I am a staunch believer in fate. Everything happens for a reason. I wasn’t meant to beat The Nimble One in Week 3. One would think that a second-consecutive loss to my arch-nemesis would drive me into seclusion. I put my trust in a rookie quarterback in his NFL debut against a tough defense, fully understanding that his coach is an unpalatable mix of arrogance and incompetence. It’s my fault. Plus, I’m about as reclusive as a howler monkey during mating season.
I went to Twitter to vent my disgust with that buffoon who tried to get his first-round pick killed last week. I lost to Scott by four points. If I had plugged in Mac Jones of all people, I would have triumphed with a lineup that was peerless and lethal. There would be no victory lap from Simpson, but instead familiar deference to my head-to-head omnipotence.
I broke my own rule in Week 3 by getting too cute. I served up my only losing lineup to a man I should never lose to, as great as he is at DFS himself. It was a tough pill to swallow, but I learned a valuable lesson: be true to your own game and win Week 4 in a merciless fashion.
QB – Matthew Stafford – LA Rams – $7,000
The Rams are en fuego in the passing game. Stafford has found a second prime with the Sean McVay offense, lighting up the scoreboard like he did when he was chucking it up to Megatron. Arizona has a great pass rush, but their corners are very suspect. This contest is shootout city and I’m going full holiday ham with a game stack.
RB – Derrick Henry – Tennessee Titans – $8,800
Do you know how to slow down Derrick Henry? No? Well, neither do the Jets. AJ Brown and Julio Jones are both inactive, so the question will be, “Do we give the ball to our all-pro running back or a guy named Nick Westbrook-Ikhine?”
RB – Alvin Kamara – New Orleans Saints – $8,400
I just knew that getting back to my roots and familiar dominance would include wedging the two best running backs into my build with a shoehorn. Kamara has a massive rushing advantage against the Giants’ 32nd-ranked run defense. That doesn’t even include his presence as the best receiver on the Saints.
WR – Robert Woods – LA Rams – $5,300
Bobby Trees is due. With all the (deserved) attention falling on Kupp, Woods stands to break out against the Cardinals. He’s also a whopping $2,500 cheaper than the Eastern Washington breakout star.
WR – AJ Green, Arizona Cardinals – $4,500
As it turns out, Green is still a very good professional receiver. He is healthy and no longer under Mike Brown’s thumb in Cincinnati. Nuk will be locked into battle with Jalen Ramsey, leaving the Z receiver to run his routes against someone else.
WR – Curtis Samuel, Washington Football Team – $3,000
I couldn’t keep this play to myself any longer. Samuel, whom last season I famously entered into a blank roster and asked “now what,” is back off the IR and falls into a min-priced date with the pathetic Atlanta Falcons. He is a weapon. He will be productive. He is the best GPP dart on the board, for those who are wondering.
TE – Tyler Higbee, Arizona Cardinals – $4,600
I am an avowed Higbee hater, but I will admit I was wrong about him last week. Kupp is going to draw all the attention and is at an unattainable price for me. Higbee is in line for a lot of low-aDOT volume if the Cards can heat up Stafford.
FLEX – Rondale Moore, Arizona Cardinals – $4,600
The public is once again sleeping on Mighty Mouse. He had his splash performance in Week 2 and followed it up with a dud. If the Cardinals want to upset the Rams and remain undefeated, they will need Moore to have another big day. I’m here for it.
DST – New Orleans Saints – $3,800
Don’t look now, but this Saints defense is good. They also host a Giants team with a literal pile of garbage at receiver, to go with their folly-prone quarterback. This is the most I’ve spent on a defense in a long time, but I’ll be damned if this one burns me.
Bo, Meet Aaron Rodgers
Aaron Rodgers met Bo McBrayer one time. You won’t hear Aaron talk about it often, but Bo, on the other hand, must have been impressed with the guy because he won’t stop talking about it. It goes something like this, Bo acknowledged him for putting the hurting on his Cowboys and Aaron Rodgers told him to go long and then threw him a pinpoint pass in a pool, or the Chico Rose Bowl, or something, I don’t know, point being Bo dropped the pass and lost the game. I don’t know I didn’t really pay attention, anyway, Bo needs a reintroduction to his old friend, so I decided to win my third H2H in a row against him with a bit of irony this week. Bo, Meet Aaron Rodgers, again.
QB – Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers – $6,800
Aaron Rodgers is facing a Pittsburgh Steelers’ secondary that ranks 28th, giving up 45 points on average to wide receivers. Aaron Jones is nursing an ankle injury, which means the offense could run through Rodgers this week. Stacking Aaron Rodgers with Davante Adams is expensive but has a big upside in GPP tournaments.
RB – Derrick Henry – Tennessee Titans – $8,800
Derrick Henry is the Tennessee Titans offense with A.J. Brown and Julio Jones on the field. With them both out this week due to injury, King Henry will once again run the Titans touches and volume will reward us all with touchdowns and hopefully a 100-yard rushing bonus!!
RB – Zack Moss, Buffalo Bills – $5,300
Zack Moss has played well in both of his first two games, averaging over 17 points. This week the Houston Texans roll into Buffalo to take on the high-scoring Bills. Houston gives up over 26 fantasy points to the running back position, but my money is on the OVER. Moss has 20 points upside, and that’s what I’m chasing.
WR – Odell Beckham Jr. – Cleveland Browns – $5,800
Odell Beckham Jr. return to action last week and was targeted nine times by Baker Mayfield. The points total in this matchup is 51.5 points, which means that the Browns will be need to score points to beat the high scoring, much maligned Kirk Cousin led Vikings. I like Odell for 20 points, with one score from 30 yards out. Let’s go!!
WR – D.K. Metcalf – Seattle Seahawks – $7,200
Graham Barfield was basically drooling on the Fantasypts Premium podcast this week when D.K. Metcalf was brought up. Metclaf smashed the 49ers last season, scoring 43 points in Week 8. I expect Metcalf to eat Zeke style this week.
WR – Nick Westbrook-Ikhine – Tennessee Titans – $3,200
With both Julio Jones and A.J. Brown sideline, Nick Westbrook-Ikhine will get the start this week, after filling in well last week. Westbrook-Ikhine caught all four of his targets for 51 yards and a score. The Jets are young and missing the veteran Marcus Maye brought in to stabilize the secondary. Look for Westbrook-Ikhine to be used by Ryan Tannehill throughout the game to move the chains and sustain drives. I just need him to score 12 points to get my money’s worth.
TE – Travis Kelce, Kansas City Chiefs – $8,100
Travis Kelce is going to feast this week. PFF gives him a 93 rating, the highest of any tight end in Week 4. Kelce is the most consistent tight end is the best Cash dollar-for-dollar play this week.
Flex – Will Dissly, Seattle Seahawks – $2,600
The Seattle Seahawks have one healthy tight end and his name is Will Dissly. That’s great news for me and for Will Dissly, who should see plenty of targets with Gerald Everett OUT on the NFL COVID-19 list. With Tyler Lockett ailing, I expect Russ to have to spread the ball around a bit to his receivers, Dissly included.
DST – Detroit Lions – $2,200
Paying down for defense is my Cash and GPP strategy all season. Last week we hit fire with the $2,100 priced Bengals against Big Ben and company. This week we are counting on Matt Nagy to continue his long hard suck as Bears’ Head Coach and Offensive Coordinator. I’m also hoping that I finally get to see some knee-biting from Dan Campbell and pride this week, who might just get their first W of the season.