By Scott Simpson
Welcome to NFL Week 8! Each week Nimble GPP will bring you the plays to get you paid for DraftKings GPP. Excited to share all my “Nimble GPP” content with you all this year. Each week I will help you build GPP lineups by providing you the building blocks at each skill position by identifying “High Priced”, “Mid-Range”, and “Value” plays. The play represents the player that I predict for the most upside at their price range. Mix and match the players you are high on and build your optimal lineup.
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High Priced – Quarterback
Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills– $8,100
Josh Allen is the only quarterback to finish as the QB1 twice this season and leads all quarterbacks averaging 28.2 DraftKings points per game. This week, he faces one of the worst secondaries in the Miami Dolphins. They currently rank 26th against quarterbacks, 27th against running backs, and 30th against wide receivers. Josh Allen might be the most explosive play waiting to happen this Sunday. I’m all over Double stacking or onslaught stacking him with Zack Moss, Stefon Diggs, and Cole Beasley.
Mid-Range – Quarterback
Jalen Hurts, Philadelphia Eagles – $7,200
Jalen Hurts has been an automatic 25 points every week, the definition of a perfect Cash play. This week, he’s a great Cash play, as always, but I’m growing more open to the idea of playing him in GPP tournaments as well. The Detroit Lions have given up 15 passing touchdowns and almost 2,000 receiving yards. Hurts should be able to move the ball through the air and also on the ground with Kenneth Gainwell, one of his favorite players to target when plays break down. Stacking Hurts with Devonta Smith and Gainwell makes the most sense in larger GPP tournaments. I’m comfortable playing him naked in Cash.
Value – Quarterback
Teddy Bridgewater, Denver Broncos – $5,400
According to RunTheSims.com, Teddy Bridgewater is the best point per dollar value on the whole DraftKings main slate. The Washington Football Team defense is the worst in the league against quarterbacks and seconds worst in points given up to wide receivers. Courtland Sutton and Jerry Jeudy, hell, throw in Noah Fant, are all great stacking options with Bridgewater. Sutton has the greatest touchdown upside, but Jeudy is only a play away from taking one to the house. I like them both as a double stack in large field GPP tournaments. They are viable in Cash as a pay-down salary saver.
High Priced – Running Back
Alvin Kamara, New Orleans Saints – $8,700
Alvin Kamara is the WR1 on the New Orleans Saints, glad they finally figured it out last week. This week the Saints are going to need all the Karama can give him if they want to upset the Super Bowl Champion Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Tom Brady. The 50 point total portends to points, and those will flow through Kamara. His optimal rate is over 20% this week. He’s a smash in GPPs and a solid play in 50/50 double-ups.
Mid-Range – Running Back
Darrell Henderson, LA Rams – $6,500
Darrell Henderson might be my favorite running back play for Week 8. The Houston Texans have given up over 1000 total yards and 8 touchdowns to running backs this season. Giving up 25 points per week ranks them 20th in the NFL. Henderson came back to earth last week after a 24.7 point explosion in Week 6. I’m favoring a blowout victory for the Rams and expect Henderson to continue to see 20 touches per game in one of the top-scoring offenses in the NFL. I’m playing him primarily in Cash games, but will have a handful of him in large field GPP tournament games stacked with Matthew Stafford.
Value – Running Back
Kenneth Gainwell, Philadelphia Eagles– $5,000
Kenneth Gainwell will be leading the Philadelphia Eagles backfield this week against a Detroit Lions that has given up six rushing and six receiving touchdowns as well as over 1,00 total yards to running backs on the season. I love Gainwell as the PPR option out of the backfield, a D’Andre Swift light if you like. I’m more comfortable with Gainwell in mid-range to large GPP fields.
High Priced – Wide Receiver
Stefon Diggs, Buffalo Bills – $8,100
According to OccupyFantasy.com, Stefon Diggs has the second-highest wide receiver upside this week against the Miami Dolphins. Bryon Johnson is expected to be the primary defender matched up with Diggs this week, a clear advantage for Josh Allen and the Bills to exploit. I expect Diggs to return to his 2020 form, scoring a touchdown and racking up over 100 receiving yards. I’m stacking him with Josh Allen in both double stacks and onslaught lineups for GPP large multi-mass entries (MMEs).
Mid-Range – Wide Receiver
Chris Godwin, Tampa Bay Buccaneers – $6,400
This week the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are without Antonio Brown and Gronk is trending towards a game-time decision. Chris Godwin is $600 cheaper than Mike Evans, despite only averaging 1.6 fewer points per game. I like them both this week, but I’m leaning Godwin in smaller fields as the cheaper paydown option. Stacking Brady with Godwin and Fournette might be a sneaky way to differentiate yourself from the field.
Value – Wide Receiver
Michael Pittman, Indianapolis Colts – $5,300
The Indianapolis Colts second-year wide receiver Michael Pittman is finally playing up to his potential, scoring over 20 points two out of his last three games. This week Pittman faces a Tennessee Titans defense that ranks dead last against the wide receiver position, giving up 48 points per game. I expect this game to be the high-scoring tilt Vegas is predicting with the 50.5 total, Pittman is incredibly cheap given the downfield target volume he should see in this matchup. I’m stacking Pittmans with Carson Wentz or as a run-back option with A.J. Brown and/or Derrick Henry.
High Priced – Tight End
Kyle Pitts, Atlanta Falcons – $6,300
Kyle Pitts is the highest-priced tight end on the DraftKings’ Week 8 main slate at $6,300. After scoring 26 and 29 points the last two times he laced them up, I understand the price tag. Pitts is averaging nine targets per game the last three weeks and has 20 receptions for 332 yards and one touchdown. Pitts has the third-best matchup this week according to PFF. I’m comfortable stacking him with Matt Ryan or playing him as a one-off.
Mid-Range – Tight End
Noah Fant, Denver Broncos– $4,900
Noah Fant has a juicy matchup this week against the Washington Football Team linebackers and secondary who are currently giving up 15 fantasy points a game to tight ends. Fant has 18 targets in his last two games and should see red zone opportunities this week. I’m rolling with Fant in smaller single-entry GPP contests.
Value – Tight End
Jared Cook, LA Chargers – $3,400
Jared Cook is priced all the way down at $3,400 coming off the bye week after scoring over 12 points two of the last three weeks. He’s a high upside boom or bust GPP paydown option that you are hoping scores a touchdown and finishes with 13-15 points.
Nimble w/Numbers 