By Scott Simpson
Welcome to NFL Week 4! Each week Nimble GPP will bring you the plays to get you paid for DraftKings GPP. Excited to share all my “Nimble GPP” content with you all this year. Each week I will help you build the best GPP lineups by providing you the building blocks at each skill position by identifying “High Priced”, “Mid-Range”, and “Value” plays. The play represents the player that I predict for the most upside at their price range. Mix and match the players you are high on and build your optimal lineup.
If you are interested in NIMBLE GPP Lineups or Bo McBrayer’s GPP Lineups, check out our Nimble Patreon. All Nimble’s Numbers will be powered by RuntheSims.com this year. Signup for a free account today!!
High Priced – Quarterback
Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills – $8,000
Josh Allen has the highest projected Week 4 ceiling out of any quarterback according to RuntheSims.com. Last week Allen broke the slate and scored 40.22 points against the Washington Football Team at home in Orchard Park. This week the Houston Texans and rookie quarterback Davis Mills come to town and the Bills are HUGE 17 point favorites. Allen has the potential to score with his feet and arm, making him lethal in GPP. If you are spending up, I’m taking him over Mahomes at the price.
Mid-Range – Quarterback
Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers – $6,800
The Aaron Rodgers “Revenge Tour” hosts Big “Wobbly” Ben and the hobbled Pittsburgh Steelers this week for what should be a thorough ass trouncing. Aaron Rodgers under 7K is just wild to me and I’ll gladly stack him with Davante Adams and take him to the GPP bank!
Value – Quarterback
Jacoby Brissett, Miami Dolphins – $5,100
The definition of a punt play at quarterback, Jacoby Brissett finds himself against in a Week 4 matchup against his old Indianapolis Colts team. A team, who frankly hasn’t been very good this year and who currently find themselves two-point road underdogs against a backup quarterback. Brissett’s price is the lowest pay down you will find that could score 25 plus points.
High Priced – Running Back
Derrick Henry, Tennessee Titans – $8,800
The early word from the Big Apple is that Derrick Henry has challenged the Jets 1 vs. 11 tomorrow. The oddsmakers currently have the contest as a PUSH. My money is on King Henry! Seriously though, if you don’t have Henry in your lineup and he pops off, you lose. Period. Full stop.
Mid-Range – Running Back
D’Andre Swift, Detroit Lions – $6,200
DraftKings sleeping on D’Andre Swift this week, only raising his price $400 after he popped off for 23.7 points. The Lions have been committed to getting Swift the football. Swift has 23 targets through three games and DK is full PPR so, I think he’s a great RB2 to pair with Derrick Henry this week.
Value – Running Back
Trey Sermon, San Francisco 49ers – $5,000
Trey Sermon is a lotto ticket this week with Elijah Mitchell nursing a sore shoulder and the Seattle Seahawks nursing a terrible run defense that gives up 37 fantasy points per game. It’s the worst in the NFL, by over 5 points per game. The OVER/UNDER is currently 52.5 points. Please use this information wisely.
High Priced – Wide Receiver
Justin Jefferson, Minnesota Vikings – $7,300
Last week Justin Jefferson finally popped up, scoring 29.8 points and finishing as the fourth-highest scoring wide receiver. According to OccupyFantasy.com Jefferson is currently only being rostered under 6% of lineups this week. RunTheSims projects Jefferson as a top receiving option with an even higher ceiling than his Week 3 performance.
Mid-Range – Wide Receiver
Odell Beckham Jr., Cleveland Browns – $5,800
Odell Beckham Jr. made his season debut last week and hauled in five of his nine targets for over a 30% target share. This week the Cleveland Browns face a high-scoring Minnesota Vikings with the often maligned Kirk Cousins airing it out like crazy. If the 51.5 total is any indication of how this game script might play out, Baker Mayfield might rely more than ever on Beckham Jr. this week.
Value – Wide Receiver
Jaylen Waddle, Miami Dolphins – $4,900
Jaylen Waddle caught 12 of his 13 targets last week and only scored 17 DraftKings points. How is that even possible? This week Waddle faces a Colts defense that gives up close to 43 fantasy points per game. Waddle’s price is still too low. He has tremendous upside for a wide receiver priced under 5K.
High Priced – Tight End
Travis Kelce, Kansas City Chiefs – $8,100
When is it not Travis Kelce week? Seriously, Kelce is a smash play this week with a 93 rated PFF advantage. I’m locking and loading Kelce into most of my lineups. Again.
Mid-Range – Tight End
Noah Fant, Denver Broncos – $4,300
Noah Fant is currently the 5th most targeted tight end but has yet to break out so far this season. But that could all change this week when the Denver Broncos face off against the Baltimore Ravens. The Broncos will be without K.J. Halmer and Jerry Jeudy this week, which opens the door for target volume to come Fant’s way. He’s my favorite mid-range tight end this week.
Value – Tight End
Tommy Tremble, Carolina Panthers – $2,500
Wow! Opportunities like this don’t come often kids, like free pizza at work or getting off early on a Friday. Take advantage of Tommy Tremble’s low price this week before he scores another touchdown and ruins it for us all.