cooper and a reasonably priced Kyle Pitts. You are chasing a shootout, so make sure that your game stack is four to five players deep. This will help you to get away from the chalk and maximize your exposure to the game with the highest total on the slate.

Value – Quarterback

Matt Ryan, Atlanta Falcons – $6,000

Matt Ryan has been the seventh-highest scoring quarterback on DraftKings the last five weeks, averaging over 23 points per game. Ryan has passed for 11 touchdowns and 1450 passing yards in those performances. The Dallas Cowboys rank 27th against quarterbacks, giving up 20 points per game. They also rank 24 against wide receivers, giving up close to 40 points per game. They are a little better against tight ends, ranking 19th, and only giving up 14 points per game. I’m stacking Ryan with Cordarrelle Patterson and Kyle Pitts in smaller field GPPs.

High Priced – Running Back

Najee Harris, Pittsburgh Steelers – $7,900

PITTSBURGH, PENNSYLVANIA – NOVEMBER 08: Running back Najee Harris #22 of the Pittsburgh Steelers scores a touchdown against the Chicago Bears during the first quarter at Heinz Field on November 8, 2021 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Justin K. Aller/Getty Images)

Najee Harris is averaging 20.6 points and has scored over 19 points in six of eight games so far this season. According to RunTheSims.com, he’s projected to score 22.65 points this week. He’s second to only D’Andre Swift in targets and receptions catching 40 of 52 passes for 289 yards and two scores. Harris is in a smash spot against the 31st ranked Detroit Lions, who give up 30 points per week to running backs. Buckle-up, Harris is going to take you to paydirt this week. I’ll be playing him in stacked with Diontae Johnson and the Pittsburgh Steelers defense. Not sure if I just invented a new stack (RB, WR, DST), but I am telling people that I did (Wink).

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Mid-Range – Running Back

James Conner, Arizona Cardinals – $6,300

SANTA CLARA, CA – NOVEMBER 7: Samson Ebukam #56 and Tavon Wilson #32 of the San Francisco 49ers tackle James Conner #6 of the Arizona Cardinals during the game at Levi’s Stadium on November 7, 2021 in Santa Clara, California. The Cardinals defeated the 49ers 31-17. (Photo by Michael Zagaris/San Francisco 49ers/Getty Images)

James Conner broke the DraftKings main slate last week, scoring three touchdowns and 40.3 points for happy DFS players. Chase Edmonds has been placed on the short-term IR with an ankle injury, opening the door for Conner to see an increased workload again this week. I’m not expecting him to score 40 or even 30 points, but the low 20’s are definitely on the table. Conner is currently only projected to be rostered in 10% of DraftKings lineups this week. That’s leverage I will take given his upside in this explosive Cardinals offense. I will be rostering Conner in all formats.

Value – Running Back

D’Ernest Johnson, Cleveland Browns – $4,700

Everyone body and their mother will be playing D’Ernest Johnson this week with the rest of the Cleveland Browns running backs currently either on the COVID-19 list or the IR. Nick Chubb has been ruled OUT for Sunday and D’Ernest Johnson is picking up an incredible 32% rostership across all DraftKings contests. Johnso n is expected to see heavy volume in a tough grind-it-out clash with Bill Belichick and the Patriots. RunTheSims.com is projecting Johnson for a 30% optimal rate, one of the highest I have ever seen on the main slate. I will be playing Johnson everywhere and love double stacking him with a 2% rostered Brandon Bolden.

High Priced – Wide Receiver 

Mike Evans, Tampa Bay Buccaneers – $6,900

TAMPA, FLORIDA – OCTOBER 24: Chris Godwin #14 and Mike Evans #13 of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers react during the fourth quarter against the Chicago Bears at Raymond James Stadium on October 24, 2021 in Tampa, Florida. (Photo by Douglas P. DeFelice/Getty Images)

According to PFF, Mike Evans is a BEAST!! LOL. Okay, PFF didn’t say that directly, but they really like his matchup this week against the 31st ranked Washington Football Team secondary. Evans was close to unstoppable in the Buccaneer’s playoff win over Washington last January, hauling in six catches for 119 yards. I fully expect Mike Evans to rack up over 100 receiving yards and score a touchdown this week. If I had to choose him or Godwin, I would choose them both.

Mid-Range – Wide Receiver 

Jerry Jeudy, Denver Broncos – $5,300

Jerry Jeudy came back from his high-ankle sprain and looked good, catching six of eight passes for 69 yards (Nooice) and 12.9 DraftKing points. This week Jeudy will be primarily matched with Avonte Maddox, who is giving up 13.6 fantasy points per game to wide receivers. Jeudy is picking up 13% rostership this week, which is pretty high. I’m looking to primarily use him as a one-off, or in skinny stacks with a $5,500 priced Teddy Bridgewater.

Value – Wide Receiver 

Tyler Johnson, Tampa Bay Buccaneers – $3,300

Tyler Johnson scored 11.5 DraftKings points last week and won me $200. This week his price was jacked up $300 to a totally reasonable $3,300. Tom Brady trusts Johnson, targeting him six times last week for five receptions and 65 yards receiving. Antonio Brown and Rob Gronkowski are both OUT for this week, meaning that Johnson will be leaned on again to keep the chains moving and could even see his first touchdown reception of the season this week. I’m stacking Johnson with Brady and Evans or Godwin and also playing him as a pay-down one-off punt option.

High Priced – Tight End

Kyle Pitts, Atlanta Falcons – $5,800  

ATLANTA, GEORGIA – OCTOBER 31: Stephon Gilmore #9 of the Carolina Panthers defends against Kyle Pitts #8 of the Atlanta Falcons during the game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on October 31, 2021 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Mark Brown/Getty Images)

After two monster games, scoring 29.9 and 26.3 points, Kyle Pitts put up back-to-back disappointing performances, scoring only 12.5 points combined the last two weeks. Despite the dip in performance Pitts is the highest priced tight end this week and is coming in at close to 12% rostership, which is the second-highest for tight ends. One way to differentiate yourself from the chalk is to game stack Pitts with up to three players, two Cowboys with Cordarrelle Patterson.

Mid-Range – Tight End

Pat Freiermuth, Pittsburg Steelers – $3,900

PITTSBURGH, PENNSYLVANIA – NOVEMBER 08: Tight end Pat Freiermuth #88 of the Pittsburgh Steelers celebrates his touchdown against the Chicago Bears during the second half at Heinz Field on November 8, 2021 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Emilee Chinn/Getty Images)

Pat Freiermuth is coming off of his best game in his rookie season, scoring twice and finishing as the TE1 for the second week in a row. DraftKings would have priced him up to the upper 4K range, but for their devotion to the early Monday price drop. Love the hustle boys, I’m gonna take the value and run. Chase Claypool is OUT for Week 10, which should mean increased volume for Freiermuth, who has seen 20 targets in the last 3 weeks. He’s a great play in small and large field GPP tournaments, but don’t be surprised if he’s a little chalky. Eat the chalk and differentiate elsewhere to make it work.

Value – Tight End 

Dan Arnold, Jacksonville Jaguars – $3,500

Dan Arnold has been targeted 30 times the past four games. That’s good for a tight end right? The Colts defense ranks 28th against tight ends and has given up 544 receiving yards and six touchdowns on the season. Arnold’s $3,500 price makes him one of the more reasonable tight-end options with upside. I will be rolling him out in small to medium contests.

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